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Latest signal:

NVDY Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 84 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2023-05-25 → 2025-02-12

⚠️ Small sample size (84 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

YieldMax NVDA Option Income Strategy ETF
📍 NYSE Arca 📅 IPO: May 11, 2023
📊
84
Total Alerts
🎯
54.8%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
+0.12%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+1.53%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 40.5%
Avg Gain: -0.14%
Avg Winner: +0.40%
Avg Loser: -0.52%
Best: +1.50%
Worst: -2.11%
Trades: 34/49

15MIN

Win Rate: 45.2%
Avg Gain: -0.13%
Avg Winner: +0.72%
Avg Loser: -0.84%
Best: +3.01%
Worst: -3.45%
Trades: 38/45

30MIN

Win Rate: 48.8%
Avg Gain: -0.16%
Avg Winner: +0.93%
Avg Loser: -1.20%
Best: +5.76%
Worst: -4.05%
Trades: 41/43

60MIN

Win Rate: 47.0%
Avg Gain: -0.19%
Avg Winner: +1.08%
Avg Loser: -1.31%
Best: +5.81%
Worst: -4.56%
Trades: 39/44

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 54.8%
Avg Gain: +0.12%
Avg Winner: +1.78%
Avg Loser: -1.89%
Best: +7.84%
Worst: -6.60%
Trades: 46/38

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.53%
Best MFE: +10.18%
Avg Time to MFE: 153 min

On average, NVDY alerts reach +1.53% profit potential within 153 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.81%
Worst MAE: -7.35%
Avg Time to MAE: 13 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.81%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

1.89:1

Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 84 alerts, NVDY typically reaches +1.53% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.2% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 84
Gap Up % 41.7%
Avg Gap -0.04%
Best Gap +0.58%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical NVDY alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-12 09:29:13 $20.4 +0.34% +1.03% +0.98% +0.79% +0.98% +1.15% -0.59% -0.25% WIN
2025-02-11 09:25:50 $20.59 +0.02% +1.02% +1.07% +0.75% +0.24% +1.17% -0.05% +0.10% WIN
2025-02-10 09:25:04 $20.44 -0.05% +1.13% +1.56% +1.79% +1.32% +2.05% -0.44% -0.29% LOSS
2025-02-07 09:26:21 $20.15 +0.20% +0.35% +0.45% +0.15% +0.69% +0.74% -0.59% +0.10% WIN
2025-02-06 09:28:17 $19.87 -0.20% -0.96% -0.59% -0.40% +1.06% +1.06% -1.01% +0.15% LOSS
2025-02-05 09:25:38 $19.05 +0.81% +0.10% +0.63% +0.73% +2.89% +2.88% -0.16% +0.47% WIN
2025-02-04 09:28:13 $18.39 +0.54% +1.47% +2.34% +2.66% +1.69% +3.43% -0.05% -0.05% WIN
2025-02-03 09:28:13 $17.96 +0.11% +0.56% +0.67% +1.11% +2.00% +3.67% -0.78% +0.42% WIN
2025-01-31 09:26:51 $19.33 -0.29% +0.10% -0.05% +1.11% -2.59% +2.28% -0.72% -0.10% LOSS
2025-01-30 09:26:51 $19.11 -0.40% -1.31% -0.50% -2.15% +1.31% +1.26% -3.87% -0.31% LOSS
2025-01-29 09:26:57 $20.36 -0.42% -1.03% -0.54% -1.67% -2.21% +0.20% -0.10% +0.05% LOSS
2025-01-28 09:28:44 $19.7 -2.08% -3.45% -1.57% -0.02% +4.97% +4.82% -4.06% +0.10% LOSS
2025-01-27 09:26:24 $20.43 +0.15% -0.34% +0.81% -1.59% -6.07% +1.81% -1.49% -0.73% WIN
2025-01-24 09:28:53 $23.84 -0.20% -0.83% -0.25% -1.19% -3.23% +0.17% -0.17% +0.04% LOSS
2025-01-23 09:28:02 $23.32 -0.32% +0.26% +0.21% +0.24% +1.63% +1.54% -0.64% - LOSS
2025-01-22 09:28:35 $23.45 -0.30% +0.58% +0.22% +0.29% +0.68% +0.98% -0.77% -0.13% LOSS
2025-01-21 09:25:23 $22.83 -0.09% -0.53% +0.07% -0.37% +0.66% +1.18% -0.74% +0.09% LOSS
2025-01-15 09:29:28 $22.06 -0.72% -0.25% -0.14% +0.20% +1.45% +1.45% -1.58% -0.27% LOSS
2025-01-14 09:28:44 $22.29 -0.09% -0.27% -1.34% -1.88% -2.29% +0.31% -0.18% +0.31% LOSS
2025-01-13 09:26:07 $21.41 +0.75% +0.37% +1.88% +1.03% +2.62% +2.61% -0.12% +0.30% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 54.8% Baseline on NVDY

The 54.8% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push NVDY's performance to 75%+.

Optimize NVDY Strategy →

Why Analyze NVDY with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for NVDY. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, NVDY historically offers an average upside of +1.53% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 NVDY Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 54.8%, NVDY shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show NVDY performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.12%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.