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PFGC Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 2 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2023-10-30 → 2024-12-02

⚠️ Small sample size (2 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Performance Food Group Company WHOLESALE-GROCERIES, GENERAL LINE (SIC 5141)
📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Oct 01, 2015 🔗 www.pfgc.com
💰 Market Cap: $14.72B 👥 Employees: 43,000
Performance Food Group Co , markets and distributes national and company-branded food and food-related products. The company also specializes in distributing candy, snacks, beverages, cigarettes, other tobacco products, health and beauty care products and other items to vending distributors, box retailers, theaters, convenience stores, drug stores, grocery stores, travel providers, and hospitality providers. The company has three reportable segments: Foodservice, Vistar, and Convenience.
📊
2
Total Alerts
🎯
50.0%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
-0.27%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+0.60%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -0.27%
Avg Winner: +1.18%
Avg Loser: -1.72%
Best: +1.18%
Worst: -1.72%
Trades: 1/1

15MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -0.32%
Avg Winner: +0.85%
Avg Loser: -1.49%
Best: +0.85%
Worst: -1.49%
Trades: 1/1

30MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +0.43%
Avg Winner: +1.78%
Avg Loser: -0.91%
Best: +1.78%
Worst: -0.91%
Trades: 1/1

60MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -0.04%
Avg Winner: +0.97%
Avg Loser: -1.06%
Best: +0.97%
Worst: -1.06%
Trades: 1/1

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -0.50%
Avg Winner: +0.91%
Avg Loser: -1.90%
Best: +0.91%
Worst: -1.90%
Trades: 1/1

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +0.60%
Best MFE: +1.78%
Avg Time to MFE: 139 min

On average, PFGC alerts reach +0.60% profit potential within 139 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.62%
Worst MAE: -1.93%
Avg Time to MAE: 11 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.62%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

0.96:1

Challenging risk/reward - consider tighter stops.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 2 alerts, PFGC typically reaches +0.60% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.5% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 2
Gap Up % 50.0%
Avg Gap -0.56%
Best Gap +0.73%

🏭 Sector Comparison: WHOLESALE-GROCERIES, GENERAL LINE

How PFGC compares to 3 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
PFGC: -0.27% Sector: -0.99% +0.72%
EOD Gain
PFGC: -0.50% Sector: +1.01% -1.51%
Avg MFE
PFGC: +0.60% Sector: +5.04% -4.45%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical PFGC alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-12-02 09:27:40 $89.98 -1.72% -1.49% -0.91% -1.06% -1.90% -0.59% -1.93% -1.86% LOSS
2023-10-30 09:25:00 $55.02 +1.18% +0.85% +1.78% +0.97% +0.91% +1.78% +0.69% +0.73% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ PFGC Shows Negative Expectancy

With 50.0% win rate and -0.27% average gain, PFGC alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider PFGC for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze PFGC with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for PFGC. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, PFGC historically offers an average upside of +0.60% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 PFGC Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 50.0%, PFGC shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests PFGC may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: PFGC shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 5MIN at -0.27%). This suggests PFGC is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.