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PATH Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 218 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-06 → 2025-02-14

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Apr 21, 2021 🔗 www.uipath.com
💰 Market Cap: $7.91B 👥 Employees: 3,868
UiPath Inc offers an end-to-end cross-application enterprise automation platform principally with computer vision technology and user interface automations in its initial RPA offering, which remains the foundation of the platform. The platform leverages a range of automation technologies including robotic process automation, application programming interface, and artificial intelligence. UiPath's solution can automate a broad range of repetitive tasks across industries including claims processing, employee onboarding, invoice to cash, loan applications, and customer service.
📊
218
Total Alerts
🎯
51.8%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
+0.13%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+2.63%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 44.0%
Avg Gain: -0.15%
Avg Winner: +0.93%
Avg Loser: -1.04%
Best: +3.55%
Worst: -4.42%
Trades: 96/118

15MIN

Win Rate: 45.0%
Avg Gain: -0.17%
Avg Winner: +1.42%
Avg Loser: -1.50%
Best: +6.56%
Worst: -7.72%
Trades: 98/117

30MIN

Win Rate: 49.1%
Avg Gain: -0.11%
Avg Winner: +1.54%
Avg Loser: -1.73%
Best: +6.05%
Worst: -10.25%
Trades: 107/109

60MIN

Win Rate: 45.4%
Avg Gain: -0.04%
Avg Winner: +2.09%
Avg Loser: -1.84%
Best: +11.96%
Worst: -11.63%
Trades: 99/117

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 51.8%
Avg Gain: +0.13%
Avg Winner: +2.65%
Avg Loser: -2.59%
Best: +11.88%
Worst: -13.01%
Trades: 113/105

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +2.63%
Best MFE: +12.82%
Avg Time to MFE: 113 min

On average, PATH alerts reach +2.63% profit potential within 113 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.20%
Worst MAE: -9.83%
Avg Time to MAE: 9 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.20%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.18:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.18x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 218 alerts, PATH typically reaches +2.63% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 2.1% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 218
Gap Up % 42.7%
Avg Gap -0.10%
Best Gap +1.76%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE

How PATH compares to 137 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
PATH: -0.15% Sector: -0.09% -0.06%
EOD Gain
PATH: +0.13% Sector: +73.64% -73.51%
Avg MFE
PATH: +2.63% Sector: +4.32% -1.70%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical PATH alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-14 09:29:24 $15.3 -1.60% -1.50% -1.80% -3.53% -2.42% - -1.31% -0.13% LOSS
2025-02-13 09:25:48 $14.28 - -1.66% -0.94% -0.32% +6.02% +7.84% -2.17% -0.21% -
2025-02-12 09:29:24 $13.76 -0.73% +0.58% +1.16% +1.09% +2.62% +3.34% -1.08% -0.15% LOSS
2025-02-11 09:26:51 $14.08 -1.14% -0.07% +0.57% -0.36% -0.71% +0.71% -1.21% -0.14% LOSS
2025-02-10 09:28:12 $14.14 +2.32% +3.15% +2.62% +2.65% +0.64% +3.39% -0.07% +0.71% WIN
2025-02-06 09:26:09 $14.99 -1.13% -1.14% -1.03% -0.97% -4.67% +0.07% -0.67% - LOSS
2025-02-04 09:26:25 $14.37 +0.49% +1.50% +0.84% -0.31% +0.42% +1.95% -0.14% +0.14% WIN
2025-02-03 09:26:17 $13.77 +0.44% +0.65% +0.29% +0.54% +3.20% +4.65% -0.65% -0.36% WIN
2025-01-31 09:27:20 $14.82 +0.67% -0.37% -1.59% -1.32% -4.05% +1.69% +0.20% +0.61% WIN
2025-01-30 09:28:41 $14.44 -0.48% +0.69% +1.90% +2.15% +0.97% +3.19% -0.90% -0.55% LOSS
2025-01-27 09:29:12 $13.58 +0.59% +2.14% +3.61% +4.75% +1.33% +5.52% -0.15% +0.52% WIN
2025-01-24 09:25:56 $13.9 -0.65% -0.36% -0.03% -0.11% +0.14% +1.29% -0.79% -0.36% LOSS
2025-01-22 09:27:24 $13.2 +0.53% +0.61% +0.91% +1.59% +1.89% +2.80% -0.53% +0.76% WIN
2025-01-21 09:26:22 $13.11 +1.03% +1.14% +0.34% +1.72% +1.68% +2.95% -0.31% +0.23% WIN
2025-01-17 09:26:44 $13.55 -0.59% -1.32% -1.48% -2.66% -3.91% - - -0.15% LOSS
2025-01-16 09:25:00 $13.45 -0.30% +0.07% -1.34% -1.23% -0.74% +0.63% -0.82% - LOSS
2025-01-15 09:25:21 $13.64 +0.59% -1.17% -0.73% -0.55% -1.98% +0.66% -0.29% +0.15% WIN
2025-01-14 09:29:15 $12.86 +2.41% +3.15% +1.67% +2.92% +3.27% +3.77% +0.62% +0.78% WIN
2025-01-13 09:25:28 $12.76 -0.71% -0.90% +0.35% -0.04% +0.55% +1.02% -1.10% +0.39% LOSS
2025-01-10 09:27:21 $13.08 -1.45% -1.68% -0.88% +0.31% -0.84% +0.61% -2.52% +0.15% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 51.8% Baseline on PATH

The 51.8% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push PATH's performance to 75%+.

Optimize PATH Strategy →

Why Analyze PATH with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for PATH. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, PATH historically offers an average upside of +2.63% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 PATH Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 51.8%, PATH shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show PATH performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.13%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.