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Ticker Report — Active Last signal ·

$ORLY

Trade-Ideas alert history 5 alerts 2022-11-292024-06-05

⚠ SMALL SAMPLE · 5 alerts only. Statistics may have high variance — interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Apr 22, 1993 🔗 www.oreillyauto.com
💰 Market Cap: $74.79B 👥 Employees: 92,923
Founded in 1957, O'Reilly Auto Parts is one of the largest specialty retailers of automotive aftermarket parts, tools, supplies, equipment, and accessories, serving both DIY and professional customers. The company operates nearly 6,600 stores across 48 US states, Puerto Rico, Mexico, and Canada. In fiscal 2025, O'Reilly generated nearly $18 billion in sales, with its dual market strategy yielding a balanced revenue mix, split between retail DIY customers (49%) and professional service orders (49%). The balance of its sales is derived from noncore categories, including wholesale distribution to independent parts distributors, heavy-shop equipment sales, and value-added services.
Total alerts
5
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate · 15MIN
60.0%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain · 15MIN
+0.10%
Per-alert expectancy
Avg MFE
+0.91%
Max potential excursion

Practice trading ORLY on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 40.0%
Avg Gain: +0.04%
Avg Winner: +0.23%
Avg Loser: -0.09%
Best: +0.27%
Worst: -0.12%
Trades: 2/3

15MIN

Win Rate: 60.0%
Avg Gain: +0.10%
Avg Winner: +0.29%
Avg Loser: -0.20%
Best: +0.56%
Worst: -0.20%
Trades: 3/2

30MIN

Win Rate: 20.0%
Avg Gain: -0.23%
Avg Winner: +0.52%
Avg Loser: -0.42%
Best: +0.52%
Worst: -0.69%
Trades: 1/4

60MIN

Win Rate: 40.0%
Avg Gain: -0.02%
Avg Winner: +0.37%
Avg Loser: -0.28%
Best: +0.71%
Worst: -0.51%
Trades: 2/3

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -56.33%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -56.33%
Best: -0.01%
Worst: -93.44%
Trades: 0/5

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +0.91%
Best MFE: +2.11%
Avg Time to MFE: 125 min

On average, ORLY alerts reach +0.91% profit potential within 125 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.17%
Worst MAE: -0.62%
Avg Time to MAE: 11 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.17%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

5.23:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 5.23x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 5 alerts, ORLY typically reaches +0.91% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.7% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 5
Gap Up % 60.0%
Avg Gap +0.10%
Best Gap +0.37%

🏭 Sector Comparison: RETAIL-AUTO & HOME SUPPLY STORES

How ORLY compares to 3 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
ORLY: +0.04% Sector: +0.30% -0.27%
EOD Gain
ORLY: -56.33% Sector: -6.29% -50.04%
Avg MFE
ORLY: +0.91% Sector: +2.52% -1.61%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical ORLY alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-06-05 09:27:58 $970.73 -0.05% -0.20% -0.29% +0.02% -93.29% +0.69% -0.62% -0.26% LOSS
2024-02-20 09:25:29 $1051.84 +0.27% +0.01% -0.36% -0.51% -93.44% +0.41% -0.28% -0.11% WIN
2024-02-07 09:26:33 $1051.86 -0.12% +0.31% +0.52% +0.71% -93.24% +2.11% -0.13% +0.37% LOSS
2023-09-12 09:29:00 $940.0 +0.20% -0.20% -0.69% -0.22% -1.67% +0.71% +0.26% +0.26% WIN
2022-11-29 09:25:00 $849.85 -0.10% +0.56% -0.35% -0.11% -0.01% +0.62% -0.10% +0.25% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

Beat the 60.0% Baseline on ORLY

The 60.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and push ORLY's performance to 75%+.

Optimize ORLY Strategy →

Why Analyze ORLY with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for ORLY. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, ORLY historically offers an average upside of +0.91% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 ORLY Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 60.0%, ORLY shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show ORLY performs best on the 15MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.10%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.