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OEC Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 1 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2024-02-16 → 2024-02-16

⚠️ Small sample size (1 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Jul 25, 2014 🔗 www.orioncarbons.com
💰 Market Cap: $358.2M 👥 Employees: 1,658
Orion SA is a manufacturer of carbon black products. Carbon black is a powdered form of carbon used to create the desired physical, electrical and optical qualities of various materials. The company's operating segments are Specialty Carbon Black and Rubber Carbon Black. It generates maximum revenue from the Rubber Carbon Black segment. Rubber Carbon Black segment is used in the reinforcement of rubber in tires and mechanical rubber goods. The Specialty Carbon Black segment is used as pigments and performance additives in coatings, polymers, printing and special applications. Geographically, it derives a majority of its revenue from Germany.
📊
1
Total Alerts
🎯
0.0%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
-1.66%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+0.51%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -1.66%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -1.66%
Best: -1.66%
Worst: -1.66%
Trades: 0/1

15MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -2.25%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -2.25%
Best: -2.25%
Worst: -2.25%
Trades: 0/1

30MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -2.10%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -2.10%
Best: -2.10%
Worst: -2.10%
Trades: 0/1

60MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -0.34%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -0.34%
Best: -0.34%
Worst: -0.34%
Trades: 0/1

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -0.85%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -0.85%
Best: -0.85%
Worst: -0.85%
Trades: 0/1

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +0.51%
Best MFE: +0.51%
Avg Time to MFE: 256 min

On average, OEC alerts reach +0.51% profit potential within 256 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -2.78%
Worst MAE: -2.78%
Avg Time to MAE: 28 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 2.78%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

0.18:1

Challenging risk/reward - consider tighter stops.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 1 alerts, OEC typically reaches +0.51% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.4% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 1
Gap Up % 0.0%
Avg Gap -1.27%
Best Gap -1.27%

🏭 Sector Comparison: MISCELLANEOUS CHEMICAL PRODUCTS

How OEC compares to 7 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
OEC: -1.66% Sector: -0.67% -0.99%
EOD Gain
OEC: -0.85% Sector: +62.24% -63.09%
Avg MFE
OEC: +0.51% Sector: +7.41% -6.90%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical OEC alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-02-16 09:26:50 $23.53 -1.66% -2.25% -2.10% -0.34% -0.85% +0.51% -2.78% -1.27% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ OEC Shows Negative Expectancy

With 0.0% win rate and -1.66% average gain, OEC alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider OEC for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze OEC with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for OEC. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, OEC historically offers an average upside of +0.51% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 OEC Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 0.0%, OEC shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests OEC may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: OEC shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 5MIN at -1.66%). This suggests OEC is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.