Latest signal:
OLN Stock Analysis
Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 6 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-06-28 → 2023-09-01
⚠️ Small sample size (6 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.
🏢 Company Profile
📈 Performance by Timeframe
5MIN
15MIN
30MIN
60MIN
EOD (End of Day)
🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)
Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.
📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)
On average, OLN alerts reach +1.40% profit potential within 128 minutes.
📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)
Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.76%.
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio
Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.
💡 Trading Insight: Based on 6 alerts, OLN typically reaches +1.40% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.1% to capture most of the move.
🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)
🏭 Sector Comparison: CHEMICALS & ALLIED PRODUCTS
How OLN compares to 8 other tickers in the same sector.
📋 Last 20 Alerts
Historical OLN alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.
| Date | Time | Price | 5min | 15min | 30min | 60min | EOD | MFE | MAE | Gap | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-09-01 | 09:28:00 | $53.34 | -0.37% | -0.87% | -2.54% | -5.36% | -2.55% | +0.88% | -1.54% | -1.54% | LOSS |
| 2022-11-21 | 09:25:00 | $55.45 | -0.54% | -0.61% | -0.51% | -1.05% | +1.59% | +2.33% | -1.39% | -0.99% | LOSS |
| 2022-11-15 | 09:25:00 | $60.61 | -0.28% | +1.00% | +0.15% | +1.15% | -3.43% | +1.81% | -0.73% | -0.03% | LOSS |
| 2022-11-07 | 09:25:00 | $57.45 | +0.91% | +0.28% | -0.52% | -0.62% | +0.10% | +1.06% | -1.20% | +0.19% | WIN |
| 2022-10-31 | 09:25:00 | $53.52 | +1.01% | +0.07% | +0.28% | +0.30% | -1.06% | +1.38% | +0.67% | +0.84% | WIN |
| 2022-06-28 | 09:25:00 | $47.89 | -0.08% | +0.04% | +0.46% | +0.49% | -0.86% | +0.92% | -0.40% | -0.40% | LOSS |
Table Metrics Explained:
- 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
- MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
- MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
- Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
- Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise
⚠️ OLN Shows Negative Expectancy
Despite a 66.7% win rate, OLN has -0.02% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve the win size or reduce loss size, making OLN profitable.
🔧 Fix OLN Risk/Reward →Why Analyze OLN with FILTRIX?
🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation
We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for OLN. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.
💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis
How much is left in the move? On winning days, OLN historically offers an average upside of +1.40% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.
📊 OLN Momentum Personality
With a baseline win rate of 66.7%, OLN shows negative expectancy despite winning more often - average losses (-0.74%) outweigh average wins (+0.35%). This suggests the need for tighter stops or better entry timing.
⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing
⚠️ Caution Advised: OLN shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 15MIN at -0.02%). This suggests OLN is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.