Latest signal:
NVTA Stock Analysis
Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 241 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-24 → 2023-12-28
📈 Performance by Timeframe
5MIN
15MIN
30MIN
60MIN
EOD (End of Day)
🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)
Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.
📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)
On average, NVTA alerts reach +6.11% profit potential within 98 minutes.
📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)
Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 2.01%.
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio
Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 3.04x the typical drawdown.
💡 Trading Insight: Based on 241 alerts, NVTA typically reaches +6.11% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 4.9% to capture most of the move.
🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)
📋 Last 20 Alerts
Historical NVTA alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.
| Date | Time | Price | 5min | 15min | 30min | 60min | EOD | MFE | MAE | Gap | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-12-28 | 09:27:00 | $0.68 | -0.25% | -1.86% | -3.39% | -3.24% | -1.30% | +3.10% | -6.86% | -0.18% | LOSS |
| 2023-12-26 | 09:26:00 | $0.72 | +0.34% | -1.99% | -1.28% | -3.49% | -2.33% | +1.17% | -6.99% | +0.57% | WIN |
| 2023-12-21 | 09:25:00 | $0.71 | -4.16% | -8.03% | -7.69% | -6.69% | -7.97% | +1.28% | -2.47% | - | LOSS |
| 2023-12-19 | 09:27:00 | $0.61 | +0.81% | +2.79% | +4.23% | +1.69% | +10.33% | +10.66% | -1.62% | - | WIN |
| 2023-12-18 | 09:28:00 | $0.63 | -1.93% | +1.57% | -2.54% | -6.82% | -5.93% | +1.90% | -2.57% | -0.97% | LOSS |
| 2023-12-15 | 09:28:00 | $0.7 | -2.11% | -4.94% | -7.72% | -8.22% | -11.19% | +0.11% | +0.01% | -2.28% | LOSS |
| 2023-12-14 | 09:28:00 | $0.61 | +2.46% | +5.13% | +8.86% | +12.34% | +5.19% | +14.16% | -3.25% | -2.70% | WIN |
| 2023-12-06 | 09:28:00 | $0.59 | -1.48% | -0.99% | +0.82% | +2.26% | -0.24% | +5.24% | -2.49% | -0.08% | LOSS |
| 2023-12-05 | 09:29:00 | $0.6 | -1.63% | -3.78% | -2.92% | -1.77% | -2.30% | +1.65% | -4.00% | -1.67% | LOSS |
| 2023-11-29 | 09:28:00 | $0.52 | +2.89% | +2.56% | +6.54% | +4.85% | -0.48% | +9.64% | -0.92% | +0.65% | WIN |
| 2023-11-20 | 09:26:00 | $0.56 | +1.52% | +4.45% | +5.52% | +2.11% | +0.91% | +7.24% | -1.14% | - | WIN |
| 2023-11-17 | 09:29:00 | $0.55 | -0.96% | - | -2.20% | +0.52% | +5.24% | +7.18% | -2.73% | - | LOSS |
| 2023-11-15 | 09:26:00 | $0.59 | +0.93% | +7.16% | +7.82% | +6.10% | -7.21% | +9.15% | -0.47% | +0.32% | WIN |
| 2023-11-14 | 09:26:00 | $0.56 | -1.57% | +0.34% | +0.68% | -0.29% | +7.26% | +7.26% | -3.47% | -2.57% | LOSS |
| 2023-11-13 | 09:25:00 | $0.48 | -0.76% | -2.27% | -6.28% | -4.90% | +6.76% | +10.93% | -6.49% | -0.17% | LOSS |
| 2023-11-10 | 09:28:00 | $0.46 | -0.77% | -0.79% | +5.15% | +6.21% | +2.91% | +10.03% | -1.95% | +1.29% | LOSS |
| 2023-11-09 | 09:26:00 | $0.61 | -0.08% | -6.52% | -5.76% | -12.66% | -31.30% | +1.23% | - | - | LOSS |
| 2023-11-08 | 09:25:00 | $0.71 | +1.10% | -0.31% | +2.36% | -2.81% | -2.53% | +3.24% | -0.99% | +3.24% | WIN |
| 2023-11-07 | 09:28:00 | $0.67 | +2.17% | +1.03% | +4.76% | +6.21% | +2.43% | +6.21% | -1.18% | -1.18% | WIN |
| 2023-11-06 | 09:29:00 | $0.64 | +1.41% | +1.58% | +1.72% | +5.14% | +4.36% | +6.56% | -0.41% | - | WIN |
Table Metrics Explained:
- 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
- MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
- MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
- Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
- Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise
⚠️ NVTA Shows Negative Expectancy
With 40.7% win rate and -0.65% average gain, NVTA alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider NVTA for short-selling strategies.
📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →Why Analyze NVTA with FILTRIX?
🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation
We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for NVTA. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.
💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis
How much is left in the move? On winning days, NVTA historically offers an average upside of +6.11% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.
📊 NVTA Momentum Personality
With a baseline win rate of 40.7%, NVTA shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests NVTA may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.
⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing
⚠️ Caution Advised: NVTA shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 30MIN at -0.65%). This suggests NVTA is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.