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PTC Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 9 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-06-28 → 2023-08-22

⚠️ Small sample size (9 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Dec 07, 1989 🔗 www.ptc.com/en
💰 Market Cap: $19.28B 👥 Employees: 7,642
PTC is a US-based global company that offers high-end computer-assisted design, product lifecycle management, and augmented reality solutions that industrial manufacturers commonly use on factory floors. Founded in 1985, PTC is a major player in parametric design and serves some of the world's most well-known equipment manufacturers, such as Caterpillar, Garmin, and Thermo Fisher.
📊
9
Total Alerts
🎯
88.9%
Win Rate (15MIN)
💰
+0.56%
Avg Gain (15MIN)
🚀
+1.43%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 77.8%
Avg Gain: +0.40%
Avg Winner: +0.56%
Avg Loser: -0.16%
Best: +1.33%
Worst: -0.20%
Trades: 7/2

15MIN

Win Rate: 88.9%
Avg Gain: +0.56%
Avg Winner: +0.69%
Avg Loser: -0.42%
Best: +1.16%
Worst: -0.42%
Trades: 8/1

30MIN

Win Rate: 88.9%
Avg Gain: +0.65%
Avg Winner: +0.78%
Avg Loser: -0.44%
Best: +1.76%
Worst: -0.44%
Trades: 8/1

60MIN

Win Rate: 66.7%
Avg Gain: +0.32%
Avg Winner: +0.84%
Avg Loser: -0.72%
Best: +1.09%
Worst: -1.12%
Trades: 6/3

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 66.7%
Avg Gain: -0.50%
Avg Winner: +0.91%
Avg Loser: -3.32%
Best: +1.49%
Worst: -5.17%
Trades: 6/3

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.43%
Best MFE: +2.32%
Avg Time to MFE: 122 min

On average, PTC alerts reach +1.43% profit potential within 122 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.05%
Worst MAE: -0.45%
Avg Time to MAE: 11 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.05%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

28.4:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 28.4x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 9 alerts, PTC typically reaches +1.43% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.1% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 9
Gap Up % 88.9%
Avg Gap +0.33%
Best Gap +1.23%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE

How PTC compares to 137 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
PTC: +0.40% Sector: -0.09% +0.49%
EOD Gain
PTC: -0.50% Sector: +73.64% -74.14%
Avg MFE
PTC: +1.43% Sector: +4.32% -2.89%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical PTC alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2023-08-22 09:29:00 $140.97 +0.61% +1.00% +0.82% +1.09% +0.39% +1.38% +0.23% +0.43% WIN
2023-08-02 09:25:00 $142.22 +0.62% +0.98% +0.58% +0.47% +1.08% +1.53% - +0.55% WIN
2023-06-07 09:28:00 $141.01 +0.18% +0.36% +0.06% -0.96% -3.59% +0.49% -0.05% +0.13% WIN
2023-04-14 09:25:00 $127.65 +0.18% +1.05% +1.76% +1.05% +0.06% +1.90% +0.06% +0.06% WIN
2023-03-27 09:29:00 $121.7 +0.73% +1.16% +1.26% +0.97% +1.21% +1.76% +0.28% +0.38% WIN
2023-03-22 09:25:00 $120.01 -0.20% -0.42% +0.22% +0.45% -1.20% +1.04% -0.42% -0.26% LOSS
2023-03-13 09:25:00 $115.89 +1.33% +0.24% +0.67% +0.99% +1.24% +2.32% -0.38% +1.23% WIN
2022-07-21 09:25:00 $110.89 -0.12% +0.27% +0.89% -0.07% +1.49% +1.77% -0.45% +0.15% LOSS
2022-06-28 09:25:00 $112.19 +0.27% +0.43% -0.44% -1.12% -5.17% +0.70% +0.27% +0.27% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 88.9% Baseline on PTC

The 88.9% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push PTC's performance to 75%+.

Optimize PTC Strategy →

Why Analyze PTC with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for PTC. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, PTC historically offers an average upside of +1.43% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 PTC Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 88.9%, PTC shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show PTC performs best on the 15MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.56%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.