$PBF
Trade-Ideas alerts 56.0% at 5-min n=25 2022-01-18 → 2026-09-15
⚠ SMALL SAMPLE · 25 alerts only. Statistics may have high variance — interpret with caution.
🏢 Company Profile
Practice trading PBF on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →
📈 Performance by Timeframe
5MIN
15MIN
30MIN
60MIN
EOD (End of Day)
🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)
Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.
📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)
On average, PBF alerts reach +3.06% profit potential within 101 minutes.
📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)
Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.66%.
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio
Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.
💡 Trading Insight: Based on 25 alerts, PBF typically reaches +3.06% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 2.4% to capture most of the move.
🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)
🏭 Sector Comparison: PETROLEUM REFINING
How PBF compares to 15 other tickers in the same sector.
📋 Last 20 Alerts
Historical PBF alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.
| Date | Time | Price | 5min | 15min | 30min | 60min | EOD | MFE | MAE | Gap | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-15 | 09:25:00 | $69.47 | +1.94% | +4.59% | +5.66% | +5.93% | +7.56% | +9.36% | -0.68% | -0.39% | WIN |
| 2026-09-14 | 09:25:00 | $77.35 | -2.68% | -1.03% | -0.33% | -1.47% | -8.99% | +0.30% | -5.34% | -0.45% | LOSS |
| 2026-09-08 | 09:25:00 | $76.0 | +1.43% | +1.53% | +0.53% | +1.60% | +1.01% | +2.11% | -0.33% | +0.66% | WIN |
| 2026-09-03 | 09:25:00 | $76.6 | -1.80% | -3.14% | -2.27% | -1.32% | -1.65% | -0.49% | -4.94% | -2.41% | LOSS |
| 2026-05-06 | 09:25:00 | $43.65 | -1.97% | -1.75% | -2.47% | -3.83% | -4.72% | +0.76% | -1.97% | -1.17% | LOSS |
| 2026-04-30 | 09:25:00 | $40.67 | -0.57% | +6.47% | +6.54% | +6.86% | +6.61% | +10.00% | -2.46% | -2.46% | LOSS |
| 2026-03-23 | 09:25:00 | $47.6 | -1.27% | -0.63% | -2.07% | -2.58% | -2.12% | +0.21% | -3.13% | -2.04% | LOSS |
| 2026-03-02 | 09:25:00 | $37.58 | +1.26% | -2.74% | -0.48% | -1.33% | +4.79% | +5.10% | -3.67% | +1.12% | WIN |
| 2026-01-05 | 09:25:00 | $30.6 | +1.27% | +1.83% | +0.95% | -2.19% | -3.59% | +2.55% | -1.37% | +0.16% | WIN |
| 2024-02-15 | 09:25:43 | $49.5 | +2.61% | +3.31% | +2.29% | +3.98% | +3.15% | +5.15% | -0.40% | +0.00% | WIN |
| 2023-11-02 | 09:29:00 | $49.57 | +0.89% | -3.74% | -1.40% | -2.62% | -4.30% | +1.16% | -2.30% | -2.20% | WIN |
| 2023-10-19 | 09:28:00 | $50.25 | -2.17% | -0.88% | -0.34% | -0.52% | -1.83% | +0.52% | -2.47% | -0.38% | LOSS |
| 2023-09-27 | 09:29:00 | $53.81 | +0.32% | -0.21% | -0.04% | +0.80% | +0.84% | +1.88% | -0.85% | -0.09% | WIN |
| 2023-09-22 | 09:29:00 | $54.54 | +0.13% | +0.94% | +0.64% | -0.02% | -2.44% | +1.30% | -0.72% | -0.24% | WIN |
| 2023-04-03 | 09:26:00 | $45.69 | -2.43% | -4.25% | -6.00% | -6.59% | -5.12% | -0.09% | -0.85% | -0.85% | LOSS |
| 2023-02-17 | 09:27:00 | $45.06 | -1.38% | -4.85% | -5.05% | -3.98% | -7.15% | +1.35% | +0.00% | +0.75% | LOSS |
| 2023-02-16 | 09:25:00 | $44.78 | +0.49% | +3.37% | +3.12% | +4.11% | +0.36% | +5.61% | -1.23% | -0.42% | WIN |
| 2023-01-04 | 09:25:00 | $36.61 | +0.42% | +2.35% | +1.17% | +1.26% | +1.48% | +3.17% | -0.56% | -0.19% | WIN |
| 2022-12-06 | 09:25:00 | $34.13 | +0.25% | +0.12% | +0.95% | +0.30% | -1.23% | +1.96% | -0.73% | +0.29% | WIN |
| 2022-11-29 | 09:25:00 | $42.31 | -0.17% | -0.05% | -1.18% | +0.14% | -1.84% | +1.37% | -1.04% | +0.21% | LOSS |
Table Metrics Explained:
- 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
- MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
- MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
- Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
- Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise
⚠ PBF Shows Negative Expectancy
Despite a 56.0% win rate, PBF has -0.06% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve win size or reduce loss size, making PBF profitable.
🔧 Fix PBF Risk / Reward →Why Analyze PBF with FILTRIX?
🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation
We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for PBF. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.
💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis
How much is left in the move? On winning days, PBF historically offers an average upside of +3.06% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.
📊 PBF Momentum Personality
With a baseline win rate of 56.0%, PBF shows negative expectancy despite winning more often - average losses (-1.42%) outweigh average wins (+1.02%). This suggests the need for tighter stops or better entry timing.
⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing
⚠️ Caution Advised: PBF shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 5MIN at -0.06%). This suggests PBF is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.