Latest signal:
PKG Stock Analysis
Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 9 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-02-15 → 2024-12-06
⚠️ Small sample size (9 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.
🏢 Company Profile
📈 Performance by Timeframe
5MIN
15MIN
30MIN
60MIN
EOD (End of Day)
🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)
Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.
📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)
On average, PKG alerts reach +1.53% profit potential within 153 minutes.
📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)
Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.16%.
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio
Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 9.83x the typical drawdown.
💡 Trading Insight: Based on 9 alerts, PKG typically reaches +1.53% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.2% to capture most of the move.
🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)
🏭 Sector Comparison: PAPERBOARD CONTAINERS & BOXES
How PKG compares to 4 other tickers in the same sector.
📋 Last 20 Alerts
Historical PKG alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.
| Date | Time | Price | 5min | 15min | 30min | 60min | EOD | MFE | MAE | Gap | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-12-06 | 09:26:02 | $244.27 | +0.66% | +0.34% | -0.23% | -0.31% | -0.58% | +0.66% | +0.45% | +0.45% | WIN |
| 2024-09-26 | 09:27:32 | $214.33 | - | -0.28% | +0.11% | - | +0.23% | +0.98% | -0.28% | +0.84% | - |
| 2022-09-06 | 09:25:00 | $136.11 | +0.23% | +0.60% | +0.11% | +0.14% | +0.05% | +1.12% | +0.03% | +0.23% | WIN |
| 2022-08-30 | 09:25:00 | $137.87 | +0.37% | - | -0.44% | -0.36% | +0.93% | +1.37% | -0.96% | +0.25% | WIN |
| 2022-06-06 | 09:25:00 | $159.12 | +0.69% | -0.14% | +0.58% | +1.08% | +1.08% | +1.31% | -0.15% | +0.60% | WIN |
| 2022-06-01 | 09:25:00 | $157.28 | -0.17% | -0.45% | -1.25% | -1.30% | +0.12% | +0.58% | -2.15% | -0.17% | LOSS |
| 2022-05-17 | 09:25:00 | $155.54 | +1.69% | +0.91% | +0.91% | +2.12% | +2.06% | +2.62% | +0.66% | +1.57% | WIN |
| 2022-02-25 | 09:25:00 | $145.84 | +0.66% | +2.02% | +1.26% | +1.39% | +2.59% | +3.36% | +0.66% | +0.66% | WIN |
| 2022-02-15 | 09:25:00 | $147.0 | +0.56% | +1.05% | +0.56% | +0.92% | +0.73% | +1.76% | +0.34% | +0.88% | WIN |
Table Metrics Explained:
- 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
- MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
- MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
- Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
- Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise
🚀 Beat the 88.9% Baseline on PKG
The 88.9% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push PKG's performance to 75%+.
Optimize PKG Strategy →Why Analyze PKG with FILTRIX?
🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation
We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for PKG. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.
💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis
How much is left in the move? On winning days, PKG historically offers an average upside of +1.53% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.
📊 PKG Momentum Personality
With a baseline win rate of 88.9%, PKG shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.
⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing
Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show PKG performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.80%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.