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PCVX Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 7 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-10-24 → 2024-09-03

⚠️ Small sample size (7 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Jun 12, 2020 🔗 www.vaxcyte.com
💰 Market Cap: $6.90B 👥 Employees: 414
Vaxcyte Inc is a clinical-stage vaccine innovation company engineering high-fidelity vaccines to protect humankind from the consequences of bacterial diseases. It is developing broad-spectrum conjugate and novel protein vaccines to prevent or treat bacterial infectious diseases. Its product comprises of Pneumococcal conjugate vaccine. The firm's product candidate consists of VAX-31, VAX-24, VAX-A1, VAX-PG, VAX-GI, and Others.
📊
7
Total Alerts
🎯
57.1%
Win Rate (15MIN)
💰
+1.73%
Avg Gain (15MIN)
🚀
+6.08%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 42.9%
Avg Gain: +0.64%
Avg Winner: +2.18%
Avg Loser: -0.51%
Best: +5.53%
Worst: -0.88%
Trades: 3/4

15MIN

Win Rate: 57.1%
Avg Gain: +1.73%
Avg Winner: +3.64%
Avg Loser: -0.82%
Best: +6.95%
Worst: -1.79%
Trades: 4/3

30MIN

Win Rate: 57.1%
Avg Gain: +2.53%
Avg Winner: +5.23%
Avg Loser: -1.07%
Best: +8.18%
Worst: -1.49%
Trades: 4/3

60MIN

Win Rate: 57.1%
Avg Gain: +2.69%
Avg Winner: +6.29%
Avg Loser: -3.15%
Best: +9.57%
Worst: -4.30%
Trades: 4/2

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 42.9%
Avg Gain: +2.13%
Avg Winner: +7.28%
Avg Loser: -2.30%
Best: +14.13%
Worst: -6.52%
Trades: 3/3

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +6.08%
Best MFE: +18.27%
Avg Time to MFE: 52 min

On average, PCVX alerts reach +6.08% profit potential within 52 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.10%
Worst MAE: -4.82%
Avg Time to MAE: 8 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.10%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

5.55:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 5.55x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 7 alerts, PCVX typically reaches +6.08% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 4.9% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 7
Gap Up % 28.6%
Avg Gap +0.07%
Best Gap +1.32%

🏭 Sector Comparison: BIOLOGICAL PRODUCTS, (NO DISGNOSTIC SUBSTANCES)

How PCVX compares to 128 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
PCVX: +0.64% Sector: -0.41% +1.06%
EOD Gain
PCVX: +2.13% Sector: +1233.50% -1231.37%
Avg MFE
PCVX: +6.08% Sector: +6.69% -0.61%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical PCVX alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-09-03 09:27:25 $106.27 +5.53% +6.95% +8.18% +8.93% +3.65% +12.23% +0.22% +1.32% WIN
2023-11-01 09:29:00 $48.1 -0.67% -1.79% -1.49% -1.99% -0.23% +0.10% -0.02% - LOSS
2023-08-17 09:29:00 $47.42 -0.48% -0.53% -0.86% - - +0.86% -1.10% -0.23% LOSS
2023-04-19 09:29:00 $44.0 +0.50% +2.32% +3.84% +5.26% +4.07% +7.02% -1.00% -0.32% WIN
2023-02-23 09:29:00 $43.0 +0.51% -0.15% +1.23% +1.40% -0.16% +1.81% -0.26% +0.53% WIN
2022-10-26 09:25:00 $35.75 -0.01% +5.09% +7.66% +9.57% +14.13% +18.27% -0.70% -0.42% LOSS
2022-10-24 09:25:00 $35.3 -0.88% +0.18% -0.86% -4.30% -6.52% +2.27% -4.82% -0.42% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 57.1% Baseline on PCVX

The 57.1% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push PCVX's performance to 75%+.

Optimize PCVX Strategy →

Why Analyze PCVX with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for PCVX. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, PCVX historically offers an average upside of +6.08% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 PCVX Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 57.1%, PCVX shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show PCVX performs best on the 15MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +1.73%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.