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ORCL Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 149 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-21 → 2025-02-11

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Mar 12, 1986 🔗 www.oracle.com
💰 Market Cap: $509.00B 👥 Employees: 162,000
Oracle provides enterprise applications and infrastructure offerings through a variety of flexible IT deployment models, including on-premises, cloud-based, and hybrid. Founded in 1977, Oracle pioneered the first commercial SQL-based relational database management system, which is commonly used by the world's largest companies for high-volume online transaction processing workloads. Besides databases, Oracle also sells enterprise resource planning platforms and cloud infrastructure that play an increasingly important role in large language model training and inferencing.
📊
149
Total Alerts
🎯
57.7%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
+0.20%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+1.46%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 55.7%
Avg Gain: +0.05%
Avg Winner: +0.45%
Avg Loser: -0.46%
Best: +1.50%
Worst: -3.80%
Trades: 83/65

15MIN

Win Rate: 54.4%
Avg Gain: +0.01%
Avg Winner: +0.70%
Avg Loser: -0.80%
Best: +3.76%
Worst: -4.62%
Trades: 81/68

30MIN

Win Rate: 55.0%
Avg Gain: +0.10%
Avg Winner: +0.88%
Avg Loser: -0.86%
Best: +3.43%
Worst: -4.03%
Trades: 82/67

60MIN

Win Rate: 52.3%
Avg Gain: +0.13%
Avg Winner: +1.07%
Avg Loser: -0.91%
Best: +4.32%
Worst: -3.59%
Trades: 78/71

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 57.7%
Avg Gain: +0.20%
Avg Winner: +1.44%
Avg Loser: -1.52%
Best: +6.19%
Worst: -5.79%
Trades: 86/62

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.46%
Best MFE: +6.38%
Avg Time to MFE: 150 min

On average, ORCL alerts reach +1.46% profit potential within 150 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.48%
Worst MAE: -4.33%
Avg Time to MAE: 9 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.48%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

3.06:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 3.06x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 149 alerts, ORCL typically reaches +1.46% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.2% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 149
Gap Up % 57.7%
Avg Gap +0.05%
Best Gap +1.47%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE

How ORCL compares to 137 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
ORCL: +0.05% Sector: -0.09% +0.14%
EOD Gain
ORCL: +0.20% Sector: +73.64% -73.44%
Avg MFE
ORCL: +1.46% Sector: +4.32% -2.86%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical ORCL alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-11 09:27:13 $178.28 -0.03% +0.11% -0.13% -0.22% -0.61% +0.47% -0.44% -0.37% LOSS
2025-02-04 09:28:15 $170.15 -0.29% -0.60% -1.66% -1.35% -1.33% +0.15% -0.24% +0.15% LOSS
2025-02-03 09:29:33 $163.0 +0.78% +0.97% +1.17% +1.63% +3.44% +4.23% +0.12% +0.12% WIN
2025-01-30 09:25:51 $164.01 +0.45% +1.32% +2.82% +3.98% +3.88% +4.56% +0.02% +0.47% WIN
2025-01-29 09:25:31 $164.0 -0.43% -1.71% -2.24% -1.77% -1.21% +0.16% -0.02% +0.02% LOSS
2025-01-28 09:25:31 $163.85 -0.81% -3.85% -2.48% -0.94% +0.09% +1.21% -4.33% -0.52% LOSS
2025-01-27 09:29:03 $168.0 +1.15% -0.06% +1.35% +0.18% -5.79% +2.69% -0.01% +0.54% WIN
2025-01-24 09:28:37 $188.08 -0.70% -1.64% -1.72% -1.86% -2.38% +0.54% -0.26% +0.30% LOSS
2025-01-23 09:28:00 $182.15 +1.39% +1.10% +2.19% +1.69% +2.37% +2.43% -0.36% -0.28% WIN
2025-01-22 09:29:39 $191.2 -3.80% -4.62% -4.03% -3.47% -3.65% +0.41% -1.09% +0.16% LOSS
2025-01-15 09:25:21 $158.7 +0.01% -0.55% -0.11% +0.08% -0.25% +0.28% -0.86% -0.02% WIN
2025-01-06 09:27:04 $167.6 -0.50% -0.45% -0.43% -0.23% -1.14% +0.27% -0.17% -0.17% LOSS
2025-01-03 09:26:42 $166.35 +0.04% +0.29% -0.43% -0.35% -0.02% +0.51% -0.07% +0.21% WIN
2024-12-20 09:25:27 $167.01 +0.50% -0.25% -0.21% +0.72% +1.59% +2.54% -0.83% +0.43% WIN
2024-12-11 09:29:54 $178.35 -1.08% -1.89% -1.17% +0.31% +0.13% +1.70% -1.97% -0.20% LOSS
2024-12-10 09:25:31 $176.2 -0.87% -1.07% -0.92% -1.00% +0.87% +0.91% -2.92% -1.56% LOSS
2024-12-09 09:28:17 $195.94 -1.26% -0.60% -1.62% -2.59% -2.80% +1.21% -0.66% +0.18% LOSS
2024-11-29 09:28:48 $183.2 +0.93% +0.93% +0.91% +1.08% +0.90% +1.49% - +0.44% WIN
2024-11-06 09:28:20 $177.98 +0.48% +0.60% +0.72% +1.71% +1.83% +2.31% -0.32% +0.30% WIN
2024-11-05 09:28:04 $169.93 +0.26% +0.42% +0.58% +0.62% +1.09% +1.15% +0.23% +0.32% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 57.7% Baseline on ORCL

The 57.7% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push ORCL's performance to 75%+.

Optimize ORCL Strategy →

Why Analyze ORCL with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for ORCL. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, ORCL historically offers an average upside of +1.46% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 ORCL Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 57.7%, ORCL shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show ORCL performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.20%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.