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NVFY Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 8 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-03-17 → 2024-12-23

⚠️ Small sample size (8 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Nova Lifestyle, Inc. HOUSEHOLD FURNITURE (SIC 2510)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Mar 29, 2010 🔗 www.novalifestyle.com
💰 Market Cap: $24.2M 👥 Employees: 27
Nova Lifestyle Inc is a designer and lifestyle furniture company. It distributes and retails contemporary styled residential and commercial furniture. The firms marketing and sales platform offers retail as well as online selection and purchase fulfillment internationally. The company also sells managed a variety of bedding foundation components. Its collection of lifestyle furniture brands includes Diamond Sofa. The firm's products are made in the United States and Asia. Its customers mainly comprise distributors and retailers having specific geographic coverages that deploy middle to high-end private label home furnishings. The company operates in one business and industry segment: the design and sale of furniture.
📊
8
Total Alerts
🎯
62.5%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
+84.01%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+15.84%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +2.39%
Avg Winner: +10.38%
Avg Loser: -5.59%
Best: +23.94%
Worst: -9.77%
Trades: 4/4

15MIN

Win Rate: 42.9%
Avg Gain: +0.52%
Avg Winner: +10.95%
Avg Loser: -7.30%
Best: +22.19%
Worst: -10.93%
Trades: 3/4

30MIN

Win Rate: 37.5%
Avg Gain: -0.61%
Avg Winner: +7.64%
Avg Loser: -5.56%
Best: +12.51%
Worst: -13.72%
Trades: 3/5

60MIN

Win Rate: 28.6%
Avg Gain: -6.58%
Avg Winner: +6.30%
Avg Loser: -11.73%
Best: +8.85%
Worst: -24.59%
Trades: 2/5

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 62.5%
Avg Gain: +84.01%
Avg Winner: +140.93%
Avg Loser: -10.86%
Best: +418.25%
Worst: -12.39%
Trades: 5/3

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +15.84%
Best MFE: +52.63%
Avg Time to MFE: 115 min

On average, NVFY alerts reach +15.84% profit potential within 115 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -4.96%
Worst MAE: -12.41%
Avg Time to MAE: 9 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 4.96%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

3.19:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 3.19x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 8 alerts, NVFY typically reaches +15.84% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 12.7% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 8
Gap Up % 62.5%
Avg Gap +0.34%
Best Gap +9.09%

🏭 Sector Comparison: HOUSEHOLD FURNITURE

How NVFY compares to 5 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
NVFY: +3.14% Sector: +0.54% +2.60%
EOD Gain
NVFY: +94.29% Sector: +28.07% +66.22%
Avg MFE
NVFY: +15.16% Sector: +9.50% +5.65%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical NVFY alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-12-23 09:26:45 $0.5 -2.84% - -0.92% - +12.00% +20.66% -5.80% -1.80% LOSS
2024-03-25 09:28:48 $2.79 -3.18% +0.36% +1.08% -5.00% +4.30% +7.53% -7.89% -1.43% LOSS
2024-03-22 09:28:04 $3.47 +11.24% +22.19% +12.51% +3.75% -12.39% +27.37% - +0.86% WIN
2023-12-29 09:29:00 $4.3 -9.77% -10.93% -13.72% -16.74% -12.33% +0.70% -9.30% +0.70% LOSS
2023-12-28 09:27:00 $4.18 +23.94% +10.29% +9.33% +8.85% +12.44% +52.63% -1.20% +9.09% WIN
2023-07-17 09:27:00 $3.05 +3.95% -8.52% -7.14% -7.21% -7.87% +7.87% -2.29% +0.33% WIN
2022-08-18 09:25:00 $1.26 +2.38% -3.17% -2.38% -24.59% +257.66% +6.35% -0.79% +0.79% WIN
2022-03-17 09:25:00 $1.37 -6.58% -6.57% -3.66% -5.11% +418.25% +3.65% -12.41% -5.84% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 62.5% Baseline on NVFY

The 62.5% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push NVFY's performance to 75%+.

Optimize NVFY Strategy →

Why Analyze NVFY with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for NVFY. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, NVFY historically offers an average upside of +15.84% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 NVFY Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 62.5%, NVFY shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show NVFY performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +84.01%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.