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Latest signal:

OTLY Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 56 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-03-09 → 2025-02-13

⚠️ Small sample size (56 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Oatly Group AB American Depositary Shares
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: May 20, 2021 🔗 www.oatly.com
💰 Market Cap: $338.4M 👥 Employees: 1,426
Oatly Group AB is engaged in the food and drinks industry. Some of its products include Oat Drink, Chilled Oat Drink, Oatgurt, Creamy Oat, and Icecreams, among others. It caters to Sweden, Germany, the United Kingdom, Netherlands, North America, Finland, and Other markets. The company generates revenue from the EMEA, Americas, and Asia regions, with the majority of revenue generated from the EMEA region.
📊
56
Total Alerts
🎯
78.6%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
+1216.03%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+4.63%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 28.6%
Avg Gain: -0.93%
Avg Winner: +2.13%
Avg Loser: -2.33%
Best: +6.98%
Worst: -9.09%
Trades: 16/37

15MIN

Win Rate: 26.8%
Avg Gain: -1.60%
Avg Winner: +2.71%
Avg Loser: -3.52%
Best: +9.20%
Worst: -13.16%
Trades: 15/37

30MIN

Win Rate: 32.1%
Avg Gain: -1.61%
Avg Winner: +3.00%
Avg Loser: -3.90%
Best: +10.36%
Worst: -15.26%
Trades: 18/37

60MIN

Win Rate: 30.4%
Avg Gain: -1.50%
Avg Winner: +4.54%
Avg Loser: -4.35%
Best: +13.54%
Worst: -15.87%
Trades: 17/37

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 78.6%
Avg Gain: +1216.03%
Avg Winner: +1549.21%
Avg Loser: -5.65%
Best: +2230.11%
Worst: -15.18%
Trades: 44/12

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +4.63%
Best MFE: +18.68%
Avg Time to MFE: 69 min

On average, OTLY alerts reach +4.63% profit potential within 69 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -2.35%
Worst MAE: -13.11%
Avg Time to MAE: 4 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 2.35%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

1.97:1

Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 56 alerts, OTLY typically reaches +4.63% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 3.7% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 56
Gap Up % 12.5%
Avg Gap -0.75%
Best Gap +1.88%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical OTLY alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-13 09:25:21 $0.46 -1.14% -8.22% -4.87% +3.54% +2230.11% +18.68% -12.09% -1.10% LOSS
2025-02-12 09:27:58 $0.61 -0.79% -4.89% -9.82% -15.87% +1162.50% +1.62% -0.02% -1.62% LOSS
2025-01-31 09:25:06 $0.64 -2.84% +0.33% -3.10% -2.10% -3.43% +2.15% -5.97% -2.84% LOSS
2025-01-06 09:27:39 $0.77 -0.60% -2.73% -4.86% -6.49% +1759.74% +0.65% -1.04% - LOSS
2025-01-02 09:27:48 $0.72 +3.52% -1.78% -0.48% +0.46% +1900.83% +5.27% -2.74% -1.60% WIN
2024-12-03 09:26:06 $0.7 -1.63% -0.72% -1.39% -0.68% -0.71% +2.10% -2.13% -1.09% LOSS
2024-11-07 09:26:32 $0.88 -9.09% -6.62% -5.68% -8.50% -12.84% - - -2.27% LOSS
2024-07-25 09:26:21 $0.97 +0.77% -1.03% -1.95% -1.42% +1865.57% +1.03% - - WIN
2024-07-24 09:28:11 $1.14 -1.75% -4.39% -8.77% -10.13% +1598.95% +0.88% -3.51% -3.51% LOSS
2023-12-15 09:26:00 $1.39 -0.72% -1.58% -3.96% -5.40% +1655.40% - -1.44% -0.72% LOSS
2023-12-12 09:27:00 $1.15 -4.78% +1.74% +3.48% - +1830.43% +3.48% -5.22% -1.74% LOSS
2023-11-30 09:28:00 $1.08 +0.93% - +0.93% +1.39% +1585.19% +3.70% -0.93% - WIN
2023-11-17 09:27:00 $0.77 +0.01% -4.69% -4.52% +0.07% +2041.58% +9.09% -4.90% +0.01% WIN
2023-11-15 09:28:00 $0.55 -1.82% -1.82% -1.82% -1.84% +1827.64% +9.04% -1.82% -1.82% LOSS
2023-11-14 09:28:00 $0.52 - - +0.02% - +1938.85% +8.87% -1.90% +0.19% -
2023-11-09 09:25:00 $0.65 +1.54% -2.38% -1.64% -5.69% +1596.31% +3.06% - +1.88% WIN
2023-11-06 09:25:00 $0.69 -1.18% -5.81% -7.06% -9.00% +1717.15% +0.29% -1.16% -1.90% LOSS
2023-11-03 09:25:00 $0.56 +3.57% +9.20% +10.36% +13.54% +2150.40% +17.88% -1.80% +0.02% WIN
2023-10-17 09:27:00 $0.69 -2.48% -2.01% -2.60% -2.86% +1781.89% -0.38% -1.67% -1.67% LOSS
2023-10-12 09:28:00 $0.67 -1.78% -4.48% -0.56% -1.12% -3.84% +0.45% -5.76% -0.27% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 78.6% Baseline on OTLY

The 78.6% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push OTLY's performance to 75%+.

Optimize OTLY Strategy →

Why Analyze OTLY with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for OTLY. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, OTLY historically offers an average upside of +4.63% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 OTLY Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 78.6%, OTLY shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show OTLY performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +1216.03%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.