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PROP Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 1 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2025-02-07 → 2025-02-07

⚠️ Small sample size (1 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Prairie Operating Co. Common Stock CRUDE PETROLEUM & NATURAL GAS (SIC 1311)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Jun 20, 2008 🔗 www.prairieopco.com
💰 Market Cap: $110.3M 👥 Employees: 19
Prairie Operating Co is a Houston-based independent energy company engaged in the development and acquisition of oil and natural gas resources in the United States. The Company's assets and operations are concentrated in the oil and liquids-rich regions of the Denver-Julesburg (DJ) Basin, with a focus on the Niobrara and Codell formations. The Company is committed to the responsible development of its oil and natural gas resources and is focused on maximizing returns through consistent growth, capital discipline, and sustainable cash flow generation.
📊
1
Total Alerts
🎯
0.0%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
-3.18%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+5.52%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -3.18%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -3.18%
Best: -3.18%
Worst: -3.18%
Trades: 0/1

15MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -3.31%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -3.31%
Best: -3.31%
Worst: -3.31%
Trades: 0/1

30MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -8.43%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -8.43%
Best: -8.43%
Worst: -8.43%
Trades: 0/1

60MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -10.08%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -10.08%
Best: -10.08%
Worst: -10.08%
Trades: 0/1

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -1.24%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -1.24%
Best: -1.24%
Worst: -1.24%
Trades: 0/1

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +5.52%
Best MFE: +5.52%
Avg Time to MFE: 3 min

On average, PROP alerts reach +5.52% profit potential within 3 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -3.31%
Worst MAE: -3.31%
Avg Time to MAE: 0 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 3.31%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

1.67:1

Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 1 alerts, PROP typically reaches +5.52% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 4.4% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 1
Gap Up % 0.0%
Avg Gap -0.14%
Best Gap -0.14%

🏭 Sector Comparison: CRUDE PETROLEUM & NATURAL GAS

How PROP compares to 51 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
PROP: -3.18% Sector: -0.16% -3.02%
EOD Gain
PROP: -1.24% Sector: +59.69% -60.94%
Avg MFE
PROP: +5.52% Sector: +2.88% +2.64%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical PROP alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-07 09:29:56 $7.24 -3.18% -3.31% -8.43% -10.08% -1.24% +5.52% -3.31% -0.14% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ PROP Shows Negative Expectancy

With 0.0% win rate and -3.18% average gain, PROP alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider PROP for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze PROP with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for PROP. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, PROP historically offers an average upside of +5.52% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 PROP Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 0.0%, PROP shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests PROP may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: PROP shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 5MIN at -3.18%). This suggests PROP is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.