FILTRIX Logo FILTRIX Find Your Edge →

Latest signal:

PSLV Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 300 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-03 → 2025-02-14

🏢 Company Profile

Sprott Physical Silver Trust
📍 NYSE Arca 📅 IPO: Oct 29, 2010 🔗 sprott.com
💰 Market Cap: $22.26B
Sprott Physical Silver Trust is a closed-end mutual fund trust, created to invest and hold substantially all of its assets in physical silver bullion. The Trust seeks to provide a secure, convenient and exchange-traded investment alternative for investors interested in holding physical silver bullion without the inconvenience that is typical of a direct investment in physical silver bullion. The Trust achieves its objective by investing mainly in long-term holdings of unencumbered, fully allocated, physical silver bullion and does not speculate with regard to short-term changes in silver prices.
📊
300
Total Alerts
🎯
49.2%
Win Rate (60MIN)
💰
-0.08%
Avg Gain (60MIN)
🚀
+0.92%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 38.5%
Avg Gain: -0.03%
Avg Winner: +0.22%
Avg Loser: -0.23%
Best: +0.96%
Worst: -0.96%
Trades: 115/154

15MIN

Win Rate: 43.8%
Avg Gain: -0.06%
Avg Winner: +0.34%
Avg Loser: -0.39%
Best: +1.30%
Worst: -2.05%
Trades: 131/160

30MIN

Win Rate: 47.2%
Avg Gain: -0.05%
Avg Winner: +0.44%
Avg Loser: -0.52%
Best: +1.29%
Worst: -2.28%
Trades: 141/149

60MIN

Win Rate: 49.2%
Avg Gain: -0.08%
Avg Winner: +0.54%
Avg Loser: -0.69%
Best: +2.27%
Worst: -2.77%
Trades: 147/149

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 48.8%
Avg Gain: -0.06%
Avg Winner: +0.92%
Avg Loser: -1.05%
Best: +3.44%
Worst: -4.89%
Trades: 146/146

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +0.92%
Best MFE: +3.66%
Avg Time to MFE: 131 min

On average, PSLV alerts reach +0.92% profit potential within 131 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.42%
Worst MAE: -2.19%
Avg Time to MAE: 18 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.42%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.21:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.21x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 300 alerts, PSLV typically reaches +0.92% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.7% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 300
Gap Up % 41.7%
Avg Gap +0.02%
Best Gap +1.04%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical PSLV alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-14 09:26:24 $11.26 -0.27% -0.69% -0.14% -1.14% -2.93% +0.09% -0.09% +0.09% LOSS
2025-02-11 09:25:18 $10.76 +0.09% +0.11% +0.33% +0.56% +0.37% +0.84% -0.28% +0.09% WIN
2025-02-10 09:29:12 $10.87 +0.23% +0.28% +0.46% +0.41% +0.18% +0.55% -0.18% -0.18% WIN
2025-01-28 09:27:34 $10.16 -0.20% -0.09% -0.40% +0.30% +0.39% +0.69% -0.59% -0.10% LOSS
2025-01-24 09:26:22 $10.32 -0.24% -0.10% -0.58% +0.08% -0.39% +0.29% -0.78% -0.29% LOSS
2025-01-23 09:28:11 $10.15 +0.29% -0.20% +0.00% -0.20% +0.69% +0.99% -0.30% -0.10% WIN
2025-01-17 09:28:23 $10.13 - +0.30% +0.59% +0.64% +0.49% +0.99% -0.20% -0.10% -
2025-01-13 09:29:30 $9.91 +0.10% +0.11% +0.66% +0.05% +0.10% +0.81% -0.10% - WIN
2024-12-19 09:26:07 $9.75 +0.19% -0.28% -0.69% -1.18% -0.21% +0.21% -0.21% - WIN
2024-12-12 09:26:41 $10.56 -0.38% -0.76% -0.57% -1.04% -1.70% -0.19% -0.28% -0.19% LOSS
2024-12-09 09:25:35 $10.76 +0.08% +0.05% +0.18% +0.31% -1.02% +0.56% -0.26% - WIN
2024-12-06 09:25:16 $10.44 -0.19% -0.50% -0.27% +0.00% -0.29% +0.57% -0.86% -0.10% LOSS
2024-12-04 09:28:41 $10.45 - -0.01% +0.05% +0.67% +0.38% +1.24% -0.24% - -
2024-11-27 09:29:18 $10.25 +0.39% +0.44% +0.05% -0.69% -1.27% +0.49% - - WIN
2024-11-25 09:29:45 $10.22 -0.00% -0.10% -0.29% -0.10% -0.10% +0.29% - +0.29% LOSS
2024-11-22 09:28:51 $10.46 -0.19% +0.29% +0.57% +0.72% +0.38% +0.96% -0.57% -0.38% LOSS
2024-11-15 09:28:13 $10.34 -0.29% -0.39% -0.15% -0.73% -1.93% +0.10% -0.73% -0.10% LOSS
2024-11-14 09:25:12 $10.18 +0.15% +0.25% -0.00% +0.53% +0.39% +1.18% -0.20% +0.10% WIN
2024-11-12 09:26:16 $10.35 -0.05% +0.10% -0.10% -0.19% +0.39% +0.29% -0.77% - LOSS
2024-11-11 09:26:26 $10.37 -0.10% -0.10% -0.24% -0.53% -0.10% +0.19% -0.58% - LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ PSLV Shows Negative Expectancy

With 49.2% win rate and -0.08% average gain, PSLV alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider PSLV for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze PSLV with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for PSLV. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, PSLV historically offers an average upside of +0.92% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 PSLV Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 49.2%, PSLV shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests PSLV may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: PSLV shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 60MIN at -0.08%). This suggests PSLV is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.