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NRDY Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 10 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-08-24 → 2025-01-06

⚠️ Small sample size (10 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Sep 21, 2021 🔗 www.nerdy.com
💰 Market Cap: $137.7M 👥 Employees: 600
Nerdy Inc provides a platform for live online learning, with a mission to transform the way people learn through technology. The company's proprietary platform leverages technology, including AI, to connect learners with instructors across a wide range of subjects and formats, including subscription-based learning, one-on-one instruction, small group tutoring, large-format classes, and assessments. Its flagship business operates under the Varsity Tutors brand. The company's offerings are available directly to students and consumers, as well as through schools and other institutions.
📊
10
Total Alerts
🎯
50.0%
Win Rate (15MIN)
💰
-1.44%
Avg Gain (15MIN)
🚀
+6.51%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 40.0%
Avg Gain: -1.14%
Avg Winner: +3.61%
Avg Loser: -4.32%
Best: +5.84%
Worst: -20.00%
Trades: 4/6

15MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -1.44%
Avg Winner: +6.80%
Avg Loser: -9.69%
Best: +13.22%
Worst: -21.98%
Trades: 5/5

30MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -1.91%
Avg Winner: +7.82%
Avg Loser: -11.64%
Best: +15.56%
Worst: -22.23%
Trades: 5/5

60MIN

Win Rate: 40.0%
Avg Gain: -2.97%
Avg Winner: +8.52%
Avg Loser: -10.63%
Best: +13.64%
Worst: -22.95%
Trades: 4/6

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 40.0%
Avg Gain: -4.23%
Avg Winner: +8.79%
Avg Loser: -12.91%
Best: +15.04%
Worst: -32.31%
Trades: 4/6

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +6.51%
Best MFE: +16.43%
Avg Time to MFE: 51 min

On average, NRDY alerts reach +6.51% profit potential within 51 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -2.06%
Worst MAE: -5.04%
Avg Time to MAE: 2 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 2.06%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

3.17:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 3.17x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 10 alerts, NRDY typically reaches +6.51% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 5.2% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 10
Gap Up % 30.0%
Avg Gap -1.07%
Best Gap +0.85%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SERVICES-EDUCATIONAL SERVICES

How NRDY compares to 9 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
NRDY: -1.14% Sector: -0.49% -0.66%
EOD Gain
NRDY: -4.23% Sector: +426.83% -431.06%
Avg MFE
NRDY: +6.51% Sector: +5.81% +0.70%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical NRDY alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-01-06 09:25:54 $1.73 -0.69% +5.20% +4.62% +8.76% +12.14% +14.44% -2.23% -1.73% LOSS
2024-12-10 09:29:49 $1.76 +4.43% +4.83% +12.54% +7.34% -3.41% +13.64% -0.57% - WIN
2024-11-22 09:28:17 $1.37 +5.84% +3.28% +1.82% -1.82% +2.19% +6.57% -0.73% -0.73% WIN
2024-08-20 09:27:29 $1.17 -1.71% -6.85% -9.44% -11.54% -11.11% +1.71% -0.85% +0.85% LOSS
2024-08-12 09:26:32 $0.86 -1.68% -9.25% -12.05% -5.75% -12.75% +1.21% +0.03% +0.01% LOSS
2024-08-09 09:26:48 $1.22 -20.00% -21.98% -22.23% -22.95% -32.31% -1.64% -4.10% -7.38% LOSS
2024-02-28 09:25:04 $3.01 -0.33% -8.31% -13.62% -17.58% -17.28% +1.00% -2.33% +0.66% LOSS
2023-11-08 09:29:00 $2.41 +3.49% +7.47% +4.56% +4.36% +5.81% +9.96% -1.24% - WIN
2023-03-01 09:25:00 $2.86 +0.70% +13.22% +15.56% +13.64% +15.04% +16.43% -3.50% -1.75% WIN
2022-08-24 09:25:00 $3.37 -1.48% -2.05% -0.89% -4.15% -0.59% +1.78% -5.04% -0.59% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ NRDY Shows Negative Expectancy

With 50.0% win rate and -1.44% average gain, NRDY alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider NRDY for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze NRDY with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for NRDY. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, NRDY historically offers an average upside of +6.51% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 NRDY Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 50.0%, NRDY shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests NRDY may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: NRDY shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 15MIN at -1.44%). This suggests NRDY is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.