Latest signal:
PBF Stock Analysis
Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 16 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-18 → 2024-02-15
⚠️ Small sample size (16 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.
🏢 Company Profile
📈 Performance by Timeframe
5MIN
15MIN
30MIN
60MIN
EOD (End of Day)
🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)
Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.
📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)
On average, PBF alerts reach +2.92% profit potential within 105 minutes.
📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)
Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.09%.
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio
Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.67x the typical drawdown.
💡 Trading Insight: Based on 16 alerts, PBF typically reaches +2.92% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 2.3% to capture most of the move.
🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)
🏭 Sector Comparison: PETROLEUM REFINING
How PBF compares to 11 other tickers in the same sector.
📋 Last 20 Alerts
Historical PBF alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.
| Date | Time | Price | 5min | 15min | 30min | 60min | EOD | MFE | MAE | Gap | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-02-15 | 09:25:43 | $49.5 | +2.61% | +3.31% | +2.29% | +3.98% | +3.15% | +5.15% | -0.40% | - | WIN |
| 2023-11-02 | 09:29:00 | $49.57 | +0.89% | -3.74% | -1.40% | -2.62% | -4.30% | +1.16% | -2.30% | -2.20% | WIN |
| 2023-10-19 | 09:28:00 | $50.25 | -2.17% | -0.88% | -0.34% | -0.52% | -1.83% | +0.52% | -2.47% | -0.38% | LOSS |
| 2023-09-27 | 09:29:00 | $53.81 | +0.32% | -0.21% | -0.04% | +0.80% | +0.84% | +1.88% | -0.85% | -0.09% | WIN |
| 2023-09-22 | 09:29:00 | $54.54 | +0.13% | +0.94% | +0.64% | -0.02% | -2.44% | +1.30% | -0.72% | -0.24% | WIN |
| 2023-04-03 | 09:26:00 | $45.69 | -2.43% | -4.25% | -6.00% | -6.59% | -5.12% | -0.09% | -0.85% | -0.85% | LOSS |
| 2023-02-17 | 09:27:00 | $45.06 | -1.38% | -4.85% | -5.05% | -3.98% | -7.15% | +1.35% | - | +0.75% | LOSS |
| 2023-02-16 | 09:25:00 | $44.78 | +0.49% | +3.37% | +3.12% | +4.11% | +0.36% | +5.61% | -1.23% | -0.42% | WIN |
| 2023-01-04 | 09:25:00 | $36.61 | +0.42% | +2.35% | +1.17% | +1.26% | +1.48% | +3.17% | -0.56% | -0.19% | WIN |
| 2022-12-06 | 09:25:00 | $34.13 | +0.25% | +0.12% | +0.95% | +0.30% | -1.23% | +1.96% | -0.73% | +0.29% | WIN |
| 2022-11-29 | 09:25:00 | $42.31 | -0.17% | -0.05% | -1.18% | +0.14% | -1.84% | +1.37% | -1.04% | +0.21% | LOSS |
| 2022-07-28 | 09:25:00 | $32.0 | +0.71% | +2.64% | -1.53% | -5.09% | -1.94% | +5.03% | -0.69% | -0.09% | WIN |
| 2022-06-07 | 09:25:00 | $40.0 | +1.18% | +1.45% | +3.95% | +4.75% | +9.35% | +9.35% | +0.23% | +0.25% | WIN |
| 2022-03-29 | 09:25:00 | $21.3 | -1.03% | +0.82% | +0.42% | +1.88% | +5.31% | +5.35% | -2.21% | +0.94% | LOSS |
| 2022-03-28 | 09:25:00 | $22.24 | -0.18% | -2.38% | -2.47% | +0.67% | -0.22% | +1.93% | -3.42% | +0.04% | LOSS |
| 2022-01-18 | 09:25:00 | $18.3 | +1.37% | -0.27% | +0.30% | -1.31% | -1.97% | +1.64% | -0.27% | -0.19% | WIN |
Table Metrics Explained:
- 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
- MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
- MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
- Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
- Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise
🚀 Beat the 62.5% Baseline on PBF
The 62.5% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push PBF's performance to 75%+.
Optimize PBF Strategy →Why Analyze PBF with FILTRIX?
🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation
We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for PBF. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.
💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis
How much is left in the move? On winning days, PBF historically offers an average upside of +2.92% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.
📊 PBF Momentum Personality
With a baseline win rate of 62.5%, PBF shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.
⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing
Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show PBF performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.06%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.