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NEON Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 4 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-12-02 → 2024-08-20

⚠️ Small sample size (4 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Neonode Inc. Common Stock ELECTRONIC COMPONENTS, NEC (SIC 3679)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Jan 09, 1976 🔗 www.neonode.com
💰 Market Cap: $32.6M 👥 Employees: 43
Neonode Inc provides optical sensing solutions for contactless touch, and gesture sensing and also provides software solutions for machine perception that feature machine learning algorithms to detect and track persons and objects in video streams from cameras and other types of imagers. It markets and sells its solutions to customers in many different markets and segments including, office equipment, automotive, industrial automation, medical, military, and avionics. The company geographically operates in the United States, Japan, South Korea, Germany, Sweden, China, and other regions. A majority of its revenue is generated from Japan.
📊
4
Total Alerts
🎯
50.0%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
-5.78%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+4.36%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -5.78%
Avg Winner: +4.41%
Avg Loser: -15.98%
Best: +4.85%
Worst: -16.45%
Trades: 2/2

15MIN

Win Rate: 25.0%
Avg Gain: -9.56%
Avg Winner: +1.98%
Avg Loser: -13.41%
Best: +1.98%
Worst: -21.80%
Trades: 1/3

30MIN

Win Rate: 25.0%
Avg Gain: -14.28%
Avg Winner: +0.25%
Avg Loser: -19.12%
Best: +0.25%
Worst: -34.81%
Trades: 1/3

60MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -13.48%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -13.48%
Best: -4.13%
Worst: -30.30%
Trades: 0/4

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 25.0%
Avg Gain: -11.86%
Avg Winner: +1.82%
Avg Loser: -16.41%
Best: +1.82%
Worst: -26.58%
Trades: 1/3

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +4.36%
Best MFE: +8.43%
Avg Time to MFE: 4 min

On average, NEON alerts reach +4.36% profit potential within 4 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -5.46%
Worst MAE: -18.17%
Avg Time to MAE: 2 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 5.46%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

0.8:1

Challenging risk/reward - consider tighter stops.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 4 alerts, NEON typically reaches +4.36% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 3.5% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 4
Gap Up % 25.0%
Avg Gap -3.10%
Best Gap +0.83%

🏭 Sector Comparison: ELECTRONIC COMPONENTS, NEC

How NEON compares to 7 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
NEON: -5.78% Sector: -0.22% -5.57%
EOD Gain
NEON: -11.86% Sector: -0.20% -11.65%
Avg MFE
NEON: +4.36% Sector: +4.46% -0.09%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical NEON alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-08-20 09:27:24 $3.3 +4.85% -1.52% -5.76% -4.19% +1.82% +6.36% -3.03% -0.61% WIN
2023-08-03 09:25:00 $3.16 -15.51% -21.80% -34.81% -30.30% -26.58% +5.38% - -6.01% LOSS
2023-07-10 09:25:00 $5.89 -16.45% -16.92% -16.81% -15.28% -19.35% -2.72% -18.17% -6.62% LOSS
2022-12-02 09:25:00 $6.05 +3.97% +1.98% +0.25% -4.13% -3.31% +8.43% -0.66% +0.83% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ NEON Shows Negative Expectancy

With 50.0% win rate and -5.78% average gain, NEON alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider NEON for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze NEON with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for NEON. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, NEON historically offers an average upside of +4.36% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 NEON Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 50.0%, NEON shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests NEON may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: NEON shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 5MIN at -5.78%). This suggests NEON is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.