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OPAL Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 1 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2024-09-09 → 2024-09-09

⚠️ Small sample size (1 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

OPAL Fuels Inc. Class A Common Stock GAS & OTHER SERVICES COMBINED (SIC 4932)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Jul 22, 2022 🔗 www.opalfuels.com
💰 Market Cap: $77.0M 👥 Employees: 342
OPAL Fuels Inc is a fully integrated, nationwide leader in the production and distribution of low-carbon intensity renewable natural gas. The company is also engaged in the marketing and distribution of RNG to heavy-duty trucking and other hard-to-de-carbonize industrial sectors. The company designs, develops, constructs, operates, and services Fueling Stations for trucking fleets across the country that use natural gas to displace diesel as their transportation fuel. The company derives revenue from the sale of Renewable Power, design, development, construction, and service of Fueling Stations, and sales of RNG produced by OPAL and third parties as pipeline-quality natural gas.
📊
1
Total Alerts
🎯
0.0%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
-8.31%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
-2.37%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -8.31%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -8.31%
Best: -8.31%
Worst: -8.31%
Trades: 0/1

15MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -7.57%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -7.57%
Best: -7.57%
Worst: -7.57%
Trades: 0/1

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -2.97%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -2.97%
Best: -2.97%
Worst: -2.97%
Trades: 0/1

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: -2.37%
Best MFE: -2.37%
Avg Time to MFE: 1 min

On average, OPAL alerts reach -2.37% profit potential within 1 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -5.64%
Worst MAE: -5.64%
Avg Time to MAE: 1 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 5.64%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

0.42:1

Challenging risk/reward - consider tighter stops.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 1 alerts, OPAL typically reaches -2.37% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around -1.9% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 1
Gap Up % 0.0%
Avg Gap -5.04%
Best Gap -5.04%

🏭 Sector Comparison: GAS & OTHER SERVICES COMBINED

How OPAL compares to 3 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
OPAL: +0.00% Sector: +0.12% -0.12%
EOD Gain
OPAL: +0.00% Sector: -13.08% +13.08%
Avg MFE
OPAL: +0.00% Sector: +2.20% -2.20%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical OPAL alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-09-09 09:28:51 $3.37 -8.31% -7.57% - - -2.97% -2.37% -5.64% -5.04% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ OPAL Shows Negative Expectancy

With 0.0% win rate and -8.31% average gain, OPAL alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider OPAL for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze OPAL with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for OPAL. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, OPAL historically offers an average upside of -2.37% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 OPAL Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 0.0%, OPAL shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests OPAL may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: OPAL shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 5MIN at -8.31%). This suggests OPAL is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.