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NOC Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 1 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2023-01-19 → 2023-01-19

⚠️ Small sample size (1 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Jun 01, 1972 🔗 www.northropgrumman.com
💰 Market Cap: $96.04B 👥 Employees: 97,000
Northrop Grumman is a diversified defense contractor providing aeronautics, defense, and space systems. The company's aerospace segment produces autonomous and piloted aircraft such as Global Hawk drones and the new B-21 bomber, creates the fuselage for the massive F-35 program, and maintains and upgrades numerous other military aircraft. Defense systems makes artillery and missile ammunition and guidance systems, long-range missiles, and missile defense systems. Mission systems creates and integrates a variety of radar, navigation, and communication systems for avionics, weapons control, and countermeasures on a range of platforms from helicopters to destroyers. Space systems produces satellites, sensors, space structures, and rocket motors.
📊
1
Total Alerts
🎯
100.0%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
+0.87%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+1.08%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +0.87%
Avg Winner: +0.87%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +0.87%
Worst: +0.87%
Trades: 1/0

15MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +0.55%
Avg Winner: +0.55%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +0.55%
Worst: +0.55%
Trades: 1/0

30MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -0.03%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -0.03%
Best: -0.03%
Worst: -0.03%
Trades: 0/1

60MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +0.11%
Avg Winner: +0.11%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +0.11%
Worst: +0.11%
Trades: 1/0

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -1.30%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -1.30%
Best: -1.30%
Worst: -1.30%
Trades: 0/1

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.08%
Best MFE: +1.08%
Avg Time to MFE: 7 min

On average, NOC alerts reach +1.08% profit potential within 7 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.13%
Worst MAE: -0.13%
Avg Time to MAE: 2 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.13%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

8.53:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 8.53x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 1 alerts, NOC typically reaches +1.08% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.9% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 1
Gap Up % 0.0%
Avg Gap +0.00%
Best Gap +0.00%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SEARCH, DETECTION, NAVAGATION, GUIDANCE, AERONAUTICAL SYS

How NOC compares to 8 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
NOC: +0.87% Sector: -0.36% +1.22%
EOD Gain
NOC: -1.30% Sector: +14.05% -15.36%
Avg MFE
NOC: +1.08% Sector: +5.94% -4.85%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical NOC alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2023-01-19 09:28:00 $448.15 +0.87% +0.55% -0.03% +0.11% -1.30% +1.08% -0.13% - WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 100.0% Baseline on NOC

The 100.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push NOC's performance to 75%+.

Optimize NOC Strategy →

Why Analyze NOC with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for NOC. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, NOC historically offers an average upside of +1.08% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 NOC Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 100.0%, NOC shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show NOC performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.87%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.