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PAYC Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 19 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-06-17 → 2024-08-15

⚠️ Small sample size (19 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Apr 15, 2014 🔗 www.paycom.com
💰 Market Cap: $8.36B 👥 Employees: 7,306
Founded in 1998, Paycom is a human capital management software-as-a-service provider addressing customer requirements surrounding payroll, talent acquisition, talent management, HR management, as well as time and labor. The company primarily services midsize businesses within the United States, targeting businesses with 50-10,000 employees. The company primarily generates revenue through the sale of subscriptions providing access to its HCM platform. To a lesser extent, the company also generates revenue from implementation services provided to customers as well as interest income generated from customer funds. As of fiscal 2024, the company serviced slightly over 37,500 customers and stored data on over 7 million employees.
📊
19
Total Alerts
🎯
73.7%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
+0.92%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+2.37%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 63.2%
Avg Gain: +0.25%
Avg Winner: +0.60%
Avg Loser: -0.34%
Best: +1.58%
Worst: -0.77%
Trades: 12/7

15MIN

Win Rate: 57.9%
Avg Gain: +0.64%
Avg Winner: +1.52%
Avg Loser: -0.57%
Best: +6.28%
Worst: -1.53%
Trades: 11/8

30MIN

Win Rate: 63.2%
Avg Gain: +0.59%
Avg Winner: +1.50%
Avg Loser: -0.97%
Best: +4.78%
Worst: -3.58%
Trades: 12/7

60MIN

Win Rate: 63.2%
Avg Gain: +0.36%
Avg Winner: +0.96%
Avg Loser: -0.67%
Best: +2.77%
Worst: -2.73%
Trades: 12/7

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 73.7%
Avg Gain: +0.92%
Avg Winner: +1.68%
Avg Loser: -1.22%
Best: +4.85%
Worst: -1.66%
Trades: 14/5

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +2.37%
Best MFE: +7.27%
Avg Time to MFE: 161 min

On average, PAYC alerts reach +2.37% profit potential within 161 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.72%
Worst MAE: -4.57%
Avg Time to MAE: 16 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.72%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

3.29:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 3.29x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 19 alerts, PAYC typically reaches +2.37% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.9% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 19
Gap Up % 52.6%
Avg Gap +0.18%
Best Gap +2.92%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE

How PAYC compares to 137 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
PAYC: +0.25% Sector: -0.09% +0.35%
EOD Gain
PAYC: +0.92% Sector: +73.64% -72.72%
Avg MFE
PAYC: +2.37% Sector: +4.32% -1.95%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical PAYC alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-08-15 09:26:25 $157.15 +0.30% +1.82% +1.59% +1.05% +1.62% +2.45% +0.24% +0.24% WIN
2024-06-03 09:27:56 $147.6 +0.55% -0.25% +0.29% -0.30% -1.66% +0.91% -0.75% -0.14% WIN
2024-03-07 09:29:13 $177.62 -0.06% -0.04% +0.23% +0.79% +2.29% +2.67% -0.66% -0.34% LOSS
2024-02-23 09:26:38 $181.84 +0.16% -0.73% -0.76% -0.05% +1.56% +1.88% -1.01% -0.19% WIN
2024-02-06 09:25:34 $195.0 +0.27% +1.05% +0.99% +1.31% +1.36% +2.16% +0.18% +0.31% WIN
2023-12-06 09:27:00 $184.79 -0.56% -1.53% -0.89% -0.94% +0.39% +1.11% -1.71% -0.69% LOSS
2023-11-29 09:25:00 $179.45 +1.32% +1.88% +2.76% +2.02% +1.03% +2.88% +0.53% +0.59% WIN
2023-11-01 09:26:00 $148.22 +1.58% +6.28% +4.78% +2.77% +1.67% +7.27% -0.76% +2.92% WIN
2023-08-22 09:25:00 $284.47 +0.93% +0.80% +0.49% +0.62% +0.84% +1.35% +0.09% +0.20% WIN
2023-06-09 09:25:00 $306.0 +0.39% +0.18% +0.40% +0.01% -0.42% +0.86% -0.07% +0.22% WIN
2023-05-23 09:26:00 $288.0 -0.77% -0.48% -0.27% -0.59% -1.40% +0.19% -0.82% -0.69% LOSS
2023-05-09 09:27:00 $273.0 -0.42% -0.43% -0.59% -0.01% -1.56% +0.44% -1.58% -0.41% LOSS
2023-02-22 09:26:00 $298.0 +0.67% +1.57% +1.63% +0.63% +0.32% +2.16% +0.67% +0.67% WIN
2023-02-09 09:27:00 $326.0 -0.10% -0.77% -0.27% -0.02% -1.08% +1.25% -1.57% +0.34% LOSS
2023-02-01 09:28:00 $325.0 +0.65% +0.28% +1.34% +0.87% +4.85% +5.55% -0.44% -0.29% WIN
2022-12-01 09:25:00 $339.1 -0.28% +0.75% +1.37% +0.03% +2.10% +2.91% -0.65% -0.28% LOSS
2022-08-09 09:25:00 $362.7 +0.30% +0.34% -0.41% +0.64% +2.42% +3.69% -0.63% +0.99% WIN
2022-07-28 09:25:00 $320.0 +0.12% -0.31% -3.58% -2.73% +2.05% +2.62% -4.57% +0.12% WIN
2022-06-17 09:25:00 $262.1 -0.21% +1.73% +2.15% +0.72% +1.04% +2.70% -0.21% -0.21% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 73.7% Baseline on PAYC

The 73.7% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push PAYC's performance to 75%+.

Optimize PAYC Strategy →

Why Analyze PAYC with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for PAYC. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, PAYC historically offers an average upside of +2.37% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 PAYC Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 73.7%, PAYC shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show PAYC performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.92%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.