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ORGN Stock Analysis
Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 20 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-06-06 → 2025-01-14
⚠️ Small sample size (20 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.
🏢 Company Profile
📈 Performance by Timeframe
5MIN
15MIN
30MIN
60MIN
EOD (End of Day)
🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)
Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.
📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)
On average, ORGN alerts reach +6.57% profit potential within 104 minutes.
📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)
Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 2.74%.
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio
Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.39x the typical drawdown.
💡 Trading Insight: Based on 20 alerts, ORGN typically reaches +6.57% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 5.3% to capture most of the move.
🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)
🏭 Sector Comparison: INDUSTRIAL ORGANIC CHEMICALS
How ORGN compares to 16 other tickers in the same sector.
📋 Last 20 Alerts
Historical ORGN alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.
| Date | Time | Price | 5min | 15min | 30min | 60min | EOD | MFE | MAE | Gap | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-01-14 | 09:25:33 | $1.08 | -0.92% | -5.56% | -7.31% | -6.42% | -5.56% | +0.46% | - | -0.93% | LOSS |
| 2024-12-30 | 09:25:46 | $1.15 | -4.43% | +1.63% | +5.22% | +0.96% | - | +6.96% | -5.22% | - | LOSS |
| 2024-11-21 | 09:27:45 | $1.11 | +3.61% | +4.96% | +8.11% | +9.92% | +7.21% | +13.51% | -0.90% | -0.90% | WIN |
| 2024-09-23 | 09:29:41 | $1.66 | -9.64% | -6.10% | -10.98% | -3.92% | -2.41% | +1.81% | -13.25% | -0.60% | LOSS |
| 2024-08-16 | 09:28:11 | $1.17 | +5.64% | +7.26% | +13.25% | +15.38% | +22.22% | +28.21% | -0.85% | - | WIN |
| 2024-08-15 | 09:26:31 | $1.01 | +2.97% | +5.16% | +7.91% | +2.97% | +8.91% | +10.89% | -2.03% | -0.99% | WIN |
| 2024-08-05 | 09:28:50 | $0.78 | -1.38% | -1.37% | +1.84% | +2.43% | +2.68% | +6.92% | -4.54% | +3.13% | LOSS |
| 2023-10-11 | 09:25:00 | $1.11 | -1.01% | +3.47% | +1.35% | +2.70% | +5.41% | +15.32% | -1.94% | -1.80% | LOSS |
| 2023-10-09 | 09:27:00 | $1.11 | +3.61% | +2.61% | +1.35% | -1.80% | -19.87% | +4.39% | -0.45% | - | WIN |
| 2023-09-07 | 09:26:00 | $1.38 | -0.36% | -1.09% | -1.81% | -1.09% | +2.17% | +2.90% | -2.90% | +1.45% | LOSS |
| 2023-08-31 | 09:28:00 | $1.41 | -0.71% | +0.71% | +0.71% | +1.31% | -2.84% | +1.42% | -1.42% | -1.42% | LOSS |
| 2023-08-18 | 09:29:00 | $1.38 | +3.30% | +2.91% | +2.91% | +2.37% | +1.45% | +7.97% | -0.72% | -0.72% | WIN |
| 2023-08-15 | 09:29:00 | $1.39 | -2.88% | -1.80% | -1.80% | -6.47% | -0.72% | +4.32% | -1.32% | +0.72% | LOSS |
| 2023-08-14 | 09:28:00 | $1.24 | +3.06% | +10.08% | +12.50% | +10.89% | +14.52% | +18.55% | -1.61% | -0.81% | WIN |
| 2023-08-11 | 09:28:00 | $1.43 | -5.79% | -8.04% | -11.89% | -16.19% | -14.69% | +1.40% | -4.20% | +1.40% | LOSS |
| 2023-08-10 | 09:28:00 | $1.86 | -6.99% | -6.18% | -20.70% | -15.06% | -21.77% | +2.15% | -0.55% | -1.61% | LOSS |
| 2023-06-27 | 09:27:00 | $4.74 | -2.11% | -4.85% | -3.27% | -6.54% | -8.23% | +0.21% | -1.05% | -0.42% | LOSS |
| 2023-05-09 | 09:27:00 | $4.27 | -2.42% | -2.58% | -2.11% | -2.22% | +1.17% | +1.64% | -3.04% | -0.94% | LOSS |
| 2022-06-27 | 09:25:00 | $5.37 | -2.79% | -1.86% | -1.86% | -2.89% | -2.05% | +1.96% | -3.54% | -0.93% | LOSS |
| 2022-06-06 | 09:25:00 | $7.32 | -0.89% | -3.14% | -3.55% | -3.83% | -3.69% | +0.34% | -5.33% | -0.27% | LOSS |
Table Metrics Explained:
- 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
- MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
- MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
- Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
- Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise
⚠️ ORGN Shows Negative Expectancy
With 50.0% win rate and -0.51% average gain, ORGN alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider ORGN for short-selling strategies.
📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →Why Analyze ORGN with FILTRIX?
🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation
We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for ORGN. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.
💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis
How much is left in the move? On winning days, ORGN historically offers an average upside of +6.57% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.
📊 ORGN Momentum Personality
With a baseline win rate of 50.0%, ORGN shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests ORGN may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.
⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing
⚠️ Caution Advised: ORGN shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 30MIN at -0.51%). This suggests ORGN is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.