FILTRIX Logo FILTRIX Find Your Edge →
Ticker Report — Active Last signal ·

$NVD

Trade-Ideas alerts 59.0% at EOD n=327 2024-02-06 → 2026-10-02

🏢 Company Profile

GraniteShares ETF Trust GraniteShares 2x Short NVDA Daily ETF
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Aug 21, 2023
Total alerts
327
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate · EOD
59.0%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain · EOD
+549.90%
Per-alert expectancy
Avg MFE
+3.97%
Max potential excursion

Practice trading NVD on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 52.3%
Avg Gain: +0.06%
Avg Winner: +0.99%
Avg Loser: -1.04%
Best: +3.77%
Worst: -4.26%
Trades: 171/145

15MIN

Win Rate: 45.6%
Avg Gain: -0.01%
Avg Winner: +1.80%
Avg Loser: -1.55%
Best: +9.38%
Worst: -6.30%
Trades: 149/174

30MIN

Win Rate: 45.9%
Avg Gain: -0.01%
Avg Winner: +2.20%
Avg Loser: -1.94%
Best: +10.22%
Worst: -9.60%
Trades: 150/171

60MIN

Win Rate: 48.8%
Avg Gain: +0.08%
Avg Winner: +2.68%
Avg Loser: -2.42%
Best: +12.81%
Worst: -9.93%
Trades: 159/165

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 59.0%
Avg Gain: +549.90%
Avg Winner: +934.30%
Avg Loser: -3.88%
Best: +2787.56%
Worst: -14.16%
Trades: 193/129

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +3.97%
Best MFE: +20.21%
Avg Time to MFE: 123 min

On average, NVD alerts reach +3.97% profit potential within 123 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.33%
Worst MAE: -6.06%
Avg Time to MAE: 11 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.33%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.99:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.99x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 327 alerts, NVD typically reaches +3.97% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 3.2% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 327
Gap Up % 40.4%
Avg Gap -0.01%
Best Gap +1.22%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical NVD alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2026-10-02 09:25:00 $3.41 +0.15% -0.57% -1.58% -2.02% +1.17% +1.76% -2.05% -0.29% WIN
2026-09-30 09:25:00 $3.59 +0.00% -1.11% -1.08% -1.39% +1.39% +1.39% -2.51% +0.28% LOSS
2026-09-29 09:25:00 $3.56 -0.28% +0.54% +0.25% +0.42% +2.81% +3.09% -1.97% -0.28% LOSS
2026-09-28 09:25:00 $3.6 -1.17% -3.06% -2.36% -1.95% +0.28% +1.11% -3.61% -0.28% LOSS
2026-09-25 09:25:00 $3.74 +0.00% -0.43% -0.45% +1.07% -0.27% +1.74% -1.74% -0.27% LOSS
2026-09-24 09:25:00 $3.82 -0.34% -0.26% -0.02% +0.26% -1.83% +1.31% -0.34% +0.39% LOSS
2026-09-23 09:25:00 $3.64 -0.00% -0.00% +0.14% +2.06% +2.20% +3.57% -0.82% +0.27% LOSS
2026-09-22 09:25:00 $3.69 -1.13% -1.62% -0.67% -1.43% -2.16% +0.28% -0.22% -0.27% LOSS
2026-09-18 09:25:00 $3.96 +0.50% -0.87% -1.13% -1.29% -3.15% +0.63% -0.88% -0.38% WIN
2026-09-17 09:25:00 $3.95 +1.45% +0.82% +0.44% -0.45% -0.32% +1.96% +0.06% +0.69% WIN
2026-09-15 09:25:00 $4.19 -0.24% -0.36% -0.24% +0.22% +0.72% +1.67% -1.19% -0.48% LOSS
2026-09-14 09:25:00 $4.25 +0.86% +1.88% +0.59% +1.06% +0.24% +2.12% -0.94% +0.24% WIN
2026-09-11 09:25:00 $3.9 +0.20% +0.85% -0.44% -0.69% +2.26% +2.51% -1.08% -0.05% WIN
2026-09-10 09:25:00 $3.92 -0.01% +1.15% +2.80% +1.40% +1.53% +2.81% -0.70% +0.00% LOSS
2026-09-08 09:25:00 $3.53 -0.57% +1.84% +2.69% +4.11% +5.95% +6.80% -0.85% -0.28% LOSS
2026-09-04 09:25:00 $3.58 +0.84% -2.10% -2.93% -2.93% +0.56% +1.26% -3.35% +0.00% WIN
2026-09-03 09:25:00 $3.75 +0.61% -1.66% -1.92% -1.92% -2.72% +0.88% -0.59% -0.06% WIN
2026-09-02 09:25:00 $4.0 -0.62% -1.00% -0.87% -4.11% -5.37% +0.87% +0.85% +0.12% LOSS
2026-09-01 09:25:00 $4.07 +0.00% +0.86% +0.00% -0.98% -0.49% +1.72% -0.12% +0.25% LOSS
2026-08-31 09:25:00 $4.02 -0.18% +0.47% +0.06% -0.77% -2.24% +2.24% -0.73% -0.25% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

Beat the 59.0% Baseline on NVD

The 59.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and push NVD's performance to 75%+.

Optimize NVD Strategy →

Why Analyze NVD with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for NVD. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, NVD historically offers an average upside of +3.97% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 NVD Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 59.0%, NVD shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show NVD performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +549.90%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.