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PRVA Stock Analysis
Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 4 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-03-15 → 2023-05-04
⚠️ Small sample size (4 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.
🏢 Company Profile
📈 Performance by Timeframe
5MIN
15MIN
30MIN
60MIN
EOD (End of Day)
🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)
Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.
📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)
On average, PRVA alerts reach +5.23% profit potential within 121 minutes.
📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)
Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.79%.
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio
Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.92x the typical drawdown.
💡 Trading Insight: Based on 4 alerts, PRVA typically reaches +5.23% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 4.2% to capture most of the move.
🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)
🏭 Sector Comparison: SERVICES-HEALTH SERVICES
How PRVA compares to 11 other tickers in the same sector.
📋 Last 20 Alerts
Historical PRVA alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.
| Date | Time | Price | 5min | 15min | 30min | 60min | EOD | MFE | MAE | Gap | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-05-04 | 09:27:00 | $24.49 | -1.88% | -0.04% | -1.96% | +1.98% | +12.00% | +13.23% | -6.08% | +0.04% | LOSS |
| 2022-11-17 | 09:25:00 | $23.74 | +0.13% | -2.91% | -1.81% | -1.14% | -0.59% | +1.56% | +1.10% | +0.67% | WIN |
| 2022-09-29 | 09:25:00 | $35.38 | -1.19% | -1.30% | -1.67% | -3.25% | -3.39% | -0.92% | -2.23% | -1.22% | LOSS |
| 2022-03-15 | 09:25:00 | $21.17 | +0.90% | +3.16% | +1.94% | +4.96% | +6.61% | +7.04% | +0.07% | +0.71% | WIN |
Table Metrics Explained:
- 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
- MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
- MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
- Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
- Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise
⚠️ PRVA Shows Negative Expectancy
With 50.0% win rate and -0.51% average gain, PRVA alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider PRVA for short-selling strategies.
📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →Why Analyze PRVA with FILTRIX?
🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation
We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for PRVA. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.
💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis
How much is left in the move? On winning days, PRVA historically offers an average upside of +5.23% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.
📊 PRVA Momentum Personality
With a baseline win rate of 50.0%, PRVA shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests PRVA may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.
⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing
⚠️ Caution Advised: PRVA shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 5MIN at -0.51%). This suggests PRVA is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.