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Latest signal:

OS Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 4 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2024-10-14 → 2025-01-02

⚠️ Small sample size (4 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

OneStream, Inc. Class A Common Stock SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE (SIC 7372)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Jul 24, 2024 🔗 www.onestream.com
💰 Market Cap: $4.48B 👥 Employees: 1,500
OneStream Inc is an AI-enabled and extensible software platform that unifies core financial functions and broader operational data and processes within a single platform. The Digital Finance Cloud of the company provides a comprehensive, dynamic, and predictive view of the entire enterprise, providing corporate leaders the control, visibility, and agility required to proactively adjust business and day-to-day execution. Company platform unifies core financial and operational data and processes within a single platform, with solutions that maintain the integrity of corporate reporting standards for Finance while providing operationally insights for business users.
📊
4
Total Alerts
🎯
75.0%
Win Rate (30MIN)
💰
-0.09%
Avg Gain (30MIN)
🚀
+2.47%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 25.0%
Avg Gain: -1.36%
Avg Winner: +0.23%
Avg Loser: -1.89%
Best: +0.23%
Worst: -4.85%
Trades: 1/3

15MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -0.60%
Avg Winner: +1.07%
Avg Loser: -2.26%
Best: +1.29%
Worst: -3.99%
Trades: 2/2

30MIN

Win Rate: 75.0%
Avg Gain: -0.09%
Avg Winner: +1.02%
Avg Loser: -3.41%
Best: +1.43%
Worst: -3.41%
Trades: 3/1

60MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -0.31%
Avg Winner: +1.53%
Avg Loser: -2.15%
Best: +1.64%
Worst: -4.27%
Trades: 2/2

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -1.20%
Avg Winner: +2.44%
Avg Loser: -4.84%
Best: +3.40%
Worst: -5.55%
Trades: 2/2

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +2.47%
Best MFE: +4.58%
Avg Time to MFE: 59 min

On average, OS alerts reach +2.47% profit potential within 59 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.54%
Worst MAE: -3.77%
Avg Time to MAE: 4 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.54%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

1.61:1

Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 4 alerts, OS typically reaches +2.47% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 2.0% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 4
Gap Up % 25.0%
Avg Gap -0.91%
Best Gap +0.16%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE

How OS compares to 137 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
OS: -1.36% Sector: -0.09% -1.27%
EOD Gain
OS: -1.20% Sector: +73.64% -74.84%
Avg MFE
OS: +2.47% Sector: +4.32% -1.85%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical OS alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-01-02 09:29:12 $29.48 -4.85% -3.99% -3.41% -4.27% -4.14% -1.51% -3.77% -3.12% LOSS
2024-12-03 09:26:33 $30.55 -0.62% -0.54% +0.62% +1.42% +3.40% +4.58% -1.01% -0.69% LOSS
2024-11-15 09:26:29 $31.9 -0.19% +1.29% +1.43% -0.03% -5.55% +2.57% -0.91% +0.16% LOSS
2024-10-14 09:27:29 $29.96 +0.23% +0.85% +1.00% +1.64% +1.47% +4.24% -0.47% - WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ OS Shows Negative Expectancy

Despite a 75.0% win rate, OS has -0.09% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve the win size or reduce loss size, making OS profitable.

🔧 Fix OS Risk/Reward →

Why Analyze OS with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for OS. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, OS historically offers an average upside of +2.47% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 OS Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 75.0%, OS shows negative expectancy despite winning more often - average losses (-3.41%) outweigh average wins (+1.02%). This suggests the need for tighter stops or better entry timing.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: OS shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 30MIN at -0.09%). This suggests OS is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.