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NKLA Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 595 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-03 → 2025-02-14

📊
595
Total Alerts
🎯
70.1%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
+1428.00%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+4.52%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 29.0%
Avg Gain: -0.71%
Avg Winner: +1.46%
Avg Loser: -1.67%
Best: +8.43%
Worst: -10.34%
Trades: 172/404

15MIN

Win Rate: 36.2%
Avg Gain: -0.71%
Avg Winner: +2.45%
Avg Loser: -2.54%
Best: +12.49%
Worst: -12.73%
Trades: 215/374

30MIN

Win Rate: 33.8%
Avg Gain: -0.77%
Avg Winner: +3.41%
Avg Loser: -2.95%
Best: +22.45%
Worst: -16.25%
Trades: 201/386

60MIN

Win Rate: 37.0%
Avg Gain: -0.86%
Avg Winner: +3.60%
Avg Loser: -3.56%
Best: +22.89%
Worst: -20.15%
Trades: 220/366

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 70.1%
Avg Gain: +1428.00%
Avg Winner: +2039.85%
Avg Loser: -5.49%
Best: +4657.14%
Worst: -27.78%
Trades: 417/175

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +4.52%
Best MFE: +60.71%
Avg Time to MFE: 102 min

On average, NKLA alerts reach +4.52% profit potential within 102 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -2.05%
Worst MAE: -11.44%
Avg Time to MAE: 13 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 2.05%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.21:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.21x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 595 alerts, NKLA typically reaches +4.52% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 3.6% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 595
Gap Up % 23.7%
Avg Gap -0.25%
Best Gap +3.16%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical NKLA alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-14 09:29:19 $0.62 -0.02% -1.69% -7.85% -8.07% -12.73% +3.14% +0.37% +1.13% LOSS
2025-02-13 09:25:46 $0.68 -0.13% -4.52% -5.30% -7.72% -11.10% +1.90% -1.03% +1.61% LOSS
2025-02-12 09:28:23 $0.64 +5.64% +10.76% +8.82% +12.19% +8.44% +17.50% -0.20% +2.85% WIN
2025-02-11 09:28:13 $0.49 -3.48% -4.95% -3.92% -3.92% +36.32% +43.09% -7.77% -0.06% LOSS
2025-02-10 09:26:59 $0.47 +0.65% +4.49% +10.11% +10.88% +7.83% +12.92% -1.51% +1.48% WIN
2025-02-07 09:26:08 $0.48 +5.20% +0.23% -8.25% -6.31% -7.48% +13.80% -6.03% -3.47% WIN
2025-02-05 09:28:41 $0.77 +8.17% +7.14% +5.87% +6.86% +1.64% +10.79% -0.58% -0.58% WIN
2025-02-04 09:27:35 $0.74 -1.95% +2.08% +5.13% +2.67% +6.50% +8.80% -2.06% -2.06% LOSS
2025-02-03 09:25:38 $0.75 -2.88% -4.22% -2.87% -0.64% -4.01% +0.11% +0.11% +0.11% LOSS
2025-01-31 09:28:54 $0.82 -3.17% -3.50% -3.62% -2.56% -3.61% +0.04% -2.48% +0.04% LOSS
2025-01-30 09:27:03 $0.79 -2.70% -1.43% -2.06% +6.41% +2.89% +10.53% -4.60% -3.08% LOSS
2025-01-29 09:27:18 $0.83 -2.00% -4.56% -3.47% -5.09% -7.14% +0.11% -2.46% -2.46% LOSS
2025-01-28 09:28:05 $0.89 -0.98% -5.39% -7.12% -5.27% -5.38% +1.02% -8.35% -1.36% LOSS
2025-01-27 09:25:07 $0.88 +0.25% +2.02% +5.19% +5.72% +0.62% +8.23% -3.16% -3.16% WIN
2025-01-24 09:28:35 $0.85 +4.35% +7.37% +6.17% +6.56% +6.82% +14.66% -1.05% -0.88% WIN
2025-01-23 09:28:39 $1.17 -2.59% -3.42% -2.99% -10.26% -27.78% - - - LOSS
2025-01-22 09:26:08 $1.23 -2.76% -2.45% -1.51% -1.63% -4.88% -0.01% -4.07% -0.81% LOSS
2025-01-21 09:26:02 $1.34 -2.96% -7.09% -7.84% -8.20% -9.33% +0.75% -1.87% -1.87% LOSS
2025-01-17 09:28:21 $1.23 +0.41% +2.03% +10.16% +8.13% +8.94% +13.82% -0.81% - WIN
2025-01-16 09:27:24 $1.25 +0.40% +0.78% -0.48% +0.80% -3.20% +2.40% -4.40% -0.80% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 70.1% Baseline on NKLA

The 70.1% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push NKLA's performance to 75%+.

Optimize NKLA Strategy →

Why Analyze NKLA with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for NKLA. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, NKLA historically offers an average upside of +4.52% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 NKLA Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 70.1%, NKLA shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show NKLA performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +1428.00%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.