FILTRIX Logo FILTRIX Find Your Edge →

Latest signal:

OESX Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 1 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2024-10-07 → 2024-10-07

⚠️ Small sample size (1 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Dec 19, 2007 🔗 www.orionlighting.com
💰 Market Cap: $59.8M 👥 Employees: 182
Orion Energy Systems Inc is engaged in light-emitting diode lighting systems, wireless Internet of Things-enabled control solutions, project engineering, energy project management design, maintenance services, and turnkey electric vehicle charging stations and related installation services to commercial and industrial businesses, and federal and local governments, predominantly in North America. The group has three segments: the Orion lighting segment, the Orion maintenance segment, and the Orion electric vehicle charging segment. It generates the majority of its revenue from the Orion lighting segment, which develops and sells lighting products and provides construction and engineering services for Orion's commercial lighting and energy management systems.
📊
1
Total Alerts
🎯
0.0%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
-1.94%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+1.31%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -1.94%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -1.94%
Best: -1.94%
Worst: -1.94%
Trades: 0/1

15MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -4.20%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -4.20%
Best: -4.20%
Worst: -4.20%
Trades: 0/1

30MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -5.30%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -5.30%
Best: -5.30%
Worst: -5.30%
Trades: 0/1

60MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -6.34%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -6.34%
Best: -6.34%
Worst: -6.34%
Trades: 0/1

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -5.25%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -5.25%
Best: -5.25%
Worst: -5.25%
Trades: 0/1

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.31%
Best MFE: +1.31%
Avg Time to MFE: 287 min

On average, OESX alerts reach +1.31% profit potential within 287 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -6.40%
Worst MAE: -6.40%
Avg Time to MAE: 32 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 6.40%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

0.2:1

Challenging risk/reward - consider tighter stops.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 1 alerts, OESX typically reaches +1.31% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.0% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 1
Gap Up % 0.0%
Avg Gap -4.03%
Best Gap -4.03%

🏭 Sector Comparison: ELECTRIC LIGHTING & WIRING EQUIPMENT

How OESX compares to 3 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
OESX: -1.94% Sector: -1.71% -0.23%
EOD Gain
OESX: -5.25% Sector: +212.30% -217.55%
Avg MFE
OESX: +1.31% Sector: +9.59% -8.28%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical OESX alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-10-07 09:29:36 $0.91 -1.94% -4.20% -5.30% -6.34% -5.25% +1.31% -6.40% -4.03% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ OESX Shows Negative Expectancy

With 0.0% win rate and -1.94% average gain, OESX alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider OESX for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze OESX with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for OESX. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, OESX historically offers an average upside of +1.31% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 OESX Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 0.0%, OESX shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests OESX may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: OESX shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 5MIN at -1.94%). This suggests OESX is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.