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OPAD Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 9 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-02-24 → 2023-04-06

⚠️ Small sample size (9 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Dec 11, 2020 🔗 www.offerpad.com
💰 Market Cap: $57.1M 👥 Employees: 200
Offerpad Solutions Inc provides a way to buy and sell a home. It uses technology-enabled solutions to remake the home selling and buying experience by offering customers the convenience, control, and certainty to solve their housing needs. It combines fundamental real estate expertise with the data-driven digital Solutions Center platform to efficiently sell and buy their homes online with streamlined access to other services including mortgage, listing, renovation and buyer representation services.
📊
9
Total Alerts
🎯
88.9%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
+932.02%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+17.61%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 22.2%
Avg Gain: -1.07%
Avg Winner: +3.89%
Avg Loser: -2.91%
Best: +7.24%
Worst: -5.36%
Trades: 2/6

15MIN

Win Rate: 55.6%
Avg Gain: +0.10%
Avg Winner: +4.47%
Avg Loser: -5.37%
Best: +13.03%
Worst: -15.05%
Trades: 5/4

30MIN

Win Rate: 55.6%
Avg Gain: +1.18%
Avg Winner: +6.51%
Avg Loser: -5.48%
Best: +17.88%
Worst: -13.85%
Trades: 5/4

60MIN

Win Rate: 55.6%
Avg Gain: +5.47%
Avg Winner: +14.23%
Avg Loser: -5.49%
Best: +28.40%
Worst: -13.85%
Trades: 5/4

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 88.9%
Avg Gain: +932.02%
Avg Winner: +1048.95%
Avg Loser: -3.45%
Best: +1725.00%
Worst: -3.45%
Trades: 8/1

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +17.61%
Best MFE: +55.82%
Avg Time to MFE: 145 min

On average, OPAD alerts reach +17.61% profit potential within 145 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -3.95%
Worst MAE: -6.90%
Avg Time to MAE: 5 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 3.95%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

4.46:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 4.46x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 9 alerts, OPAD typically reaches +17.61% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 14.1% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 9
Gap Up % 33.3%
Avg Gap +0.39%
Best Gap +10.94%

🏭 Sector Comparison: REAL ESTATE AGENTS & MANAGERS (FOR OTHERS)

How OPAD compares to 7 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
OPAD: -1.07% Sector: -0.28% -0.79%
EOD Gain
OPAD: +932.02% Sector: +166.55% +765.47%
Avg MFE
OPAD: +17.61% Sector: +5.24% +12.37%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical OPAD alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2023-04-06 09:26:00 $0.56 -5.36% +0.64% +0.52% +16.93% +1300.89% +25.00% -5.36% -4.11% LOSS
2023-04-03 09:25:00 $0.54 +0.54% +2.00% -0.48% -1.87% +1347.76% +3.74% -3.85% +0.54% WIN
2023-02-02 09:27:00 $1.22 -1.35% -1.63% +0.70% +3.28% +1326.23% +5.74% -4.10% -1.64% LOSS
2023-02-01 09:25:00 $0.8 +7.24% +13.03% +17.88% +28.40% +43.36% +55.82% -0.27% +10.94% WIN
2022-08-12 09:25:00 $1.8 -1.67% +0.56% +1.73% +2.29% +1725.00% +28.89% -4.17% - LOSS
2022-08-09 09:25:00 $1.74 -3.45% -2.30% -3.45% -4.60% -3.45% +1.72% -6.90% -1.15% LOSS
2022-08-04 09:25:00 $2.13 -2.30% -15.05% -13.85% -13.85% +1174.65% +3.29% -2.30% -1.88% LOSS
2022-07-20 09:25:00 $2.41 -3.32% -2.49% -4.15% -1.66% +1443.57% +4.15% -4.56% +0.83% LOSS
2022-02-24 09:25:00 $3.75 - +6.13% +11.70% +20.27% +30.13% +30.13% -4.00% - -

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 88.9% Baseline on OPAD

The 88.9% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push OPAD's performance to 75%+.

Optimize OPAD Strategy →

Why Analyze OPAD with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for OPAD. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, OPAD historically offers an average upside of +17.61% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 OPAD Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 88.9%, OPAD shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show OPAD performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +932.02%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.