Latest signal:
ORLY Stock Analysis
Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 5 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-11-29 → 2024-06-05
⚠️ Small sample size (5 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.
🏢 Company Profile
📈 Performance by Timeframe
5MIN
15MIN
30MIN
60MIN
EOD (End of Day)
🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)
Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.
📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)
On average, ORLY alerts reach +0.91% profit potential within 125 minutes.
📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)
Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.17%.
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio
Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 5.23x the typical drawdown.
💡 Trading Insight: Based on 5 alerts, ORLY typically reaches +0.91% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.7% to capture most of the move.
🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)
🏭 Sector Comparison: RETAIL-AUTO & HOME SUPPLY STORES
How ORLY compares to 3 other tickers in the same sector.
📋 Last 20 Alerts
Historical ORLY alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.
| Date | Time | Price | 5min | 15min | 30min | 60min | EOD | MFE | MAE | Gap | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-06-05 | 09:27:58 | $970.73 | -0.05% | -0.20% | -0.29% | +0.02% | -93.29% | +0.69% | -0.62% | -0.26% | LOSS |
| 2024-02-20 | 09:25:29 | $1051.84 | +0.27% | +0.01% | -0.36% | -0.51% | -93.44% | +0.41% | -0.28% | -0.11% | WIN |
| 2024-02-07 | 09:26:33 | $1051.86 | -0.12% | +0.31% | +0.52% | +0.71% | -93.24% | +2.11% | -0.13% | +0.37% | LOSS |
| 2023-09-12 | 09:29:00 | $940.0 | +0.20% | -0.20% | -0.69% | -0.22% | -1.67% | +0.71% | +0.26% | +0.26% | WIN |
| 2022-11-29 | 09:25:00 | $849.85 | -0.10% | +0.56% | -0.35% | -0.11% | -0.01% | +0.62% | -0.10% | +0.25% | LOSS |
Table Metrics Explained:
- 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
- MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
- MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
- Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
- Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise
🚀 Beat the 60.0% Baseline on ORLY
The 60.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push ORLY's performance to 75%+.
Optimize ORLY Strategy →Why Analyze ORLY with FILTRIX?
🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation
We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for ORLY. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.
💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis
How much is left in the move? On winning days, ORLY historically offers an average upside of +0.91% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.
📊 ORLY Momentum Personality
With a baseline win rate of 60.0%, ORLY shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.
⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing
Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show ORLY performs best on the 15MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.10%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.