$PHM
Trade-Ideas alerts 48.0% at 30-min n=25 2022-01-13 → 2026-09-30
⚠ SMALL SAMPLE · 25 alerts only. Statistics may have high variance — interpret with caution.
🏢 Company Profile
Practice trading PHM on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →
📈 Performance by Timeframe
5MIN
15MIN
30MIN
60MIN
EOD (End of Day)
🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)
Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.
📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)
On average, PHM alerts reach +1.04% profit potential within 76 minutes.
📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)
Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.88%.
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio
Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.
💡 Trading Insight: Based on 25 alerts, PHM typically reaches +1.04% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.8% to capture most of the move.
🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)
🏭 Sector Comparison: OPERATIVE BUILDERS
How PHM compares to 11 other tickers in the same sector.
📋 Last 20 Alerts
Historical PHM alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.
| Date | Time | Price | 5min | 15min | 30min | 60min | EOD | MFE | MAE | Gap | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-30 | 09:25:00 | $119.6 | -0.51% | -0.86% | -1.65% | -1.89% | -2.96% | -0.16% | -0.57% | -0.16% | LOSS |
| 2026-05-28 | 09:25:00 | $117.91 | -0.94% | -0.84% | -1.26% | +0.05% | +0.08% | +0.18% | -2.29% | -1.04% | LOSS |
| 2026-03-27 | 09:25:00 | $115.87 | +0.98% | +0.09% | +0.17% | +0.52% | -1.07% | +1.06% | -0.19% | -0.02% | WIN |
| 2026-03-02 | 09:25:00 | $137.2 | -2.29% | -3.36% | -3.08% | -2.92% | -2.54% | -1.30% | -2.78% | -2.24% | LOSS |
| 2025-01-30 | 09:29:50 | $115.05 | -0.82% | -1.22% | +0.78% | +3.41% | +3.01% | +5.44% | -1.44% | +1.16% | LOSS |
| 2024-12-20 | 09:25:07 | $108.89 | +0.15% | +0.73% | +0.13% | +0.09% | +1.50% | +2.10% | -0.78% | +0.26% | WIN |
| 2024-12-19 | 09:28:54 | $110.0 | +0.01% | -0.75% | +0.34% | -1.15% | -1.01% | +0.65% | -2.54% | -1.91% | WIN |
| 2024-06-12 | 09:29:06 | $116.58 | -0.13% | +0.52% | -0.20% | +0.73% | -1.05% | +1.30% | -0.54% | +0.03% | LOSS |
| 2024-04-02 | 09:26:47 | $117.31 | -2.28% | -3.89% | -3.91% | -3.85% | -2.65% | -0.97% | -1.10% | -1.26% | LOSS |
| 2024-03-21 | 09:29:22 | $115.22 | +0.95% | +0.88% | +0.47% | +0.60% | +0.73% | +1.69% | +0.03% | +0.06% | WIN |
| 2024-03-08 | 09:27:48 | $115.4 | -0.98% | -1.10% | -0.47% | -0.83% | -2.36% | -0.17% | -1.32% | -0.90% | LOSS |
| 2024-02-06 | 09:28:38 | $104.97 | -0.83% | -0.56% | -0.70% | -1.19% | -2.29% | -0.41% | -0.82% | -0.41% | LOSS |
| 2023-06-07 | 09:27:00 | $72.41 | -0.29% | +0.08% | +0.04% | -0.06% | -1.16% | +0.66% | -0.54% | -0.22% | LOSS |
| 2023-05-19 | 09:25:00 | $70.3 | -0.21% | -0.89% | -1.32% | -1.32% | -1.59% | +0.09% | -0.21% | -0.06% | LOSS |
| 2023-05-10 | 09:28:00 | $68.51 | -0.30% | -0.69% | -1.08% | -1.15% | -1.04% | +0.01% | -0.34% | -0.34% | LOSS |
| 2023-05-05 | 09:25:00 | $67.0 | -0.37% | -0.81% | -0.71% | -0.58% | +0.03% | +0.33% | -1.42% | -0.37% | LOSS |
| 2023-05-04 | 09:28:00 | $66.5 | +0.63% | -0.17% | +0.55% | +0.09% | -0.20% | +0.75% | -0.50% | +0.08% | WIN |
| 2023-03-07 | 09:25:00 | $54.85 | +0.18% | +0.44% | +0.57% | -0.24% | -1.48% | +0.91% | -0.02% | +0.29% | WIN |
| 2023-02-14 | 09:27:00 | $56.72 | -0.09% | +0.28% | +0.28% | +0.92% | -0.42% | +1.23% | -0.65% | -0.09% | LOSS |
| 2023-02-10 | 09:28:00 | $54.92 | +1.10% | +1.43% | +1.46% | +2.13% | +1.93% | +2.37% | +0.54% | +0.58% | WIN |
Table Metrics Explained:
- 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
- MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
- MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
- Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
- Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise
⚠ PHM Shows Negative Expectancy
With 48.0% win rate and -0.38% average gain, PHM alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider PHM for short-selling strategies.
📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →Why Analyze PHM with FILTRIX?
🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation
We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for PHM. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.
💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis
How much is left in the move? On winning days, PHM historically offers an average upside of +1.04% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.
📊 PHM Momentum Personality
With a baseline win rate of 48.0%, PHM shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests PHM may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.
⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing
⚠️ Caution Advised: PHM shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 30MIN at -0.38%). This suggests PHM is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.