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NXT Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 12 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2023-06-29 → 2025-02-05

⚠️ Small sample size (12 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Feb 09, 2023 🔗 www.nextpower.com
💰 Market Cap: $15.58B 👥 Employees: 1,300
Nextracker (and its subsidiaries) is a leading provider of intelligent, integrated solar tracker and software solutions used in utility-scale and distributed generation solar projects around the world. Nextracker's products enable solar panels in utility-scale power plants to follow the sun's movement across the sky and optimize plant performance. Nextracker has operations in the United States, Mexico, Spain and other countries in Europe, India, Australia, the Middle East, Africa, and Brazil.
📊
12
Total Alerts
🎯
54.5%
Win Rate (60MIN)
💰
+0.15%
Avg Gain (60MIN)
🚀
+3.79%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 36.4%
Avg Gain: -1.01%
Avg Winner: +1.12%
Avg Loser: -2.22%
Best: +1.76%
Worst: -5.59%
Trades: 4/7

15MIN

Win Rate: 36.4%
Avg Gain: -0.66%
Avg Winner: +1.88%
Avg Loser: -2.11%
Best: +3.13%
Worst: -4.22%
Trades: 4/7

30MIN

Win Rate: 45.5%
Avg Gain: -0.41%
Avg Winner: +1.91%
Avg Loser: -2.34%
Best: +4.22%
Worst: -7.01%
Trades: 5/6

60MIN

Win Rate: 54.5%
Avg Gain: +0.15%
Avg Winner: +1.97%
Avg Loser: -2.04%
Best: +4.00%
Worst: -5.99%
Trades: 6/5

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +0.84%
Avg Winner: +4.31%
Avg Loser: -2.63%
Best: +9.64%
Worst: -6.28%
Trades: 6/6

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +3.79%
Best MFE: +12.36%
Avg Time to MFE: 72 min

On average, NXT alerts reach +3.79% profit potential within 72 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.57%
Worst MAE: -3.20%
Avg Time to MAE: 23 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.57%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

6.66:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 6.66x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 12 alerts, NXT typically reaches +3.79% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 3.0% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 12
Gap Up % 58.3%
Avg Gap +0.16%
Best Gap +0.80%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SEARCH, DETECTION, NAVAGATION, GUIDANCE, AERONAUTICAL SYS

How NXT compares to 8 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
NXT: -1.01% Sector: -0.36% -0.65%
EOD Gain
NXT: +0.04% Sector: +14.05% -14.02%
Avg MFE
NXT: +3.01% Sector: +5.94% -2.92%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical NXT alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-05 09:27:54 $48.7 -2.65% -1.44% -0.07% +0.12% -3.72% +0.51% -2.90% -0.23% LOSS
2025-01-29 09:25:15 $49.58 -5.59% -4.22% -1.56% -1.29% -0.69% +1.43% -2.18% +0.65% LOSS
2024-11-06 09:29:01 $39.0 -1.90% -1.79% -2.05% +3.41% +6.74% +8.86% -3.20% - LOSS
2024-10-31 09:29:39 $38.81 +1.03% -2.11% -2.71% -0.64% +2.60% +5.64% -1.55% +0.18% WIN
2024-05-15 09:28:44 $49.06 -3.09% -4.08% -7.01% -5.99% -6.28% +0.37% -2.67% -0.12% LOSS
2024-05-07 09:27:49 $46.87 +0.45% +0.09% +0.78% +1.26% -1.81% +1.83% -0.43% +0.45% WIN
2024-04-01 09:27:21 $57.0 -0.16% -0.14% +0.53% -0.47% -1.40% +0.69% -0.16% +0.42% LOSS
2024-02-05 09:27:56 $57.25 -1.87% -1.00% -0.66% -1.80% -1.90% - -0.59% -1.14% LOSS
2024-02-01 00:00:00 $51.53 - - - - +9.64% +12.36% +6.73% +0.78% -
2023-11-22 09:28:00 $39.23 -0.32% +1.45% +1.58% +0.84% +0.82% +1.89% -0.32% -0.15% LOSS
2023-07-17 09:28:00 $37.52 +1.76% +2.84% +2.45% +2.20% +4.16% +6.29% +0.69% +0.80% WIN
2023-06-29 09:25:00 $37.4 +1.23% +3.13% +4.22% +4.00% +1.87% +5.62% -0.27% +0.27% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 54.5% Baseline on NXT

The 54.5% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push NXT's performance to 75%+.

Optimize NXT Strategy →

Why Analyze NXT with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for NXT. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, NXT historically offers an average upside of +3.79% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 NXT Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 54.5%, NXT shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show NXT performs best on the 60MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.15%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.