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Ticker Report — Active Last signal ·

$NVDY

Trade-Ideas alerts 51.2% at 60-min n=241 2023-05-25 → 2026-10-02

🏢 Company Profile

YieldMax NVDA Option Income Strategy ETF
📍 NYSE Arca 📅 IPO: May 10, 2023
Total alerts
241
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate · 60MIN
51.2%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain · 60MIN
-0.10%
Per-alert expectancy
Avg MFE
+1.27%
Max potential excursion

Practice trading NVDY on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 41.1%
Avg Gain: -0.07%
Avg Winner: +0.38%
Avg Loser: -0.40%
Best: +1.50%
Worst: -2.11%
Trades: 99/135

15MIN

Win Rate: 46.5%
Avg Gain: -0.04%
Avg Winner: +0.64%
Avg Loser: -0.68%
Best: +3.01%
Worst: -3.45%
Trades: 112/121

30MIN

Win Rate: 49.4%
Avg Gain: -0.07%
Avg Winner: +0.76%
Avg Loser: -0.92%
Best: +5.76%
Worst: -4.05%
Trades: 119/118

60MIN

Win Rate: 51.2%
Avg Gain: -0.10%
Avg Winner: +0.85%
Avg Loser: -1.09%
Best: +5.81%
Worst: -4.56%
Trades: 123/117

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 49.4%
Avg Gain: -0.02%
Avg Winner: +1.42%
Avg Loser: -1.48%
Best: +7.84%
Worst: -6.60%
Trades: 119/118

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.27%
Best MFE: +10.18%
Avg Time to MFE: 139 min

On average, NVDY alerts reach +1.27% profit potential within 139 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.54%
Worst MAE: -7.35%
Avg Time to MAE: 12 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.54%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.33:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.33x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 241 alerts, NVDY typically reaches +1.27% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.0% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 241
Gap Up % 41.1%
Avg Gap -0.01%
Best Gap +0.79%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical NVDY alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2026-10-02 09:25:00 $12.9 -0.14% +0.10% +0.41% +0.60% -0.53% +0.71% -0.29% -0.06% LOSS
2026-10-01 09:25:00 $12.71 -0.24% +0.17% +0.43% -0.12% +0.20% +0.47% -0.43% -0.04% LOSS
2026-09-30 09:25:00 $12.77 +0.04% +0.40% +0.39% +0.47% -0.24% +0.86% -0.16% -0.00% WIN
2026-09-29 09:25:00 $12.79 +0.23% +0.00% +0.04% +0.04% -0.70% +0.82% +0.00% +0.08% WIN
2026-09-28 09:25:00 $12.76 +0.39% +1.06% +0.82% +0.63% -0.08% +1.18% +0.00% +0.00% WIN
2026-09-24 09:25:00 $12.45 +0.24% +0.24% +0.24% +0.20% +0.80% +0.80% -0.24% +0.16% WIN
2026-09-23 09:25:00 $12.74 +0.00% +0.08% -0.02% -0.71% -0.63% +0.20% -0.08% -0.04% LOSS
2026-09-22 09:25:00 $12.68 +0.47% +0.63% +0.31% +0.47% +0.71% +1.02% -0.16% +0.08% WIN
2026-09-21 09:25:00 $12.54 -0.16% +0.44% +0.52% +0.32% +1.56% +1.83% -0.28% +0.04% LOSS
2026-09-18 09:25:00 $12.4 -0.32% +0.08% +0.08% +0.28% +1.05% +1.17% -0.48% -0.12% LOSS
2026-09-17 09:25:00 $12.33 -0.24% +0.00% +0.12% +0.49% +0.41% +0.73% -0.41% -0.16% LOSS
2026-09-16 09:25:00 $12.19 -0.16% -0.08% +0.33% +0.41% +0.00% +1.11% -0.33% +0.00% LOSS
2026-09-15 09:25:00 $12.12 +0.00% +0.16% +0.12% -0.08% -0.41% +0.41% -0.08% +0.04% LOSS
2026-09-14 09:25:00 $12.1 -0.66% -1.49% -0.79% -1.07% -0.66% +0.08% -1.57% -0.41% LOSS
2026-09-11 09:25:00 $12.49 -0.16% -0.40% +0.16% +0.28% -0.96% +0.37% -0.72% +0.32% LOSS
2026-09-10 09:25:00 $12.5 -0.24% -0.88% -1.56% -0.92% -1.20% +0.00% -0.12% -0.24% LOSS
2026-09-09 09:25:00 $12.79 +0.23% +0.31% -0.08% -0.16% -0.31% +0.43% -0.08% +0.16% WIN
2026-09-08 09:25:00 $13.07 +0.46% -0.38% -0.69% -1.22% -1.91% +0.46% +0.00% +0.15% WIN
2026-09-04 09:25:00 $13.01 -0.15% +0.85% +1.04% +1.00% -0.23% +1.15% -0.19% -0.08% LOSS
2026-09-03 09:25:00 $12.82 -0.31% +0.47% +0.66% +0.58% +0.78% +1.37% -0.39% +0.00% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠ NVDY Shows Negative Expectancy

Despite a 51.2% win rate, NVDY has -0.10% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve win size or reduce loss size, making NVDY profitable.

🔧 Fix NVDY Risk / Reward →

Why Analyze NVDY with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for NVDY. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, NVDY historically offers an average upside of +1.27% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 NVDY Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 51.2%, NVDY shows negative expectancy despite winning more often - average losses (-1.09%) outweigh average wins (+0.85%). This suggests the need for tighter stops or better entry timing.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: NVDY shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 60MIN at -0.10%). This suggests NVDY is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.