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NMRA Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 10 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2024-04-15 → 2025-01-13

⚠️ Small sample size (10 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Neumora Therapeutics, Inc. Common Stock BIOLOGICAL PRODUCTS, (NO DISGNOSTIC SUBSTANCES) (SIC 2836)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Sep 15, 2023 🔗 www.neumoratx.com
💰 Market Cap: $350.1M 👥 Employees: 95
Neumora Therapeutics Inc is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company founded to confront the brain disease crisis by taking a fundamentally different approach to the way treatments for brain diseases are developed. It has scaled its therapeutic pipeline, which currently consists of seven clinical and preclinical neuroscience programs that target novel mechanisms of action for a broad range of underserved neuropsychiatric disorders and neurodegenerative diseases. Its pipeline includes NMRA-140, NMRA-511, NMRA-266, NMRA-M4R, NMRA-NMDA, NMRA-CK1O, NMRA-NLRP3, and NMRA-GCASE. The group's pipeline is building programs for underserved neuropsychiatric disorders and neurodegenerative diseases.
📊
10
Total Alerts
🎯
66.7%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
+0.65%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+8.94%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 66.7%
Avg Gain: +0.65%
Avg Winner: +2.37%
Avg Loser: -4.19%
Best: +7.37%
Worst: -4.51%
Trades: 6/2

15MIN

Win Rate: 60.0%
Avg Gain: +1.03%
Avg Winner: +3.48%
Avg Loser: -3.52%
Best: +6.67%
Worst: -5.41%
Trades: 6/3

30MIN

Win Rate: 60.0%
Avg Gain: +2.33%
Avg Winner: +5.94%
Avg Loser: -3.09%
Best: +16.58%
Worst: -6.56%
Trades: 6/4

60MIN

Win Rate: 60.0%
Avg Gain: +0.41%
Avg Winner: +4.10%
Avg Loser: -5.11%
Best: +6.32%
Worst: -8.14%
Trades: 6/4

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 60.0%
Avg Gain: +1.23%
Avg Winner: +5.21%
Avg Loser: -4.74%
Best: +11.52%
Worst: -8.49%
Trades: 6/4

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +8.94%
Best MFE: +18.42%
Avg Time to MFE: 130 min

On average, NMRA alerts reach +8.94% profit potential within 130 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -2.02%
Worst MAE: -4.02%
Avg Time to MAE: 22 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 2.02%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

4.43:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 4.43x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 10 alerts, NMRA typically reaches +8.94% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 7.2% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 10
Gap Up % 40.0%
Avg Gap -0.08%
Best Gap +1.43%

🏭 Sector Comparison: BIOLOGICAL PRODUCTS, (NO DISGNOSTIC SUBSTANCES)

How NMRA compares to 128 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
NMRA: +0.65% Sector: -0.41% +1.06%
EOD Gain
NMRA: +1.22% Sector: +1233.50% -1232.28%
Avg MFE
NMRA: +9.73% Sector: +6.69% +3.05%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical NMRA alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-01-13 09:27:13 $2.17 +0.69% -0.46% +1.38% +1.38% +11.52% +12.44% -1.81% - WIN
2025-01-10 09:27:29 $2.34 -4.51% -4.70% -4.06% -7.05% -5.56% +0.43% -0.85% +0.43% LOSS
2025-01-08 09:27:47 $2.59 -3.86% -5.41% -6.56% -8.14% -8.49% - -1.54% -1.54% LOSS
2025-01-07 09:25:22 $2.51 +1.99% +4.78% +10.76% +5.58% +2.79% +13.94% -0.40% - WIN
2025-01-06 09:26:35 $2.25 +1.57% +6.67% +1.78% +4.85% +10.22% +15.11% -2.67% -0.44% WIN
2025-01-03 09:26:21 $2.24 - +3.54% +0.67% +3.54% -3.12% +10.71% -4.02% -0.45% -
2025-01-02 09:28:18 $1.9 +7.37% +5.26% +16.58% +6.32% +3.68% +18.42% -3.68% -1.05% WIN
2024-08-01 09:27:30 $12.86 +0.31% +0.27% -1.63% -3.93% -1.79% +4.28% +0.08% +0.08% WIN
2024-05-02 09:29:06 $9.1 - - -0.11% -1.32% +1.32% +1.81% -2.86% +1.43% -
2024-04-15 09:29:37 $11.0 +2.27% +0.36% +4.45% +2.91% +1.73% +12.27% -2.45% +0.73% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 66.7% Baseline on NMRA

The 66.7% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push NMRA's performance to 75%+.

Optimize NMRA Strategy →

Why Analyze NMRA with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for NMRA. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, NMRA historically offers an average upside of +8.94% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 NMRA Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 66.7%, NMRA shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show NMRA performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.65%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.