Latest signal:
NGD Stock Analysis
Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 72 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-18 → 2025-02-13
⚠️ Small sample size (72 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.
🏢 Company Profile
📈 Performance by Timeframe
5MIN
15MIN
30MIN
60MIN
EOD (End of Day)
🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)
Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.
📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)
On average, NGD alerts reach +3.27% profit potential within 103 minutes.
📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)
Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.44%.
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio
Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.28x the typical drawdown.
💡 Trading Insight: Based on 72 alerts, NGD typically reaches +3.27% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 2.6% to capture most of the move.
🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)
📋 Last 20 Alerts
Historical NGD alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.
| Date | Time | Price | 5min | 15min | 30min | 60min | EOD | MFE | MAE | Gap | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-13 | 09:27:32 | $3.0 | -1.34% | -1.33% | -3.33% | -4.34% | +1.00% | +1.33% | - | - | LOSS |
| 2025-01-27 | 09:29:53 | $2.87 | -3.14% | -2.46% | -2.26% | -3.31% | -2.09% | +0.35% | -1.74% | +0.35% | LOSS |
| 2024-11-25 | 09:25:15 | $2.77 | -1.81% | -1.81% | -2.53% | -2.35% | -3.97% | +0.36% | -2.17% | +0.36% | LOSS |
| 2024-11-12 | 09:25:17 | $2.49 | +1.41% | +1.20% | +1.00% | +0.60% | +2.01% | +2.41% | -0.80% | -0.40% | WIN |
| 2024-11-06 | 09:28:09 | $2.61 | - | +1.33% | +1.34% | +3.07% | +3.07% | +4.21% | -2.68% | -0.38% | - |
| 2024-11-01 | 09:27:28 | $2.78 | +1.11% | +1.98% | +2.16% | +1.80% | -0.36% | +3.24% | -1.08% | -0.72% | WIN |
| 2024-10-30 | 09:25:11 | $2.98 | -2.44% | -5.54% | -5.54% | -8.05% | -4.36% | +0.67% | -3.36% | +0.67% | LOSS |
| 2024-10-10 | 09:28:07 | $2.8 | -1.43% | -1.25% | -0.18% | -0.29% | +0.36% | +1.07% | -2.14% | -0.36% | LOSS |
| 2024-10-01 | 09:27:54 | $2.92 | +1.37% | +1.54% | +1.71% | +0.86% | +1.37% | +2.74% | +0.68% | +0.68% | WIN |
| 2024-09-30 | 09:28:48 | $2.89 | +0.44% | - | +0.52% | -0.17% | -0.35% | +1.38% | -0.69% | +0.35% | WIN |
| 2024-08-05 | 09:28:06 | $2.03 | -2.45% | -2.22% | - | -0.49% | +3.94% | +5.91% | -4.43% | +0.49% | LOSS |
| 2024-08-02 | 09:28:07 | $2.33 | -0.64% | -1.50% | -1.72% | -1.72% | -6.01% | +1.29% | +0.52% | +1.29% | LOSS |
| 2023-12-04 | 09:29:00 | $1.49 | -1.68% | -2.68% | -2.35% | -3.02% | -5.37% | +0.67% | -0.67% | +0.67% | LOSS |
| 2023-11-27 | 09:28:00 | $1.39 | -1.43% | -1.80% | -0.36% | -1.08% | - | +1.44% | -2.88% | -0.72% | LOSS |
| 2023-08-11 | 09:25:00 | $1.03 | -3.83% | -0.97% | -0.49% | - | +0.97% | +1.94% | -3.83% | -0.97% | LOSS |
| 2023-08-10 | 09:26:00 | $1.02 | -1.05% | -4.80% | -5.40% | -5.55% | -4.83% | +0.98% | -2.94% | - | LOSS |
| 2023-07-18 | 09:26:00 | $1.28 | -1.56% | - | +0.41% | +1.95% | +1.56% | +3.91% | -1.56% | -0.78% | LOSS |
| 2023-07-12 | 09:27:00 | $1.22 | -0.09% | +0.93% | +3.28% | +2.46% | +2.46% | +4.10% | -0.82% | - | LOSS |
| 2023-07-11 | 09:28:00 | $1.15 | -0.87% | -1.74% | +1.70% | +3.10% | +2.61% | +5.22% | -1.74% | -0.87% | LOSS |
| 2023-06-15 | 09:29:00 | $1.11 | -1.80% | -1.35% | -2.25% | -2.70% | -2.70% | -0.90% | -1.80% | -1.80% | LOSS |
Table Metrics Explained:
- 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
- MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
- MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
- Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
- Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise
⚠️ NGD Shows Negative Expectancy
With 47.2% win rate and -0.28% average gain, NGD alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider NGD for short-selling strategies.
📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →Why Analyze NGD with FILTRIX?
🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation
We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for NGD. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.
💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis
How much is left in the move? On winning days, NGD historically offers an average upside of +3.27% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.
📊 NGD Momentum Personality
With a baseline win rate of 47.2%, NGD shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests NGD may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.
⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing
⚠️ Caution Advised: NGD shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: EOD (End of Day) at -0.28%). This suggests NGD is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.