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Ticker Report — Active Last signal ·

$POWW

Trade-Ideas alerts 45.0% at 30-min n=20 2022-02-01 → 2026-08-10

⚠ SMALL SAMPLE · 20 alerts only. Statistics may have high variance — interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Outdoor Holding Company Common Stock SERVICES-BUSINESS SERVICES, NEC (SIC 7389)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Sep 24, 1997 🔗 www.outdoorholding.com
💰 Market Cap: $265.8M 👥 Employees: 63
Outdoor Holding Co the online marketplace serving the firearms and shooting sports industries, and a vertically integrated producer of high-performance ammunition and components. It engages in the design, manufacture, and market of ammunition products in the Shooting sports industry in the United States. The firm's product segment comprises Ammunition and Marketplace. The Ammunition segment engages in the design, production, and marketplace segment consists of the GunBroker e-commerce marketplace. The company generates the majority of its revenue from the Ammunition segment.
Total alerts
20
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate · 30MIN
45.0%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain · 30MIN
-0.29%
Per-alert expectancy
Avg MFE
+4.85%
Max potential excursion

Practice trading POWW on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 25.0%
Avg Gain: -0.95%
Avg Winner: +2.62%
Avg Loser: -2.46%
Best: +5.22%
Worst: -8.33%
Trades: 5/13

15MIN

Win Rate: 40.0%
Avg Gain: -0.79%
Avg Winner: +3.70%
Avg Loser: -3.78%
Best: +8.68%
Worst: -15.20%
Trades: 8/12

30MIN

Win Rate: 45.0%
Avg Gain: -0.29%
Avg Winner: +3.75%
Avg Loser: -3.96%
Best: +9.48%
Worst: -9.60%
Trades: 9/10

60MIN

Win Rate: 30.0%
Avg Gain: -1.58%
Avg Winner: +4.30%
Avg Loser: -4.10%
Best: +10.42%
Worst: -10.98%
Trades: 6/14

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 45.0%
Avg Gain: +0.63%
Avg Winner: +5.81%
Avg Loser: -3.97%
Best: +10.53%
Worst: -7.39%
Trades: 9/10

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +4.85%
Best MFE: +18.52%
Avg Time to MFE: 100 min

On average, POWW alerts reach +4.85% profit potential within 100 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -2.69%
Worst MAE: -7.59%
Avg Time to MAE: 4 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 2.69%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

1.8:1

Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 20 alerts, POWW typically reaches +4.85% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 3.9% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 20
Gap Up % 40.0%
Avg Gap -0.50%
Best Gap +3.29%

🏭 Sector Comparison: ORDNANCE & ACCESSORIES, (NO VEHICLES/GUIDED MISSILES)

How POWW compares to 5 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
POWW: -0.95% Sector: +0.08% -1.03%
EOD Gain
POWW: +0.63% Sector: +1.17% -0.54%
Avg MFE
POWW: +4.85% Sector: +7.96% -3.10%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical POWW alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2026-08-10 09:25:00 $2.42 +4.16% +8.68% +4.54% +3.51% +5.79% +10.33% -0.83% -0.83% WIN
2026-06-22 09:25:00 $2.17 -2.74% -6.20% +0.25% -2.52% +1.86% +3.94% -7.59% +0.02% LOSS
2026-02-09 09:25:00 $1.87 -0.53% +1.07% +2.67% -1.53% -3.74% +4.28% -4.81% +0.27% LOSS
2025-01-22 09:28:05 $1.76 -3.08% -1.15% -0.57% -1.70% -7.39% +1.70% -4.26% -1.14% LOSS
2025-01-21 09:25:33 $1.52 +5.22% +2.63% +2.30% +1.97% +10.53% +13.16% -1.97% +3.29% WIN
2024-07-15 09:25:50 $1.8 +1.15% +6.67% +9.48% +8.61% +6.11% +13.89% -0.28% +1.11% WIN
2023-06-15 09:25:00 $2.16 -0.46% +5.79% +9.17% +10.42% +9.26% +18.52% -4.63% -1.85% LOSS
2023-02-15 09:27:00 $1.89 +0.79% +4.19% +4.50% -1.59% +3.44% +4.76% -6.87% -4.76% WIN
2022-11-16 09:25:00 $2.28 -0.43% -2.41% -4.61% -7.02% -3.51% +0.88% -0.88% +0.88% LOSS
2022-11-15 09:25:00 $2.5 -4.00% -15.20% -9.60% -9.80% -6.80% +2.00% +1.20% +0.00% LOSS
2022-10-06 09:25:00 $3.31 -3.93% -0.76% +0.31% -1.40% +0.00% +2.42% -5.74% -1.81% LOSS
2022-09-06 09:25:00 $3.7 -3.92% -2.43% -3.11% -4.86% -4.59% -0.01% -6.22% -4.86% LOSS
2022-08-16 09:25:00 $4.92 -8.33% -7.12% -8.94% -10.98% -3.35% +0.00% -0.20% -1.02% LOSS
2022-08-09 09:25:00 $5.72 +0.00% -3.15% -3.93% -5.24% -4.55% +1.22% +0.00% +1.05% LOSS
2022-03-03 09:25:00 $5.07 -1.38% -2.17% -2.56% -3.76% -1.78% +0.20% -0.20% -0.39% LOSS
2022-02-28 09:25:00 $4.53 +1.77% +0.11% +0.00% +0.66% +3.97% +4.19% -0.66% +0.44% WIN
2022-02-24 09:25:00 $4.15 -1.69% +0.47% +0.48% +0.60% +7.23% +7.71% -2.17% +0.00% LOSS
2022-02-15 09:25:00 $4.67 -1.28% -2.63% -1.39% -1.82% +4.07% +5.14% -6.04% -0.64% LOSS
2022-02-08 09:25:00 $4.76 -0.21% -1.26% -2.94% -2.84% -2.94% +1.89% -1.05% +0.21% LOSS
2022-02-01 09:25:00 $4.7 +0.00% -0.85% -1.91% -2.35% -1.06% +0.85% -0.64% +0.00% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠ POWW Shows Negative Expectancy

With 45.0% win rate and -0.29% average gain, POWW alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider POWW for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze POWW with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for POWW. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, POWW historically offers an average upside of +4.85% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 POWW Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 45.0%, POWW shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests POWW may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: POWW shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 30MIN at -0.29%). This suggests POWW is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.