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Ticker Report — Active Last signal ·

$OLN

Trade-Ideas alert history 6 alerts 2022-06-282023-09-01

⚠ SMALL SAMPLE · 6 alerts only. Statistics may have high variance — interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Jun 01, 1972 🔗 www.olin.com
💰 Market Cap: $2.28B 👥 Employees: 7,849
Olin was founded in 1892 and has been publicly listed since 1917. The company has a unique dual identity compared with some of its chemical peers: it is the world's largest chlor-alkali producer by capacity, and it owns the Winchester brand, a leading US ammunition manufacturer. Olin has three reportable segments: chlor-alkali products and vinyls (CAPV or CAP), Epoxies, and Winchester, which represent around 55%, 20%, and 25% of sales, respectively.
Total alerts
6
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate · 15MIN
66.7%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain · 15MIN
-0.02%
Per-alert expectancy
Avg MFE
+1.40%
Max potential excursion

Practice trading OLN on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: +0.11%
Avg Winner: +0.96%
Avg Loser: -0.32%
Best: +1.01%
Worst: -0.54%
Trades: 2/4

15MIN

Win Rate: 66.7%
Avg Gain: -0.02%
Avg Winner: +0.35%
Avg Loser: -0.74%
Best: +1.00%
Worst: -0.87%
Trades: 4/2

30MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -0.45%
Avg Winner: +0.30%
Avg Loser: -1.19%
Best: +0.46%
Worst: -2.54%
Trades: 3/3

60MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -0.85%
Avg Winner: +0.65%
Avg Loser: -2.34%
Best: +1.15%
Worst: -5.36%
Trades: 3/3

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: -1.04%
Avg Winner: +0.85%
Avg Loser: -1.98%
Best: +1.59%
Worst: -3.43%
Trades: 2/4

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.40%
Best MFE: +2.33%
Avg Time to MFE: 128 min

On average, OLN alerts reach +1.40% profit potential within 128 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.76%
Worst MAE: -1.54%
Avg Time to MAE: 20 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.76%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

1.83:1

Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 6 alerts, OLN typically reaches +1.40% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.1% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 6
Gap Up % 33.3%
Avg Gap -0.32%
Best Gap +0.84%

🏭 Sector Comparison: CHEMICALS & ALLIED PRODUCTS

How OLN compares to 8 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
OLN: +0.11% Sector: +0.64% -0.53%
EOD Gain
OLN: -1.04% Sector: +0.31% -1.35%
Avg MFE
OLN: +1.40% Sector: +3.90% -2.50%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical OLN alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2023-09-01 09:28:00 $53.34 -0.37% -0.87% -2.54% -5.36% -2.55% +0.88% -1.54% -1.54% LOSS
2022-11-21 09:25:00 $55.45 -0.54% -0.61% -0.51% -1.05% +1.59% +2.33% -1.39% -0.99% LOSS
2022-11-15 09:25:00 $60.61 -0.28% +1.00% +0.15% +1.15% -3.43% +1.81% -0.73% -0.03% LOSS
2022-11-07 09:25:00 $57.45 +0.91% +0.28% -0.52% -0.62% +0.10% +1.06% -1.20% +0.19% WIN
2022-10-31 09:25:00 $53.52 +1.01% +0.07% +0.28% +0.30% -1.06% +1.38% +0.67% +0.84% WIN
2022-06-28 09:25:00 $47.89 -0.08% +0.04% +0.46% +0.49% -0.86% +0.92% -0.40% -0.40% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠ OLN Shows Negative Expectancy

Despite a 66.7% win rate, OLN has -0.02% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve win size or reduce loss size, making OLN profitable.

🔧 Fix OLN Risk / Reward →

Why Analyze OLN with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for OLN. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, OLN historically offers an average upside of +1.40% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 OLN Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 66.7%, OLN shows negative expectancy despite winning more often - average losses (-0.74%) outweigh average wins (+0.35%). This suggests the need for tighter stops or better entry timing.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: OLN shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 15MIN at -0.02%). This suggests OLN is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.