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PPLT Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 2 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-03-14 → 2023-03-13

⚠️ Small sample size (2 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

abrdn Physical Platinum Shares ETF COMMODITY CONTRACTS BROKERS & DEALERS (SIC 6221)
📍 NYSE Arca 📅 IPO: Jan 08, 2010
📊
2
Total Alerts
🎯
50.0%
Win Rate (15MIN)
💰
-0.09%
Avg Gain (15MIN)
🚀
+1.12%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -0.28%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -0.28%
Best: -0.18%
Worst: -0.39%
Trades: 0/2

15MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -0.09%
Avg Winner: +0.10%
Avg Loser: -0.28%
Best: +0.10%
Worst: -0.28%
Trades: 1/1

30MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -0.51%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -0.51%
Best: -0.13%
Worst: -0.89%
Trades: 0/2

60MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +0.12%
Avg Winner: +0.44%
Avg Loser: -0.21%
Best: +0.44%
Worst: -0.21%
Trades: 1/1

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +0.37%
Avg Winner: +0.74%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +0.74%
Worst: +0.00%
Trades: 1/0

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.12%
Best MFE: +1.22%
Avg Time to MFE: 222 min

On average, PPLT alerts reach +1.12% profit potential within 222 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.95%
Worst MAE: -1.00%
Avg Time to MAE: 34 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.95%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

1.17:1

Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 2 alerts, PPLT typically reaches +1.12% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.9% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 2
Gap Up % 50.0%
Avg Gap -0.25%
Best Gap +0.02%

🏭 Sector Comparison: COMMODITY CONTRACTS BROKERS & DEALERS

How PPLT compares to 41 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
PPLT: -0.28% Sector: -0.01% -0.27%
EOD Gain
PPLT: +0.37% Sector: +257.70% -257.33%
Avg MFE
PPLT: +1.12% Sector: +1.89% -0.78%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical PPLT alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2023-03-13 09:29:00 $92.01 -0.39% +0.10% -0.13% -0.21% +0.74% +1.01% -0.90% -0.51% LOSS
2022-03-14 09:25:00 $96.7 -0.18% -0.28% -0.89% +0.44% - +1.22% -1.00% +0.02% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ PPLT Shows Negative Expectancy

With 50.0% win rate and -0.09% average gain, PPLT alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider PPLT for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze PPLT with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for PPLT. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, PPLT historically offers an average upside of +1.12% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 PPLT Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 50.0%, PPLT shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests PPLT may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: PPLT shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 15MIN at -0.09%). This suggests PPLT is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.