FILTRIX Logo FILTRIX Find Your Edge →

Latest signal:

PAY Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 1 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2024-03-05 → 2024-03-05

⚠️ Small sample size (1 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: May 26, 2021 🔗 www.paymentus.com
💰 Market Cap: $3.71B 👥 Employees: 1,307
Paymentus Holdings Inc provides electronic bill presentment and payment services, enterprise customer communication and self-service revenue management to billers and financial institutions through a Software-as-a-Service, (SaaS), secure, omni-channel technology platform. The platform integrates into a biller's core financial and operating systems to provide flexible and secure access to payment processing of credit cards, debit cards, eChecks and digital wallets across a number of channels including online, mobile, IVR, call center, chatbot and voice-based assistants. The Company generates revenue from payment transaction fees processed through the Company's platform. The fees are generated as a percentage of transaction value or a specified fee per transaction.
📊
1
Total Alerts
🎯
0.0%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
-1.09%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+4.58%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -1.09%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -1.09%
Best: -1.09%
Worst: -1.09%
Trades: 0/1

15MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -1.09%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -1.09%
Best: -1.09%
Worst: -1.09%
Trades: 0/1

30MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -1.36%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -1.36%
Best: -1.36%
Worst: -1.36%
Trades: 0/1

60MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -2.29%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -2.29%
Best: -2.29%
Worst: -2.29%
Trades: 0/1

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -2.24%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -2.24%
Best: -2.24%
Worst: -2.24%
Trades: 0/1

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +4.58%
Best MFE: +4.58%
Avg Time to MFE: 298 min

On average, PAY alerts reach +4.58% profit potential within 298 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -6.47%
Worst MAE: -6.47%
Avg Time to MAE: 20 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 6.47%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

0.71:1

Challenging risk/reward - consider tighter stops.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 1 alerts, PAY typically reaches +4.58% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 3.7% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 1
Gap Up % 0.0%
Avg Gap -3.18%
Best Gap -3.18%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SERVICES-BUSINESS SERVICES, NEC

How PAY compares to 59 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
PAY: -1.09% Sector: -0.05% -1.05%
EOD Gain
PAY: -2.24% Sector: +1758.96% -1761.20%
Avg MFE
PAY: +4.58% Sector: +2.89% +1.69%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical PAY alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-03-05 09:26:09 $20.1 -1.09% -1.09% -1.36% -2.29% -2.24% +4.58% -6.47% -3.18% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ PAY Shows Negative Expectancy

With 0.0% win rate and -1.09% average gain, PAY alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider PAY for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze PAY with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for PAY. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, PAY historically offers an average upside of +4.58% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 PAY Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 0.0%, PAY shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests PAY may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: PAY shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 5MIN at -1.09%). This suggests PAY is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.