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PED Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 22 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-24 → 2023-04-03

⚠️ Small sample size (22 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE American 📅 IPO: May 02, 2003 🔗 www.pedevco.com
💰 Market Cap: $55.4M 👥 Employees: 14
PEDEVCO Corp is an oil and gas company focused on oil and natural gas development, exploration, and production. The company focuses on legacy properties where there is a long production history, well-defined geology and existing infrastructure that can be leveraged when applying modern field management technologies. The current properties of the company are located in the San Andres formation of the Permian Basin, situated in West Texas and eastern New Mexico (the Permian Basin), and in the Denver-Julesberg Basin (D-J Basin) in Colorado and Wyoming.
📊
22
Total Alerts
🎯
59.1%
Win Rate (15MIN)
💰
+0.18%
Avg Gain (15MIN)
🚀
+5.37%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 45.5%
Avg Gain: -0.17%
Avg Winner: +1.13%
Avg Loser: -1.68%
Best: +2.42%
Worst: -4.41%
Trades: 10/9

15MIN

Win Rate: 59.1%
Avg Gain: +0.18%
Avg Winner: +1.58%
Avg Loser: -2.36%
Best: +5.27%
Worst: -7.42%
Trades: 13/7

30MIN

Win Rate: 40.9%
Avg Gain: -0.31%
Avg Winner: +2.44%
Avg Loser: -2.39%
Best: +3.76%
Worst: -8.39%
Trades: 9/12

60MIN

Win Rate: 40.9%
Avg Gain: -1.15%
Avg Winner: +1.71%
Avg Loser: -3.13%
Best: +6.66%
Worst: -7.10%
Trades: 9/13

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 36.4%
Avg Gain: -0.85%
Avg Winner: +7.13%
Avg Loser: -5.82%
Best: +18.82%
Worst: -21.40%
Trades: 8/13

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +5.37%
Best MFE: +21.18%
Avg Time to MFE: 101 min

On average, PED alerts reach +5.37% profit potential within 101 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -2.04%
Worst MAE: -5.68%
Avg Time to MAE: 10 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 2.04%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.63:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.63x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 22 alerts, PED typically reaches +5.37% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 4.3% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 22
Gap Up % 36.4%
Avg Gap +0.02%
Best Gap +4.84%

🏭 Sector Comparison: CRUDE PETROLEUM & NATURAL GAS

How PED compares to 51 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
PED: -0.17% Sector: -0.16% -0.01%
EOD Gain
PED: -0.85% Sector: +59.69% -60.54%
Avg MFE
PED: +5.37% Sector: +2.88% +2.49%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical PED alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2023-04-03 09:29:00 $1.16 -1.01% -1.29% +0.43% -0.86% -6.90% +2.59% -2.59% -1.72% LOSS
2022-06-14 09:25:00 $1.42 +1.35% -1.40% +3.52% +2.82% -2.11% +5.57% -2.81% - WIN
2022-06-13 09:25:00 $1.46 +1.36% -0.73% -0.68% -4.79% -6.85% +2.74% +1.37% +1.37% WIN
2022-06-10 09:25:00 $1.62 +0.46% +0.62% +3.08% -1.85% -2.47% +4.01% -1.23% -1.23% WIN
2022-06-06 09:25:00 $1.58 -0.27% +0.63% -0.63% -3.16% -1.27% +2.22% -1.27% -1.27% LOSS
2022-05-31 09:25:00 $1.41 -4.41% +1.40% -0.72% +0.15% -4.96% +3.55% -5.03% -2.13% LOSS
2022-05-16 09:25:00 $1.2 -0.59% +0.83% +2.58% +6.66% +10.00% +12.92% -0.83% -0.83% LOSS
2022-03-29 09:25:00 $1.33 +0.01% +0.85% +1.50% +2.21% +6.01% +8.65% - +1.50% WIN
2022-03-21 09:25:00 $1.54 - +0.65% -1.88% +0.65% -2.60% +1.51% -0.65% -0.65% -
2022-03-18 09:25:00 $1.46 - -0.68% -0.68% -2.05% +2.74% +2.74% -0.68% -0.68% -
2022-03-15 09:25:00 $1.24 +2.42% +0.81% -1.60% -3.23% +5.65% +7.26% -4.03% +4.84% WIN
2022-03-14 09:25:00 $1.55 -3.87% -7.42% -8.39% -7.10% -14.19% +0.34% -3.87% - LOSS
2022-03-11 09:25:00 $1.68 +2.38% +0.67% -3.02% -3.57% -4.76% +2.38% - +2.38% WIN
2022-03-10 09:25:00 $1.73 +1.16% +1.21% +3.76% +1.15% - +5.78% +0.58% +1.73% WIN
2022-03-09 09:25:00 $1.66 -2.11% - +1.72% -1.20% -0.60% +5.42% -5.42% -3.01% LOSS
2022-03-08 09:25:00 $2.29 +0.87% +5.27% -0.44% -6.64% -21.40% +6.55% -5.68% -1.31% WIN
2022-03-07 09:25:00 $1.7 +0.58% +2.94% -4.12% -2.35% +18.82% +21.18% -5.29% +0.59% WIN
2022-02-24 09:25:00 $1.38 +0.72% -1.45% -2.86% +0.36% +0.72% +2.90% -0.72% +0.72% WIN
2022-02-22 09:25:00 $1.37 -1.20% -3.58% -3.65% -2.93% -5.84% - - -1.46% LOSS
2022-02-15 09:25:00 $1.31 -1.19% +0.76% +2.29% +0.27% +2.29% +3.05% -1.37% - LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 59.1% Baseline on PED

The 59.1% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push PED's performance to 75%+.

Optimize PED Strategy →

Why Analyze PED with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for PED. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, PED historically offers an average upside of +5.37% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 PED Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 59.1%, PED shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show PED performs best on the 15MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.18%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.