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POWW Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 17 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-02-01 → 2025-01-22

⚠️ Small sample size (17 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Sep 24, 1997 🔗 www.ammoinc.com
💰 Market Cap: $204.9M 👥 Employees: 81
Outdoor Holding Co Formerly AMMO Inc is the owner of GunBroker.com, the online marketplace serving the firearms and shooting sports industries, and a vertically integrated producer of high-performance ammunition and components. It engages in the design, manufacture, and market of ammunition products in the Shooting sports industry in the United States. The firm's product segment comprises Ammunition and Marketplace. The Ammunition segment engages in the design, production, and marketing of ammunition and ammunition component products and the marketplace segment consists of the GunBroker.com marketplace. The company generates the majority of its revenue from the Ammunition segment.
📊
17
Total Alerts
🎯
41.2%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
+0.51%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+4.62%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 23.5%
Avg Gain: -1.16%
Avg Winner: +2.23%
Avg Loser: -2.61%
Best: +5.22%
Worst: -8.33%
Trades: 4/11

15MIN

Win Rate: 35.3%
Avg Gain: -1.13%
Avg Winner: +3.31%
Avg Loser: -3.56%
Best: +6.67%
Worst: -15.20%
Trades: 6/11

30MIN

Win Rate: 35.3%
Avg Gain: -0.78%
Avg Winner: +4.37%
Avg Loser: -3.96%
Best: +9.48%
Worst: -9.60%
Trades: 6/10

60MIN

Win Rate: 29.4%
Avg Gain: -1.83%
Avg Winner: +4.45%
Avg Loser: -4.45%
Best: +10.42%
Worst: -10.98%
Trades: 5/12

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 41.2%
Avg Gain: +0.51%
Avg Winner: +6.37%
Avg Loser: -4.00%
Best: +10.53%
Worst: -7.39%
Trades: 7/9

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +4.62%
Best MFE: +18.52%
Avg Time to MFE: 113 min

On average, POWW alerts reach +4.62% profit potential within 113 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -2.39%
Worst MAE: -6.87%
Avg Time to MAE: 3 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 2.39%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

1.93:1

Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 17 alerts, POWW typically reaches +4.62% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 3.7% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 17
Gap Up % 35.3%
Avg Gap -0.56%
Best Gap +3.29%

🏭 Sector Comparison: ORDNANCE & ACCESSORIES, (NO VEHICLES/GUIDED MISSILES)

How POWW compares to 4 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
POWW: -1.16% Sector: -0.51% -0.66%
EOD Gain
POWW: +0.51% Sector: +1.16% -0.65%
Avg MFE
POWW: +4.62% Sector: +4.40% +0.22%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical POWW alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-01-22 09:28:05 $1.76 -3.08% -1.15% -0.57% -1.70% -7.39% +1.70% -4.26% -1.14% LOSS
2025-01-21 09:25:33 $1.52 +5.22% +2.63% +2.30% +1.97% +10.53% +13.16% -1.97% +3.29% WIN
2024-07-15 09:25:50 $1.8 +1.15% +6.67% +9.48% +8.61% +6.11% +13.89% -0.28% +1.11% WIN
2023-06-15 09:25:00 $2.16 -0.46% +5.79% +9.17% +10.42% +9.26% +18.52% -4.63% -1.85% LOSS
2023-02-15 09:27:00 $1.89 +0.79% +4.19% +4.50% -1.59% +3.44% +4.76% -6.87% -4.76% WIN
2022-11-16 09:25:00 $2.28 -0.43% -2.41% -4.61% -7.02% -3.51% +0.88% -0.88% +0.88% LOSS
2022-11-15 09:25:00 $2.5 -4.00% -15.20% -9.60% -9.80% -6.80% +2.00% +1.20% - LOSS
2022-10-06 09:25:00 $3.31 -3.93% -0.76% +0.31% -1.40% - +2.42% -5.74% -1.81% LOSS
2022-09-06 09:25:00 $3.7 -3.92% -2.43% -3.11% -4.86% -4.59% -0.01% -6.22% -4.86% LOSS
2022-08-16 09:25:00 $4.92 -8.33% -7.12% -8.94% -10.98% -3.35% - -0.20% -1.02% LOSS
2022-08-09 09:25:00 $5.72 - -3.15% -3.93% -5.24% -4.55% +1.22% - +1.05% -
2022-03-03 09:25:00 $5.07 -1.38% -2.17% -2.56% -3.76% -1.78% +0.20% -0.20% -0.39% LOSS
2022-02-28 09:25:00 $4.53 +1.77% +0.11% - +0.66% +3.97% +4.19% -0.66% +0.44% WIN
2022-02-24 09:25:00 $4.15 -1.69% +0.47% +0.48% +0.60% +7.23% +7.71% -2.17% - LOSS
2022-02-15 09:25:00 $4.67 -1.28% -2.63% -1.39% -1.82% +4.07% +5.14% -6.04% -0.64% LOSS
2022-02-08 09:25:00 $4.76 -0.21% -1.26% -2.94% -2.84% -2.94% +1.89% -1.05% +0.21% LOSS
2022-02-01 09:25:00 $4.7 - -0.85% -1.91% -2.35% -1.06% +0.85% -0.64% - -

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 41.2% Baseline on POWW

The 41.2% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push POWW's performance to 75%+.

Optimize POWW Strategy →

Why Analyze POWW with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for POWW. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, POWW historically offers an average upside of +4.62% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 POWW Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 41.2%, POWW shows choppy price action, requiring strict filters or quick profit-taking.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show POWW performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.51%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.