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PAA Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 25 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-03 → 2024-11-01

⚠️ Small sample size (25 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Plains All American Pipeline, L.P. Common Units representing Limited Partner Interests PIPE LINES (NO NATURAL GAS) (SIC 4610)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Nov 18, 1998 🔗 www.plainsallamerican.com
💰 Market Cap: $13.54B 👥 Employees: 4,200
Plains All American Pipeline LP through its subsidiaries, engages in the pipeline transportation, terminaling, storage, and gathering of crude oil and natural gas liquids (NGL) in the United States and Canada. The company operates through two segments, Crude Oil and NGL. The Crude Oil segment offers gathering and transporting crude oil through pipelines, gathering systems, trucks, and barges or railcars. The NGL segment is involved in natural gas processing and NGL fractionation, storage, transportation, and terminalling. It generates the majority of its revenue from the Crude Oil segment.
📊
25
Total Alerts
🎯
64.0%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
+0.35%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+1.30%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 40.0%
Avg Gain: -0.20%
Avg Winner: +0.50%
Avg Loser: -0.72%
Best: +1.19%
Worst: -1.90%
Trades: 10/14

15MIN

Win Rate: 48.0%
Avg Gain: -0.11%
Avg Winner: +0.68%
Avg Loser: -0.90%
Best: +1.46%
Worst: -1.97%
Trades: 12/12

30MIN

Win Rate: 52.0%
Avg Gain: +0.04%
Avg Winner: +1.04%
Avg Loser: -1.05%
Best: +2.21%
Worst: -2.07%
Trades: 13/12

60MIN

Win Rate: 48.0%
Avg Gain: +0.00%
Avg Winner: +1.27%
Avg Loser: -1.17%
Best: +3.10%
Worst: -3.44%
Trades: 12/13

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 64.0%
Avg Gain: +0.35%
Avg Winner: +1.49%
Avg Loser: -1.68%
Best: +6.30%
Worst: -4.35%
Trades: 16/9

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.30%
Best MFE: +6.67%
Avg Time to MFE: 186 min

On average, PAA alerts reach +1.30% profit potential within 186 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.95%
Worst MAE: -3.96%
Avg Time to MAE: 23 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.95%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

1.37:1

Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 25 alerts, PAA typically reaches +1.30% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.0% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 25
Gap Up % 32.0%
Avg Gap -0.18%
Best Gap +1.00%

🏭 Sector Comparison: PIPE LINES (NO NATURAL GAS)

How PAA compares to 7 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
PAA: -0.20% Sector: -0.06% -0.14%
EOD Gain
PAA: +0.35% Sector: +0.13% +0.22%
Avg MFE
PAA: +1.30% Sector: +1.33% -0.03%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical PAA alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-11-01 09:29:18 $16.3 +0.86% +0.92% +0.98% +0.64% +0.55% +1.35% -0.12% -0.06% WIN
2024-04-25 09:26:06 $18.23 +0.03% -0.66% -0.80% -0.60% -0.88% +0.16% -1.23% -0.16% WIN
2024-04-23 09:26:59 $17.93 -0.45% -0.31% -0.11% -0.01% +0.67% +1.37% -0.67% -0.11% LOSS
2024-04-18 09:29:26 $17.42 +0.72% +1.20% +1.72% +2.47% +1.55% +2.58% -0.23% +0.06% WIN
2024-04-16 09:29:38 $17.59 -0.48% -0.97% -0.94% -1.36% -1.88% -0.03% -0.57% -0.17% LOSS
2024-04-11 09:28:28 $18.36 -1.31% -1.81% -1.47% -2.51% -2.07% -1.14% -1.47% -1.14% LOSS
2024-04-09 09:28:49 $19.0 -0.24% -0.05% -0.39% -0.76% -2.47% -0.03% -0.47% -0.11% LOSS
2024-04-04 09:29:37 $18.25 -0.11% +0.27% +1.02% +0.92% +0.22% +1.48% -0.27% -0.22% LOSS
2024-04-02 09:27:02 $17.79 -0.11% +0.20% +0.03% -0.06% +0.11% +0.34% -0.28% - LOSS
2023-09-27 09:25:00 $15.15 +1.19% +1.09% +1.45% +0.63% +0.79% +1.47% +0.66% +0.66% WIN
2023-07-20 09:28:00 $14.64 +0.27% +0.14% +0.14% -0.03% +0.55% +0.48% -0.20% +0.20% WIN
2023-07-18 09:29:00 $14.47 -0.21% +0.21% +0.65% +0.97% +0.76% +1.00% -0.76% -0.48% LOSS
2022-10-19 09:25:00 $11.77 -1.02% -0.42% -1.27% +0.04% -0.51% +0.17% -1.70% -1.70% LOSS
2022-10-03 09:25:00 $10.85 +0.46% -0.37% +0.78% +1.30% +0.74% +1.75% -0.46% +0.37% WIN
2022-09-29 09:25:00 $10.61 -0.75% -1.97% -2.07% -3.44% -0.66% -0.47% -3.96% -0.94% LOSS
2022-09-14 09:25:00 $12.04 - +0.42% +1.45% +1.66% +2.66% +2.78% -0.48% -0.33% -
2022-07-28 09:25:00 $10.84 +0.18% - -1.25% -1.20% +1.48% +1.66% -1.75% -0.74% WIN
2022-06-27 09:25:00 $10.19 -1.38% -0.64% -0.88% -1.82% -0.59% +0.39% -2.01% -0.29% LOSS
2022-03-29 09:25:00 $10.87 -0.97% -1.47% -1.62% -1.20% +0.37% +0.74% -1.84% -0.46% LOSS
2022-03-01 09:25:00 $10.54 +0.76% +0.95% +0.57% +0.57% +0.66% +1.14% +0.09% +0.09% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 64.0% Baseline on PAA

The 64.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push PAA's performance to 75%+.

Optimize PAA Strategy →

Why Analyze PAA with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for PAA. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, PAA historically offers an average upside of +1.30% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 PAA Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 64.0%, PAA shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show PAA performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.35%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.