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ONFO Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 10 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-08-29 β†’ 2024-09-10

⚠️ Small sample size (10 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏒 Company Profile

πŸ“ NASDAQ πŸ“… IPO: Aug 26, 2022 πŸ”— www.onfolio.com
πŸ’° Market Cap: $3.7M πŸ‘₯ Employees: 31
Onfolio Holdings Inc actively manages small online businesses that operate in sectors with long-term growth opportunities, have positive and stable cash flows, face minimal threats of technological or competitive obsolescence, and can be managed by existing teams or haveΒ management teams largely in place. The company operates in two business segments: Business to Business (B2B) and Business to Consumers (B2C). The majority of its revenue is generated from the Business-to-Business (B2B) segment, which includes the results of operations of Eastern Standard, RevenueZen, DDS Rank, SEO Butler, Contentellect, DealPipe, and Onfolio LLC.
πŸ“Š
10
Total Alerts
🎯
30.0%
Win Rate (5MIN)
πŸ’°
-0.66%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
πŸš€
+7.26%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

πŸ“ˆ Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 30.0%
Avg Gain: -0.66%
Avg Winner: +5.79%
Avg Loser: -3.42%
Best: +8.89%
Worst: -8.82%
Trades: 3/7

15MIN

Win Rate: 12.5%
Avg Gain: -1.54%
Avg Winner: +20.16%
Avg Loser: -4.64%
Best: +20.16%
Worst: -7.13%
Trades: 1/7

30MIN

Win Rate: 22.2%
Avg Gain: -1.32%
Avg Winner: +8.93%
Avg Loser: -4.25%
Best: +14.14%
Worst: -6.77%
Trades: 2/7

60MIN

Win Rate: 12.5%
Avg Gain: -2.61%
Avg Winner: +8.90%
Avg Loser: -4.26%
Best: +8.90%
Worst: -9.89%
Trades: 1/7

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 10.0%
Avg Gain: -7.68%
Avg Winner: +3.74%
Avg Loser: -10.07%
Best: +3.74%
Worst: -26.70%
Trades: 1/8

πŸš€ Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

πŸ“ˆ MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +7.26%
Best MFE: +25.65%
Avg Time to MFE: 63 min

On average, ONFO alerts reach +7.26% profit potential within 63 minutes.

πŸ“‰ MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -4.66%
Worst MAE: -12.56%
Avg Time to MAE: 9 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 4.66%.

βš–οΈ Risk/Reward Ratio

1.56:1

Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.

πŸ’‘ Trading Insight: Based on 10 alerts, ONFO typically reaches +7.26% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 5.8% to capture most of the move.

πŸŒ… Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 β†’ 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 10
Gap Up % 30.0%
Avg Gap -0.65%
Best Gap +2.31%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SERVICES-COMPUTER PROCESSING & DATA PREPARATION

How ONFO compares to 42 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
ONFO: -1.67% Sector: -0.45% -1.22%
EOD Gain
ONFO: -9.94% Sector: +1109.54% -1119.48%
Avg MFE
ONFO: +7.17% Sector: +6.73% +0.44%

πŸ“‹ Last 20 Alerts

Historical ONFO alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-09-10 09:28:08 $0.81 +6.20% - +3.73% - +3.74% +10.22% -4.52% -4.52% WIN
2023-12-13 09:28:00 $0.61 +2.29% - -4.31% - -7.14% +12.19% -12.56% -1.01% WIN
2023-09-08 09:28:00 $1.36 -8.82% -4.73% -6.25% -5.51% -22.06% +2.21% -1.47% +0.74% LOSS
2023-09-05 09:29:00 $1.18 -3.39% -0.85% - -4.24% -3.81% - -0.12% - LOSS
2023-06-09 09:29:00 $1.18 -2.63% -2.65% -2.54% -3.39% -4.24% +1.69% - - LOSS
2023-06-08 09:28:00 $1.33 -2.99% -7.13% -6.77% -9.89% -9.02% +1.50% -2.26% +1.50% LOSS
2023-05-30 09:27:00 $1.3 -3.07% -5.38% -2.31% -0.77% - +4.62% -6.92% +2.31% LOSS
2023-05-26 09:26:00 $1.91 +8.89% +20.16% +14.14% +8.90% -26.70% +25.65% -5.24% -3.66% WIN
2022-09-01 09:25:00 $1.87 -1.07% -6.42% -2.67% -5.35% -5.35% +1.60% -6.42% -0.53% LOSS
2022-08-29 09:25:00 $2.25 -2.00% -5.33% -4.89% -0.67% -2.22% +12.89% -7.11% -1.33% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ ONFO Shows Negative Expectancy

With 30.0% win rate and -0.66% average gain, ONFO alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider ONFO for short-selling strategies.

πŸ“‰ Turn Negative Expectancy Positive β†’

Why Analyze ONFO with FILTRIX?

πŸ›‘οΈ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for ONFO. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

πŸ’° Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, ONFO historically offers an average upside of +7.26% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

πŸ“Š ONFO Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 30.0%, ONFO shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests ONFO may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: ONFO shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 5MIN at -0.66%). This suggests ONFO is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.