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NTES Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 76 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-26 → 2025-01-28

⚠️ Small sample size (76 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

NetEase, inc.
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Jun 30, 2000 🔗 ir.netease.com
💰 Market Cap: $84.06B 👥 Employees: 26,028
Founded in the late 1990s as an internet portal, NetEase has transformed into a leading force in the second-largest online game company gaming in China. While its initial success was built upon the massively multiplayer online role-playing game Fantasy Westward Journey, NetEase has expanded its portfolio with captivating franchises that resonate with both domestic and international players. Over the past decade, the company has created titles such as Justice, Identity V, Naraka: Bladepoint, and Eggy Party, all of which maintain significant player bases today. Beyond in-house development, the company also collaborates with likes of Microsoft and Marvel to create and publish games based on renowned IPs, including World of Warcraft, Diablo Immortal, and Marvel Rivals.
📊
76
Total Alerts
🎯
52.6%
Win Rate (15MIN)
💰
-0.01%
Avg Gain (15MIN)
🚀
+2.11%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 46.1%
Avg Gain: +0.11%
Avg Winner: +1.15%
Avg Loser: -0.78%
Best: +4.46%
Worst: -3.94%
Trades: 35/41

15MIN

Win Rate: 52.6%
Avg Gain: -0.01%
Avg Winner: +1.25%
Avg Loser: -1.41%
Best: +4.34%
Worst: -5.47%
Trades: 40/36

30MIN

Win Rate: 52.6%
Avg Gain: -0.04%
Avg Winner: +1.16%
Avg Loser: -1.39%
Best: +4.76%
Worst: -9.17%
Trades: 40/36

60MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -0.07%
Avg Winner: +1.61%
Avg Loser: -1.79%
Best: +5.83%
Worst: -9.41%
Trades: 38/37

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 43.4%
Avg Gain: -0.13%
Avg Winner: +2.33%
Avg Loser: -2.02%
Best: +7.38%
Worst: -9.26%
Trades: 33/43

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +2.11%
Best MFE: +10.06%
Avg Time to MFE: 89 min

On average, NTES alerts reach +2.11% profit potential within 89 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.65%
Worst MAE: -4.54%
Avg Time to MAE: 9 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.65%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

3.26:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 3.26x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 76 alerts, NTES typically reaches +2.11% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.7% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 76
Gap Up % 46.1%
Avg Gap +0.02%
Best Gap +4.11%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical NTES alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-01-28 09:27:31 $102.33 -0.70% -0.67% -1.15% -0.75% +1.07% +1.10% -2.18% -0.19% LOSS
2025-01-15 09:29:18 $100.32 -0.77% -0.38% -0.09% +2.03% +3.59% +4.47% -1.07% -0.62% LOSS
2025-01-13 09:25:22 $95.14 -0.50% -0.57% -1.12% -0.80% -0.94% +0.81% -0.69% -0.47% LOSS
2025-01-06 09:27:34 $89.22 +1.34% +0.67% +1.08% +1.05% -1.12% +1.68% +0.12% +0.75% WIN
2024-12-09 09:28:57 $99.83 +0.02% +0.16% +1.16% +0.67% +1.13% +2.58% -0.83% +0.17% WIN
2024-11-14 09:28:29 $81.3 -0.18% +0.91% +1.27% +0.91% +3.59% +4.07% -0.50% -0.33% LOSS
2024-10-09 09:29:39 $88.7 -1.06% -0.74% -0.06% -0.17% +0.43% +1.77% -1.45% +0.20% LOSS
2024-10-02 09:25:28 $103.05 -0.17% +0.48% -1.13% -2.07% +1.17% +1.31% -2.51% -0.05% LOSS
2024-09-26 09:26:14 $94.26 -1.34% -0.77% -1.87% -4.05% -3.32% +0.57% +0.39% +0.05% LOSS
2024-09-25 09:29:13 $86.12 +1.21% +0.82% +1.45% +1.51% +0.89% +2.02% -0.33% -0.02% WIN
2024-08-22 09:26:08 $86.15 -1.71% -2.89% -2.09% -2.47% -4.53% -0.02% -0.75% -0.84% LOSS
2024-07-24 09:28:41 $95.0 +0.81% +1.05% +0.21% +0.45% -0.60% +1.24% +0.06% +0.44% WIN
2024-05-23 09:29:09 $95.05 +1.79% +1.38% +0.42% +1.40% -0.33% +3.15% -0.05% -0.05% WIN
2024-05-10 09:25:34 $98.8 +0.63% -0.05% -0.06% -0.10% -0.27% +0.90% -0.24% -0.19% WIN
2024-05-07 09:25:31 $97.8 -1.06% -0.27% -0.58% -1.34% -0.89% -0.08% -1.33% -0.28% LOSS
2024-04-09 09:27:47 $100.76 -0.87% -0.70% -0.91% -1.11% -0.14% -0.01% -1.26% -0.19% LOSS
2024-04-04 09:27:41 $97.5 -0.38% +0.03% -0.64% -0.84% -1.47% +0.29% +0.29% +0.02% LOSS
2024-03-22 09:25:50 $106.28 -0.80% -0.48% -0.61% -0.92% -0.72% +0.51% -0.79% +0.51% LOSS
2024-03-18 09:25:26 $106.2 -0.06% -1.07% -1.11% -0.60% -0.41% +0.25% -0.52% -0.20% LOSS
2024-02-29 09:28:15 $109.0 +3.11% +3.11% +1.16% - -0.99% +4.13% -0.46% +0.05% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ NTES Shows Negative Expectancy

Despite a 52.6% win rate, NTES has -0.01% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve the win size or reduce loss size, making NTES profitable.

🔧 Fix NTES Risk/Reward →

Why Analyze NTES with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for NTES. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, NTES historically offers an average upside of +2.11% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 NTES Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 52.6%, NTES shows negative expectancy despite winning more often - average losses (-1.41%) outweigh average wins (+1.25%). This suggests the need for tighter stops or better entry timing.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: NTES shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 15MIN at -0.01%). This suggests NTES is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.