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OKTA Stock Analysis
Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 69 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-03-03 → 2025-01-21
⚠️ Small sample size (69 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.
🏢 Company Profile
📈 Performance by Timeframe
5MIN
15MIN
30MIN
60MIN
EOD (End of Day)
🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)
Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.
📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)
On average, OKTA alerts reach +2.49% profit potential within 106 minutes.
📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)
Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.14%.
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio
Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.19x the typical drawdown.
💡 Trading Insight: Based on 69 alerts, OKTA typically reaches +2.49% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 2.0% to capture most of the move.
🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)
🏭 Sector Comparison: SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE
How OKTA compares to 137 other tickers in the same sector.
📋 Last 20 Alerts
Historical OKTA alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.
| Date | Time | Price | 5min | 15min | 30min | 60min | EOD | MFE | MAE | Gap | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-01-21 | 09:26:56 | $88.35 | -0.02% | +0.52% | +0.11% | +0.11% | +1.19% | +1.53% | -0.60% | +0.10% | LOSS |
| 2024-12-30 | 09:26:30 | $80.19 | +0.87% | -0.16% | -0.76% | -0.22% | -0.69% | +0.90% | +0.09% | +0.39% | WIN |
| 2024-12-09 | 09:28:32 | $85.29 | -0.55% | -0.63% | -0.62% | -2.37% | -2.45% | +0.12% | -0.43% | -0.28% | LOSS |
| 2024-12-05 | 09:29:24 | $87.49 | +1.79% | +1.48% | +0.86% | -1.03% | -4.54% | +2.64% | -0.90% | -0.26% | WIN |
| 2024-12-04 | 09:29:11 | $90.7 | -5.22% | -5.76% | -6.39% | -5.96% | -5.06% | +0.80% | -3.95% | +0.33% | LOSS |
| 2024-12-03 | 09:28:05 | $81.28 | -1.59% | -1.67% | -1.12% | -1.19% | +0.53% | +0.89% | -2.09% | -0.06% | LOSS |
| 2024-12-02 | 09:29:22 | $80.45 | -1.06% | +0.19% | -0.03% | +1.01% | +0.50% | +1.23% | -1.47% | -0.56% | LOSS |
| 2024-11-29 | 09:26:26 | $76.52 | -0.62% | +1.01% | +1.06% | +0.90% | +1.36% | +1.66% | -0.65% | -0.30% | LOSS |
| 2024-08-29 | 09:29:08 | $83.25 | -3.75% | -4.99% | -4.67% | -4.11% | -4.49% | +0.75% | -2.19% | -0.29% | LOSS |
| 2024-05-30 | 09:25:14 | $101.98 | -1.77% | -7.96% | -10.47% | -10.57% | -12.91% | -0.08% | -0.37% | -1.02% | LOSS |
| 2024-04-12 | 09:27:37 | $99.71 | +0.65% | +0.08% | +0.13% | +0.63% | -1.45% | +1.05% | +0.36% | +1.05% | WIN |
| 2024-02-29 | 09:26:36 | $107.5 | +0.33% | +2.16% | +1.72% | -1.16% | -0.19% | +4.26% | -2.32% | -0.07% | WIN |
| 2023-12-01 | 09:29:00 | $67.18 | +0.64% | +1.34% | +0.63% | +1.27% | +9.60% | +9.82% | -0.07% | +0.07% | WIN |
| 2023-11-30 | 09:25:00 | $68.63 | +1.97% | +0.34% | +0.73% | +1.78% | -2.30% | +3.15% | +0.09% | +0.98% | WIN |
| 2023-11-29 | 09:26:00 | $70.5 | +0.38% | -1.93% | -3.28% | -2.00% | +0.38% | +2.33% | -4.41% | +0.03% | WIN |
| 2023-11-21 | 09:27:00 | $70.77 | +1.61% | +1.93% | +0.18% | -0.26% | +0.35% | +2.22% | +0.41% | +1.07% | WIN |
| 2023-10-25 | 09:28:00 | $71.0 | +0.04% | -1.08% | -2.38% | -1.68% | -5.04% | +1.34% | - | +0.73% | WIN |
| 2023-10-23 | 09:26:00 | $69.94 | -0.51% | +0.50% | -0.31% | +0.10% | -0.74% | +1.16% | -3.06% | -0.92% | LOSS |
| 2023-09-29 | 09:28:00 | $82.21 | +1.30% | +0.96% | +1.68% | +0.48% | -0.85% | +2.04% | +0.02% | +0.19% | WIN |
| 2023-09-01 | 09:28:00 | $84.42 | +1.07% | +1.53% | +2.14% | +1.88% | +2.06% | +2.65% | -0.32% | +0.05% | WIN |
Table Metrics Explained:
- 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
- MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
- MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
- Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
- Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise
⚠️ OKTA Shows Negative Expectancy
Despite a 55.1% win rate, OKTA has -0.03% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve the win size or reduce loss size, making OKTA profitable.
🔧 Fix OKTA Risk/Reward →Why Analyze OKTA with FILTRIX?
🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation
We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for OKTA. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.
💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis
How much is left in the move? On winning days, OKTA historically offers an average upside of +2.49% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.
📊 OKTA Momentum Personality
With a baseline win rate of 55.1%, OKTA shows negative expectancy despite winning more often - average losses (-1.38%) outweigh average wins (+1.07%). This suggests the need for tighter stops or better entry timing.
⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing
⚠️ Caution Advised: OKTA shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 5MIN at -0.03%). This suggests OKTA is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.