FILTRIX Logo FILTRIX Find Your Edge →

Latest signal:

OWL Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 16 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-06-02 → 2025-01-23

⚠️ Small sample size (16 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Blue Owl Capital Inc. INVESTMENT ADVICE (SIC 6282)
📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: May 20, 2021 🔗 www.blueowl.com
💰 Market Cap: $10.07B 👥 Employees: 1,100
Blue Owl Capital is one of the world's largest alternative-asset managers, $295.6 billion in total managed assets, including $183.8 billion in fee-earning AUM, at the end of September 2025. The company has three core business segments: global private equity, (with $68.8 billion in total AUM and $40.2 billion in fee-earning AUM), private credit ($152.1 billion/$97.3 billion), and real estate/real assets ($74.7 billion/$46.3 billion). The firm primarily serves institutional investors (68% of AUM) and high-net-worth individuals (32%). The firm operates through more than 20 offices in the Americas, and the EMEA and Asia-Pacific regions.
📊
16
Total Alerts
🎯
68.8%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
+0.90%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+2.08%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 62.5%
Avg Gain: +0.19%
Avg Winner: +0.82%
Avg Loser: -1.04%
Best: +1.65%
Worst: -1.84%
Trades: 10/5

15MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +0.04%
Avg Winner: +0.93%
Avg Loser: -0.85%
Best: +2.14%
Worst: -2.53%
Trades: 8/8

30MIN

Win Rate: 56.2%
Avg Gain: +0.39%
Avg Winner: +1.37%
Avg Loser: -0.86%
Best: +2.91%
Worst: -2.77%
Trades: 9/7

60MIN

Win Rate: 56.2%
Avg Gain: +0.36%
Avg Winner: +1.35%
Avg Loser: -0.91%
Best: +2.44%
Worst: -3.19%
Trades: 9/7

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 68.8%
Avg Gain: +0.90%
Avg Winner: +2.00%
Avg Loser: -1.51%
Best: +5.71%
Worst: -3.41%
Trades: 11/5

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +2.08%
Best MFE: +6.05%
Avg Time to MFE: 136 min

On average, OWL alerts reach +2.08% profit potential within 136 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.43%
Worst MAE: -1.88%
Avg Time to MAE: 13 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.43%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

4.86:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 4.86x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 16 alerts, OWL typically reaches +2.08% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.7% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 16
Gap Up % 62.5%
Avg Gap +0.12%
Best Gap +2.21%

🏭 Sector Comparison: INVESTMENT ADVICE

How OWL compares to 30 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
OWL: +0.19% Sector: -0.13% +0.32%
EOD Gain
OWL: +0.90% Sector: +3.47% -2.57%
Avg MFE
OWL: +2.08% Sector: +1.91% +0.17%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical OWL alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-01-23 09:29:40 $25.84 -0.27% +0.19% +0.08% +0.14% +0.74% +1.12% -0.77% +0.19% LOSS
2025-01-22 09:25:28 $24.15 +1.14% +1.61% +2.24% +2.11% +5.71% +6.05% +0.08% +0.62% WIN
2025-01-21 09:29:20 $24.44 +0.86% +0.90% +0.61% +0.08% +0.25% +1.10% +0.12% +0.12% WIN
2025-01-10 09:26:07 $22.9 +0.59% -1.79% -0.87% -1.31% -1.53% +1.57% +1.27% +0.59% WIN
2025-01-08 09:25:50 $22.38 +1.16% +2.14% +2.41% +2.41% +3.84% +3.93% +0.78% +0.98% WIN
2024-12-16 09:29:07 $24.7 -1.19% +0.16% -0.40% -0.10% +0.45% +1.21% -1.62% -1.13% LOSS
2024-11-25 09:29:07 $25.25 -1.84% -2.53% -2.77% -3.19% -3.41% -0.87% -1.88% -1.70% LOSS
2024-10-30 09:28:02 $23.01 +1.02% -0.09% +0.65% +0.54% +0.39% +1.30% -0.13% +0.22% WIN
2024-06-04 09:26:49 $17.5 +0.06% -0.17% -0.57% -0.17% -1.03% +0.51% - +0.06% WIN
2024-05-07 09:25:03 $17.97 +0.14% +0.64% +0.61% +0.92% +0.83% +1.84% -0.22% -0.17% WIN
2024-03-01 09:25:56 $18.03 -0.17% -0.33% -0.44% -0.25% -0.28% +0.06% -1.11% -0.17% LOSS
2023-11-16 09:26:00 $13.75 - -0.40% -0.44% -0.69% -1.31% +0.15% -0.29% -0.29% -
2023-11-08 09:26:00 $13.19 -1.71% -1.25% -0.53% -0.64% +0.53% +0.98% -1.82% -1.67% LOSS
2023-07-28 09:26:00 $12.11 +1.65% +1.53% +2.06% +1.92% +2.23% +2.64% +0.95% +1.65% WIN
2023-03-13 09:28:00 $9.97 +1.00% -0.25% +2.91% +1.55% +1.60% +5.87% -1.40% +2.21% WIN
2022-06-02 09:25:00 $11.9 +0.59% +0.25% +0.76% +2.44% +5.38% +5.80% -0.80% +0.42% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 68.8% Baseline on OWL

The 68.8% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push OWL's performance to 75%+.

Optimize OWL Strategy →

Why Analyze OWL with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for OWL. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, OWL historically offers an average upside of +2.08% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 OWL Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 68.8%, OWL shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show OWL performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.90%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.