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PLBY Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 12 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-08-10 → 2024-12-16

⚠️ Small sample size (12 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Playboy, Inc. Common Stock RETAIL-MISCELLANEOUS RETAIL (SIC 5900)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Feb 11, 2021 🔗 investors.playboy.com
💰 Market Cap: $197.2M 👥 Employees: 615
Playboy Inc, formerly PLBY Group Inc connects consumers around the world with products, services, and experiences to help them look good, feel good, and have fun. PLBY Group serves consumers in four categories: Style and Apparel, Digital Entertainment and Lifestyle, Sexual Wellness, and Beauty and Grooming. It operates through three segments Direct-to-Consumer, Licensing, and Digital Subscriptions and Content. It generates revenue through the sales of products and content services to consumers.
📊
12
Total Alerts
🎯
58.3%
Win Rate (30MIN)
💰
+2.67%
Avg Gain (30MIN)
🚀
+10.44%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 25.0%
Avg Gain: -0.93%
Avg Winner: +3.15%
Avg Loser: -2.29%
Best: +5.77%
Worst: -4.62%
Trades: 3/9

15MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -0.47%
Avg Winner: +3.87%
Avg Loser: -4.80%
Best: +7.14%
Worst: -9.55%
Trades: 6/6

30MIN

Win Rate: 58.3%
Avg Gain: +2.67%
Avg Winner: +8.61%
Avg Loser: -5.65%
Best: +35.63%
Worst: -9.27%
Trades: 7/5

60MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +2.56%
Avg Winner: +9.78%
Avg Loser: -4.65%
Best: +31.07%
Worst: -6.53%
Trades: 6/6

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 58.3%
Avg Gain: +1.77%
Avg Winner: +6.67%
Avg Loser: -5.08%
Best: +18.42%
Worst: -8.15%
Trades: 7/5

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +10.44%
Best MFE: +47.77%
Avg Time to MFE: 74 min

On average, PLBY alerts reach +10.44% profit potential within 74 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -4.10%
Worst MAE: -12.73%
Avg Time to MAE: 11 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 4.10%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.55:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.55x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 12 alerts, PLBY typically reaches +10.44% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 8.4% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 12
Gap Up % 58.3%
Avg Gap +0.66%
Best Gap +4.20%

🏭 Sector Comparison: RETAIL-MISCELLANEOUS RETAIL

How PLBY compares to 5 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
PLBY: -0.93% Sector: -0.66% -0.27%
EOD Gain
PLBY: +1.77% Sector: +0.39% +1.38%
Avg MFE
PLBY: +10.44% Sector: +7.72% +2.72%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical PLBY alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-12-16 09:26:26 $1.68 -2.38% +7.14% +6.85% +11.90% +7.74% +18.45% -2.38% +4.17% LOSS
2024-11-04 09:28:50 $1.35 -2.97% +3.57% +1.59% +1.48% -8.15% +6.67% -3.70% - LOSS
2024-11-01 09:27:28 $1.19 +2.09% +4.20% +9.15% +11.86% +10.08% +18.49% +1.68% +4.20% WIN
2024-10-31 09:27:01 $0.99 -2.60% +1.72% +35.63% +31.07% +18.42% +47.77% -6.76% +1.21% LOSS
2023-08-10 09:28:00 $1.59 +1.57% -3.77% -5.03% -5.35% -1.57% +3.77% +0.63% +0.63% WIN
2023-05-11 09:25:00 $1.73 -2.02% -7.51% +2.32% -4.34% -8.09% +3.47% -9.25% -1.73% LOSS
2023-03-17 09:25:00 $1.79 -0.56% +1.10% -4.19% -2.51% -2.51% +3.91% -5.03% -5.03% LOSS
2023-02-06 09:27:00 $3.14 -4.62% -3.50% -5.74% -6.53% -5.10% -0.64% -3.50% -0.64% LOSS
2023-01-17 09:27:00 $2.95 -0.34% -3.80% -4.02% -4.75% +3.39% +5.76% -6.10% +1.69% LOSS
2022-12-07 09:25:00 $3.81 +5.77% +5.51% +2.89% +1.44% +1.05% +6.56% +0.00% +3.67% WIN
2022-09-13 09:25:00 $4.35 -0.92% -0.69% +1.84% +0.92% +0.92% +1.84% -2.07% +0.46% LOSS
2022-08-10 09:25:00 $5.5 -4.18% -9.55% -9.27% -4.45% +5.09% +9.27% -12.73% -0.73% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 58.3% Baseline on PLBY

The 58.3% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push PLBY's performance to 75%+.

Optimize PLBY Strategy →

Why Analyze PLBY with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for PLBY. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, PLBY historically offers an average upside of +10.44% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 PLBY Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 58.3%, PLBY shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show PLBY performs best on the 30MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +2.67%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.