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PRCH Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 22 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-05-24 → 2024-12-03

⚠️ Small sample size (22 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Porch Group, Inc. Common Stock SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE (SIC 7372)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Dec 24, 2020 🔗 porch.com
💰 Market Cap: $856.7M 👥 Employees: 733
Porch Group Inc is a vertical software company reinventing the home services and insurance industries. It has two reportable segments: The vertical Software segment provides software and services to home services companies. The Vertical Software segment software and services provide inspection, mortgage, and title companies on a subscription and transactional basis, several key businesses, including inspection software and services, title insurance software, mortgage software, moving services, mover and homeowner marketing, and measurement software for roofers. The insurance segment provides consumers with insurance and warranty products to protect their homes, earning revenue through premiums collected on policies, policy fees, and commissions. Majority revenue is from Insurance segment.
📊
22
Total Alerts
🎯
59.1%
Win Rate (60MIN)
💰
+0.57%
Avg Gain (60MIN)
🚀
+11.29%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 45.5%
Avg Gain: +0.43%
Avg Winner: +4.65%
Avg Loser: -3.08%
Best: +14.08%
Worst: -8.72%
Trades: 10/12

15MIN

Win Rate: 45.5%
Avg Gain: +1.41%
Avg Winner: +7.62%
Avg Loser: -3.77%
Best: +20.07%
Worst: -8.97%
Trades: 10/12

30MIN

Win Rate: 40.9%
Avg Gain: -0.31%
Avg Winner: +5.55%
Avg Loser: -4.37%
Best: +19.01%
Worst: -12.28%
Trades: 9/13

60MIN

Win Rate: 59.1%
Avg Gain: +0.57%
Avg Winner: +4.38%
Avg Loser: -4.93%
Best: +20.11%
Worst: -12.05%
Trades: 13/9

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 54.5%
Avg Gain: +2.87%
Avg Winner: +11.81%
Avg Loser: -7.85%
Best: +37.11%
Worst: -17.38%
Trades: 12/10

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +11.29%
Best MFE: +54.47%
Avg Time to MFE: 143 min

On average, PRCH alerts reach +11.29% profit potential within 143 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -3.65%
Worst MAE: -10.83%
Avg Time to MAE: 21 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 3.65%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

3.09:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 3.09x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 22 alerts, PRCH typically reaches +11.29% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 9.0% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 22
Gap Up % 36.4%
Avg Gap -0.67%
Best Gap +2.29%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE

How PRCH compares to 137 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
PRCH: +0.43% Sector: -0.09% +0.52%
EOD Gain
PRCH: +2.87% Sector: +73.64% -70.77%
Avg MFE
PRCH: +11.29% Sector: +4.32% +6.97%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical PRCH alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-12-03 09:25:16 $4.5 +6.44% +6.44% +3.11% +3.36% +24.67% +26.67% -5.33% -2.22% WIN
2024-11-11 09:25:58 $3.68 -3.54% -2.17% -0.82% -1.90% -13.59% +4.62% -8.15% -2.17% LOSS
2024-11-08 09:27:29 $2.84 +14.08% +20.07% +19.01% +20.11% +27.46% +34.47% +0.35% +1.41% WIN
2024-10-29 09:29:57 $2.16 +9.26% +8.80% -1.62% +2.33% +1.39% +19.17% -0.46% - WIN
2024-10-28 09:25:05 $1.59 -4.40% +4.72% +3.14% +7.61% +37.11% +54.47% -8.80% -1.89% LOSS
2024-10-03 09:26:23 $1.35 +0.74% +3.56% +3.70% +4.44% +2.22% +6.67% - +2.22% WIN
2024-03-08 09:26:24 $3.9 -8.72% -8.97% -12.28% -12.05% -6.15% +2.05% -8.72% - LOSS
2023-11-14 09:25:00 $1.31 +1.53% -3.05% -4.20% +0.76% +2.29% +8.40% -6.87% +2.29% WIN
2023-11-08 09:27:00 $0.75 +4.22% +12.75% +8.23% +2.89% +26.67% +29.61% - +0.21% WIN
2023-09-07 09:25:00 $0.74 -0.03% -0.38% +0.72% +0.27% +8.35% +10.14% -2.57% - LOSS
2023-07-21 09:25:00 $1.32 +1.89% -2.27% -2.27% -1.89% -3.79% +5.30% -1.52% -1.52% WIN
2023-04-19 09:29:00 $1.15 -2.60% -2.17% -1.30% -1.52% -6.09% +0.88% -2.61% +0.87% LOSS
2023-04-17 09:27:00 $1.31 -1.91% -1.15% -1.91% +3.82% +4.58% +9.16% -3.05% -1.53% LOSS
2023-03-27 09:28:00 $1.33 -1.50% +1.50% +1.13% +1.50% -2.26% +4.51% -1.50% +1.50% LOSS
2023-03-17 09:26:00 $1.39 -4.32% -5.76% -5.76% -3.96% -10.79% - -6.47% -3.60% LOSS
2023-03-15 09:28:00 $1.49 +3.69% +1.35% -1.68% +2.35% -8.05% +5.37% +0.67% -0.67% WIN
2023-03-02 09:25:00 $2.09 -4.31% -4.07% -1.35% -3.59% +0.96% +1.91% -6.70% -4.31% LOSS
2022-11-15 09:25:00 $1.5 +2.29% +12.43% +5.33% +4.00% +5.33% +17.33% - +0.67% WIN
2022-11-10 09:25:00 $1.1 -1.82% -5.45% -8.18% -9.09% -9.53% - -7.27% -4.55% LOSS
2022-11-04 09:25:00 $1.57 -1.27% -4.46% -5.73% -0.64% +0.64% +1.91% -10.83% -1.27% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 59.1% Baseline on PRCH

The 59.1% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push PRCH's performance to 75%+.

Optimize PRCH Strategy →

Why Analyze PRCH with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for PRCH. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, PRCH historically offers an average upside of +11.29% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 PRCH Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 59.1%, PRCH shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show PRCH performs best on the 60MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.57%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.