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Latest signal:

PGX Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 25 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-19 → 2024-08-16

⚠️ Small sample size (25 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Invesco Preferred ETF INVESTMENT ADVICE (SIC 6282)
📍 NYSE Arca 📅 IPO: Nov 25, 2008
📊
25
Total Alerts
🎯
52.0%
Win Rate (30MIN)
💰
-0.01%
Avg Gain (30MIN)
🚀
+0.32%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 36.0%
Avg Gain: -0.12%
Avg Winner: +0.19%
Avg Loser: -0.29%
Best: +0.32%
Worst: -0.91%
Trades: 9/16

15MIN

Win Rate: 48.0%
Avg Gain: -0.04%
Avg Winner: +0.27%
Avg Loser: -0.33%
Best: +0.56%
Worst: -0.87%
Trades: 12/13

30MIN

Win Rate: 52.0%
Avg Gain: -0.01%
Avg Winner: +0.23%
Avg Loser: -0.26%
Best: +0.60%
Worst: -1.12%
Trades: 13/12

60MIN

Win Rate: 44.0%
Avg Gain: -0.00%
Avg Winner: +0.35%
Avg Loser: -0.30%
Best: +0.72%
Worst: -1.16%
Trades: 11/13

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 24.0%
Avg Gain: -0.40%
Avg Winner: +0.38%
Avg Loser: -0.72%
Best: +0.53%
Worst: -2.40%
Trades: 6/17

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +0.32%
Best MFE: +0.98%
Avg Time to MFE: 108 min

On average, PGX alerts reach +0.32% profit potential within 108 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.29%
Worst MAE: -1.65%
Avg Time to MAE: 16 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.29%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

1.13:1

Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 25 alerts, PGX typically reaches +0.32% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.3% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 25
Gap Up % 24.0%
Avg Gap -0.13%
Best Gap +0.32%

🏭 Sector Comparison: INVESTMENT ADVICE

How PGX compares to 30 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
PGX: -0.12% Sector: -0.13% +0.01%
EOD Gain
PGX: -0.40% Sector: +3.47% -3.88%
Avg MFE
PGX: +0.32% Sector: +1.91% -1.59%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical PGX alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-08-16 09:28:48 $11.83 +0.08% +0.13% +0.29% +0.26% +0.51% +0.57% -0.08% +0.17% WIN
2024-08-01 09:27:07 $11.63 +0.13% +0.21% -0.11% -0.03% +0.52% +0.60% -0.17% +0.09% WIN
2024-07-18 09:26:37 $11.82 -0.21% -0.17% -0.07% -0.13% -0.51% +0.00% -0.08% - LOSS
2024-07-10 09:28:18 $11.63 -0.26% -0.30% -0.21% -0.09% +0.17% +0.17% -0.43% -0.09% LOSS
2023-12-27 09:29:00 $11.58 -0.26% -0.22% -0.22% -0.39% - +0.17% -0.43% -0.17% LOSS
2023-11-17 09:26:00 $11.11 +0.24% -0.18% -0.00% +0.32% -0.18% +0.41% -0.23% +0.09% WIN
2023-11-08 09:26:00 $10.93 -0.23% -0.27% -0.23% -0.24% -0.27% +0.23% -0.37% -0.09% LOSS
2023-10-19 09:28:00 $10.31 +0.29% +0.48% +0.30% +0.24% -0.87% +0.78% -0.10% +0.29% WIN
2023-10-11 09:28:00 $10.66 +0.09% +0.23% +0.14% - -0.19% +0.36% -0.19% -0.09% WIN
2023-09-14 09:25:00 $11.17 -0.09% +0.00% -0.18% -0.22% - +0.18% -0.27% -0.09% LOSS
2023-08-09 09:25:00 $11.33 -0.26% -0.18% -0.31% -0.13% -0.62% -0.06% -0.26% -0.18% LOSS
2023-08-04 09:28:00 $11.22 +0.18% +0.27% +0.36% +0.62% +0.53% +0.98% -0.09% - WIN
2023-07-27 09:28:00 $11.44 -0.09% +0.04% +0.13% -0.29% -1.40% +0.17% -0.17% -0.17% LOSS
2023-07-21 09:25:00 $11.38 -0.18% -0.13% -0.08% -0.09% -0.35% +0.09% -0.26% - LOSS
2023-07-12 09:26:00 $11.5 -0.39% -0.48% -0.39% -0.57% -0.78% +0.09% - -0.35% LOSS
2023-05-10 09:26:00 $11.11 -0.36% -0.09% +0.01% +0.32% -0.18% +0.37% -0.45% -0.27% LOSS
2023-03-14 09:28:00 $11.55 -0.91% -0.82% +0.09% +0.61% -1.04% +0.78% -1.65% -1.21% LOSS
2023-03-09 09:29:00 $12.1 -0.17% -0.37% -0.25% -0.37% -2.40% -0.08% -0.21% -0.08% LOSS
2023-02-15 09:29:00 $12.43 +0.32% +0.44% +0.29% +0.24% +0.32% +0.48% -0.00% +0.08% WIN
2023-01-18 09:25:00 $12.41 +0.32% +0.56% +0.60% +0.72% -0.40% +0.85% - +0.32% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ PGX Shows Negative Expectancy

Despite a 52.0% win rate, PGX has -0.01% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve the win size or reduce loss size, making PGX profitable.

🔧 Fix PGX Risk/Reward →

Why Analyze PGX with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for PGX. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, PGX historically offers an average upside of +0.32% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 PGX Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 52.0%, PGX shows negative expectancy despite winning more often - average losses (-0.26%) outweigh average wins (+0.23%). This suggests the need for tighter stops or better entry timing.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: PGX shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 30MIN at -0.01%). This suggests PGX is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.