Latest signal:
NVS Stock Analysis
Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 85 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-02-01 → 2025-02-13
⚠️ Small sample size (85 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.
🏢 Company Profile
📈 Performance by Timeframe
5MIN
15MIN
30MIN
60MIN
EOD (End of Day)
🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)
Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.
📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)
On average, NVS alerts reach +0.58% profit potential within 141 minutes.
📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)
Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.26%.
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio
Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.2x the typical drawdown.
💡 Trading Insight: Based on 85 alerts, NVS typically reaches +0.58% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.5% to capture most of the move.
🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)
📋 Last 20 Alerts
Historical NVS alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.
| Date | Time | Price | 5min | 15min | 30min | 60min | EOD | MFE | MAE | Gap | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-13 | 09:26:05 | $107.05 | -0.09% | -0.40% | -0.08% | +0.37% | +0.62% | +0.97% | -0.53% | -0.08% | LOSS |
| 2025-02-12 | 09:28:32 | $106.56 | -0.10% | +0.06% | -0.08% | +0.31% | +0.41% | +0.88% | -0.19% | - | LOSS |
| 2025-02-11 | 09:25:42 | $106.63 | +0.20% | -0.07% | +0.13% | +0.38% | +1.05% | +1.27% | -0.19% | -0.02% | WIN |
| 2024-10-29 | 09:25:03 | $111.69 | +0.03% | +0.41% | +0.72% | -0.22% | -1.04% | +0.97% | -0.26% | +0.11% | WIN |
| 2024-07-18 | 09:26:15 | $108.14 | -0.81% | -0.19% | -0.47% | -0.29% | -0.85% | +0.14% | -1.13% | -0.31% | LOSS |
| 2024-07-11 | 09:26:16 | $111.3 | +0.23% | -0.01% | -0.01% | -0.04% | -0.72% | +0.36% | -0.05% | - | WIN |
| 2024-04-24 | 09:29:04 | $98.43 | -0.05% | -0.39% | -0.77% | -0.33% | -0.08% | +0.12% | -0.25% | +0.07% | LOSS |
| 2024-04-23 | 09:27:06 | $98.52 | -0.31% | -0.66% | -0.38% | -0.74% | -1.26% | +0.99% | -0.16% | +0.22% | LOSS |
| 2024-04-11 | 09:29:34 | $94.81 | -0.03% | -0.54% | -0.55% | -1.03% | -0.50% | +0.11% | +0.05% | +0.06% | LOSS |
| 2024-04-10 | 09:26:17 | $94.54 | +0.02% | -0.23% | -0.20% | -0.15% | -0.17% | +0.14% | -0.01% | +0.03% | WIN |
| 2024-04-02 | 09:26:59 | $94.6 | -0.18% | -0.24% | -0.17% | -0.43% | -0.20% | +0.04% | -0.12% | +0.04% | LOSS |
| 2024-03-27 | 09:26:04 | $95.5 | +0.04% | +0.18% | +0.07% | +0.06% | +0.40% | +0.42% | -0.24% | - | WIN |
| 2024-02-06 | 09:25:01 | $103.3 | +0.01% | -0.17% | -0.06% | -0.03% | +0.43% | +0.61% | -0.33% | +0.01% | WIN |
| 2023-11-20 | 09:27:00 | $94.86 | +0.01% | +0.32% | +0.43% | +0.50% | +0.41% | +0.75% | -0.16% | -0.13% | WIN |
| 2023-11-17 | 09:27:00 | $94.86 | -0.05% | -0.01% | -0.04% | +0.04% | +0.05% | +0.27% | -0.07% | +0.06% | LOSS |
| 2023-11-16 | 09:26:00 | $93.97 | -0.02% | -0.17% | -0.12% | +0.23% | +0.10% | +0.32% | -0.26% | -0.09% | LOSS |
| 2023-11-08 | 09:27:00 | $94.39 | +0.12% | +0.32% | +0.57% | +0.19% | -0.01% | +0.66% | - | +0.06% | WIN |
| 2023-10-24 | 09:29:00 | $94.39 | +0.77% | +0.50% | +0.38% | +0.73% | +0.55% | +1.17% | -0.21% | +0.15% | WIN |
| 2023-10-12 | 09:26:00 | $98.85 | +0.32% | - | -0.23% | +0.03% | -0.99% | +0.45% | -0.11% | +0.07% | WIN |
| 2023-10-11 | 09:26:00 | $99.44 | -0.07% | -0.48% | +0.04% | -0.37% | -0.03% | +0.07% | -0.60% | +0.04% | LOSS |
Table Metrics Explained:
- 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
- MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
- MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
- Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
- Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise
⚠️ NVS Shows Negative Expectancy
Despite a 51.8% win rate, NVS has -0.00% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve the win size or reduce loss size, making NVS profitable.
🔧 Fix NVS Risk/Reward →Why Analyze NVS with FILTRIX?
🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation
We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for NVS. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.
💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis
How much is left in the move? On winning days, NVS historically offers an average upside of +0.58% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.
📊 NVS Momentum Personality
With a baseline win rate of 51.8%, NVS shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.
⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing
⚠️ Caution Advised: NVS shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 60MIN at -0.00%). This suggests NVS is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.