FILTRIX Logo FILTRIX Find Your Edge →

Latest signal:

OSBC Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 1 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-18 → 2022-01-18

⚠️ Small sample size (1 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Old Second Bancorp Inc STATE COMMERCIAL BANKS (SIC 6022)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Nov 16, 1993 🔗 www.oldsecond.com
💰 Market Cap: $1.05B 👥 Employees: 877
Old Second Bancorp Inc is a bank holding company. It provides consumer and commercial banking products such as demand, money market, savings, time deposit, and individual retirement as well as commercial, industrial, consumer, and real estate lending, including installment loans, student loans, agricultural loans, lines of credit and overdraft checking, safe deposit operations, trust services, wealth management services, and additional services tailored to the needs of individual customers, corporates, small-medium enterprises. The Company has one operating segment, which is community banking. The company's revenue consists of interest, commission, payments, and other income.
📊
1
Total Alerts
🎯
100.0%
Win Rate (15MIN)
💰
+0.35%
Avg Gain (15MIN)
🚀
+0.35%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -0.78%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -0.78%
Best: -0.78%
Worst: -0.78%
Trades: 0/1

15MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +0.35%
Avg Winner: +0.35%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +0.35%
Worst: +0.35%
Trades: 1/0

30MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -0.14%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -0.14%
Best: -0.14%
Worst: -0.14%
Trades: 0/1

60MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -0.85%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -0.85%
Best: -0.85%
Worst: -0.85%
Trades: 0/1

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -1.13%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -1.13%
Best: -1.13%
Worst: -1.13%
Trades: 0/1

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +0.35%
Best MFE: +0.35%
Avg Time to MFE: 15 min

On average, OSBC alerts reach +0.35% profit potential within 15 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.78%
Worst MAE: -0.78%
Avg Time to MAE: 5 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.78%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

0.45:1

Challenging risk/reward - consider tighter stops.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 1 alerts, OSBC typically reaches +0.35% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.3% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 1
Gap Up % 0.0%
Avg Gap -0.78%
Best Gap -0.78%

🏭 Sector Comparison: STATE COMMERCIAL BANKS

How OSBC compares to 29 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
OSBC: -0.78% Sector: -0.03% -0.75%
EOD Gain
OSBC: -1.13% Sector: -0.04% -1.09%
Avg MFE
OSBC: +0.35% Sector: +1.25% -0.90%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical OSBC alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2022-01-18 09:25:00 $14.14 -0.78% +0.35% -0.14% -0.85% -1.13% +0.35% -0.78% -0.78% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 100.0% Baseline on OSBC

The 100.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push OSBC's performance to 75%+.

Optimize OSBC Strategy →

Why Analyze OSBC with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for OSBC. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, OSBC historically offers an average upside of +0.35% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 OSBC Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 100.0%, OSBC shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show OSBC performs best on the 15MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.35%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.