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PSNY Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 225 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-06-27 → 2025-02-03

🏢 Company Profile

Gores Guggenheim, Inc. Class A Common Stock
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Jun 24, 2022 🔗 www.polestar.com
💰 Market Cap: $1.59B 👥 Employees: 2,547
Polestar Automotive Holding UK PLC operates as an electric vehicle manufacturer. It engages in designing products that are engineered to excite consumers and drive change. Polestar defines market standards in design, technology, and sustainability. Polestar was established as a premium electric car brand by Volvo Cars and Geely Holdings. Polestar has produced two electric performance cars, namely Polestar 1 and Polestar 2. Geographically, it derives a majority of revenue from the United Kingdom.
📊
225
Total Alerts
🎯
36.2%
Win Rate (30MIN)
💰
-0.68%
Avg Gain (30MIN)
🚀
+3.32%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 27.2%
Avg Gain: -0.64%
Avg Winner: +1.47%
Avg Loser: -1.52%
Best: +7.42%
Worst: -8.93%
Trades: 61/153

15MIN

Win Rate: 32.6%
Avg Gain: -0.59%
Avg Winner: +2.32%
Avg Loser: -2.06%
Best: +9.08%
Worst: -9.69%
Trades: 73/146

30MIN

Win Rate: 36.2%
Avg Gain: -0.68%
Avg Winner: +2.69%
Avg Loser: -2.72%
Best: +13.91%
Worst: -11.51%
Trades: 81/136

60MIN

Win Rate: 36.2%
Avg Gain: -0.82%
Avg Winner: +2.85%
Avg Loser: -2.95%
Best: +10.78%
Worst: -11.50%
Trades: 81/140

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 36.0%
Avg Gain: -0.88%
Avg Winner: +3.98%
Avg Loser: -3.86%
Best: +19.48%
Worst: -15.62%
Trades: 81/135

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +3.32%
Best MFE: +23.01%
Avg Time to MFE: 92 min

On average, PSNY alerts reach +3.32% profit potential within 92 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.53%
Worst MAE: -7.17%
Avg Time to MAE: 11 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.53%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.18:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.18x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 225 alerts, PSNY typically reaches +3.32% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 2.7% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 225
Gap Up % 26.2%
Avg Gap -0.24%
Best Gap +4.45%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical PSNY alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-03 09:29:25 $1.02 -0.98% -1.47% -2.04% +1.11% +1.96% +3.92% -4.28% -0.98% LOSS
2025-01-28 09:27:24 $1.02 -1.47% -2.40% -1.88% +0.87% - +0.98% - - LOSS
2025-01-27 09:29:37 $1.03 +2.43% +5.83% +6.31% +5.83% - +8.74% - - WIN
2025-01-17 09:28:22 $1.09 -1.95% -1.79% -1.84% -1.83% - +0.46% -3.67% - LOSS
2025-01-16 09:29:48 $1.11 -4.60% -3.70% -4.05% -5.40% -2.25% - -3.60% -1.80% LOSS
2025-01-14 09:26:35 $1.16 +1.72% +3.72% +2.59% +0.86% - +4.31% - +1.72% WIN
2025-01-10 09:25:14 $1.1 +0.47% +5.00% +3.64% +2.73% +4.55% +7.27% - - WIN
2025-01-08 09:27:32 $1.1 -3.71% -0.05% +1.36% +4.09% +0.91% +5.91% -4.55% -0.91% LOSS
2025-01-07 09:26:52 $1.13 - +3.10% +4.45% +3.10% -2.65% +6.64% -0.89% -0.89% -
2025-01-06 09:29:24 $1.25 -2.30% -5.60% -4.88% -6.00% -8.80% +0.80% -1.20% -0.80% LOSS
2025-01-03 09:25:10 $1.13 -3.10% +2.65% +2.65% +2.21% +7.96% +8.85% -3.54% -2.65% LOSS
2024-12-30 09:25:44 $1.07 -0.47% -0.47% -1.02% -3.74% - +1.87% -0.93% +0.93% LOSS
2024-12-24 09:29:43 $1.11 -1.80% +0.45% -3.15% -4.96% -1.80% +0.90% -4.50% -0.90% LOSS
2024-12-19 09:28:48 $0.89 +3.26% +2.26% +1.45% +3.72% +5.28% +7.64% -1.11% - WIN
2024-12-13 09:27:22 $1.04 - -2.99% - -1.44% -1.92% +0.43% -3.85% -0.96% -
2024-12-05 09:29:13 $1.08 -1.69% -1.39% -1.39% -0.46% -0.93% +0.93% -2.31% -0.93% LOSS
2024-11-06 09:26:29 $1.25 -3.96% -2.80% -6.40% -3.60% -6.00% -0.80% -2.35% -2.40% LOSS
2024-11-01 09:25:07 $1.16 -0.43% -1.29% -0.97% +0.43% -1.72% +1.72% - -0.86% LOSS
2024-10-30 09:26:32 $1.26 -0.67% -0.63% -1.47% -1.55% -7.94% - -0.79% - LOSS
2024-10-29 09:27:53 $1.37 -2.12% -4.74% -3.65% -4.74% -8.03% +0.73% -0.73% - LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ PSNY Shows Negative Expectancy

With 36.2% win rate and -0.68% average gain, PSNY alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider PSNY for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze PSNY with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for PSNY. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, PSNY historically offers an average upside of +3.32% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 PSNY Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 36.2%, PSNY shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests PSNY may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: PSNY shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 30MIN at -0.68%). This suggests PSNY is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.