Latest signal:
NFE Stock Analysis
Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 17 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-04-06 → 2025-01-27
⚠️ Small sample size (17 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.
🏢 Company Profile
📈 Performance by Timeframe
5MIN
15MIN
30MIN
60MIN
EOD (End of Day)
🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)
Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.
📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)
On average, NFE alerts reach +3.07% profit potential within 62 minutes.
📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)
Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.48%.
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio
Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.07x the typical drawdown.
💡 Trading Insight: Based on 17 alerts, NFE typically reaches +3.07% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 2.5% to capture most of the move.
🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)
🏭 Sector Comparison: NATURAL GAS DISTRIBUTION
How NFE compares to 8 other tickers in the same sector.
📋 Last 20 Alerts
Historical NFE alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.
| Date | Time | Price | 5min | 15min | 30min | 60min | EOD | MFE | MAE | Gap | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-01-27 | 09:26:45 | $14.83 | +0.71% | -0.88% | -0.94% | -2.06% | -2.76% | +1.75% | -0.20% | +1.08% | WIN |
| 2024-12-10 | 09:28:56 | $13.0 | -0.50% | -2.31% | -2.08% | +0.38% | +0.77% | +2.62% | -2.46% | - | LOSS |
| 2024-11-07 | 09:27:15 | $9.79 | -1.33% | +0.31% | -0.82% | -1.17% | -3.37% | +3.06% | -0.51% | +0.41% | LOSS |
| 2024-11-06 | 09:26:38 | $9.03 | +1.50% | +0.80% | -0.33% | +0.94% | +6.20% | +7.97% | -1.83% | +1.66% | WIN |
| 2024-11-01 | 09:25:07 | $8.52 | -0.94% | -0.94% | -2.82% | -4.40% | -6.10% | +0.23% | -1.06% | -1.06% | LOSS |
| 2024-10-30 | 09:28:07 | $8.6 | +0.12% | +1.05% | +1.16% | +1.98% | +0.58% | +3.31% | -1.05% | -0.12% | WIN |
| 2024-10-29 | 09:25:23 | $8.53 | +0.35% | +0.94% | +0.47% | -0.35% | +0.12% | +1.41% | +0.12% | +0.23% | WIN |
| 2024-10-28 | 09:28:36 | $8.43 | - | - | +1.90% | +3.14% | +1.30% | +3.74% | -2.02% | -0.83% | - |
| 2024-10-01 | 09:26:44 | $9.29 | +8.61% | +16.04% | +16.58% | +16.90% | +4.20% | +21.84% | -0.32% | +0.22% | WIN |
| 2024-08-09 | 09:29:25 | $15.94 | -3.83% | -8.22% | -9.28% | -12.70% | -18.44% | +0.38% | -1.51% | -0.06% | LOSS |
| 2024-08-07 | 09:29:19 | $16.5 | +0.73% | +1.76% | +2.71% | +3.26% | +1.09% | +4.30% | +0.24% | +0.48% | WIN |
| 2024-06-05 | 09:28:36 | $24.36 | -1.57% | -2.46% | -1.97% | -2.38% | -2.55% | -0.04% | -2.67% | -1.48% | LOSS |
| 2023-07-06 | 09:28:00 | $27.75 | -3.82% | -4.65% | -5.59% | -6.37% | -6.92% | -3.64% | -4.07% | -4.00% | LOSS |
| 2022-12-15 | 09:25:00 | $45.11 | -0.43% | -0.44% | -0.52% | -0.93% | -0.39% | +0.84% | -1.11% | +0.20% | LOSS |
| 2022-12-13 | 09:25:00 | $50.2 | -0.66% | -0.50% | +1.10% | -0.47% | -3.80% | +1.29% | -1.02% | -0.80% | LOSS |
| 2022-11-02 | 09:25:00 | $56.41 | -0.20% | -0.87% | -1.61% | -2.27% | -2.36% | +1.84% | -2.50% | -0.28% | LOSS |
| 2022-04-06 | 09:25:00 | $41.77 | +0.05% | -0.48% | -2.20% | -0.78% | -0.93% | +1.27% | -3.28% | +0.89% | WIN |
Table Metrics Explained:
- 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
- MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
- MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
- Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
- Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise
⚠️ NFE Shows Negative Expectancy
With 41.2% win rate and -0.07% average gain, NFE alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider NFE for short-selling strategies.
📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →Why Analyze NFE with FILTRIX?
🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation
We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for NFE. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.
💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis
How much is left in the move? On winning days, NFE historically offers an average upside of +3.07% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.
📊 NFE Momentum Personality
With a baseline win rate of 41.2%, NFE shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests NFE may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.
⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing
⚠️ Caution Advised: NFE shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 5MIN at -0.07%). This suggests NFE is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.