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PACK Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 2 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-07-28 → 2025-01-29

⚠️ Small sample size (2 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Feb 26, 2018 🔗 www.ranpak.com
💰 Market Cap: $459.8M 👥 Employees: 800
Ranpak Holdings Corp is a provider of environmentally sustainable, systems-based, product protection solutions for e-Commerce and industrial supply chains. The company offers a full suite of protective packaging systems and paper consumables. Geographically, it derives a majority of its revenue from Europe/Asia. The group generates revenue by providing its PPS systems and paper consumables to customers, which include direct end-users and a network of exclusive paper packaging solution distributors, and by providing end-of-line automation systems that solve challenges, including optimization, customization, and efficiency. It has two segments, North America and Europe/Asia.
📊
2
Total Alerts
🎯
100.0%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
+3.64%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+14.18%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +3.64%
Avg Winner: +3.64%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +5.54%
Worst: +1.73%
Trades: 2/0

15MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +2.68%
Avg Winner: +2.68%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +4.24%
Worst: +1.13%
Trades: 2/0

30MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +0.94%
Avg Winner: +3.44%
Avg Loser: -1.56%
Best: +3.44%
Worst: -1.56%
Trades: 1/1

60MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +0.07%
Avg Winner: +2.57%
Avg Loser: -2.43%
Best: +2.57%
Worst: -2.43%
Trades: 1/1

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +2.24%
Avg Winner: +20.95%
Avg Loser: -16.46%
Best: +20.95%
Worst: -16.46%
Trades: 1/1

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +14.18%
Best MFE: +23.68%
Avg Time to MFE: 195 min

On average, PACK alerts reach +14.18% profit potential within 195 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -4.35%
Worst MAE: -6.41%
Avg Time to MAE: 4 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 4.35%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

3.26:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 3.26x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 2 alerts, PACK typically reaches +14.18% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 11.3% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 2
Gap Up % 100.0%
Avg Gap +0.37%
Best Gap +0.57%

🏭 Sector Comparison: CONVERTED PAPER & PAPERBOARD PRODS (NO CONTANERS/BOXES)

How PACK compares to 4 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
PACK: +3.64% Sector: +0.26% +3.37%
EOD Gain
PACK: +2.24% Sector: +191.19% -188.95%
Avg MFE
PACK: +14.18% Sector: +5.34% +8.84%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical PACK alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-01-29 09:29:25 $6.97 +5.54% +4.24% +3.44% +2.57% +20.95% +23.68% -2.30% +0.57% WIN
2022-07-28 09:25:00 $5.77 +1.73% +1.13% -1.56% -2.43% -16.46% +4.68% -6.41% +0.17% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 100.0% Baseline on PACK

The 100.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push PACK's performance to 75%+.

Optimize PACK Strategy →

Why Analyze PACK with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for PACK. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, PACK historically offers an average upside of +14.18% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 PACK Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 100.0%, PACK shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show PACK performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +3.64%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.