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PTON Stock Analysis
Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 368 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-03 → 2025-02-14
🏢 Company Profile
📈 Performance by Timeframe
5MIN
15MIN
30MIN
60MIN
EOD (End of Day)
🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)
Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.
📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)
On average, PTON alerts reach +4.37% profit potential within 115 minutes.
📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)
Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.48%.
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio
Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.95x the typical drawdown.
💡 Trading Insight: Based on 368 alerts, PTON typically reaches +4.37% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 3.5% to capture most of the move.
🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)
🏭 Sector Comparison: SPORTING & ATHLETIC GOODS, NEC
How PTON compares to 4 other tickers in the same sector.
📋 Last 20 Alerts
Historical PTON alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.
| Date | Time | Price | 5min | 15min | 30min | 60min | EOD | MFE | MAE | Gap | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-14 | 09:25:51 | $10.08 | -0.15% | -1.93% | -2.93% | -3.72% | -3.08% | +1.69% | -0.30% | +0.20% | LOSS |
| 2025-02-12 | 09:27:17 | $8.55 | +0.35% | +0.11% | +0.64% | +1.46% | +7.37% | +9.01% | -0.35% | +0.35% | WIN |
| 2025-02-11 | 09:25:58 | $8.75 | +0.46% | +0.17% | +0.21% | +0.97% | -0.11% | +2.29% | -1.94% | -1.14% | WIN |
| 2025-02-10 | 09:28:44 | $8.54 | +1.29% | +2.75% | +1.00% | +4.16% | +0.35% | +7.61% | -0.59% | +0.12% | WIN |
| 2025-02-07 | 09:25:09 | $8.54 | +1.76% | -2.02% | +0.64% | -1.81% | -1.99% | +3.40% | +0.47% | +1.41% | WIN |
| 2025-02-06 | 09:26:16 | $8.87 | +3.83% | +3.61% | +0.17% | -2.37% | -4.28% | +9.98% | -1.01% | +0.45% | WIN |
| 2025-02-03 | 09:27:46 | $7.52 | -0.93% | -1.53% | -1.99% | -0.94% | -2.66% | +1.06% | +0.13% | +0.13% | LOSS |
| 2025-01-27 | 09:28:54 | $8.25 | -0.79% | +2.06% | +2.06% | +3.15% | -0.36% | +3.70% | -1.45% | -0.48% | LOSS |
| 2025-01-22 | 09:28:45 | $8.5 | -1.12% | -2.59% | -1.67% | -0.18% | -1.76% | +1.76% | -2.82% | -0.71% | LOSS |
| 2025-01-17 | 09:29:33 | $8.66 | -1.44% | -1.50% | -0.92% | -2.25% | -4.50% | -0.17% | -2.54% | -0.46% | LOSS |
| 2025-01-15 | 09:29:40 | $9.13 | +0.77% | -0.88% | +0.05% | +0.38% | -1.75% | +1.64% | -0.33% | +0.11% | WIN |
| 2024-12-30 | 09:28:27 | $9.1 | -0.93% | -1.43% | -1.36% | -2.85% | -1.54% | +1.70% | -0.55% | +0.44% | LOSS |
| 2024-12-20 | 09:27:59 | $9.02 | +0.11% | +2.05% | +1.77% | +2.72% | +3.99% | +5.99% | -1.00% | +0.44% | WIN |
| 2024-12-19 | 09:28:11 | $9.6 | +1.35% | +1.09% | -0.52% | -1.30% | -3.85% | +1.56% | -0.99% | -0.10% | WIN |
| 2024-12-13 | 09:28:57 | $9.5 | +0.42% | +0.11% | -1.79% | -0.32% | +0.84% | +2.11% | -2.74% | -0.84% | WIN |
| 2024-12-12 | 09:29:43 | $9.74 | +1.75% | +3.03% | +1.64% | +1.18% | -4.00% | +3.29% | -0.62% | +0.10% | WIN |
| 2024-12-06 | 09:26:55 | $10.05 | -0.35% | +1.69% | +4.08% | +4.23% | -0.40% | +5.32% | -1.49% | -1.09% | LOSS |
| 2024-12-05 | 09:27:14 | $9.44 | +1.17% | -0.42% | -0.76% | -0.11% | +2.22% | +3.02% | -1.69% | +0.64% | WIN |
| 2024-11-29 | 09:26:28 | $9.81 | +0.41% | +2.14% | +3.06% | +3.62% | +5.40% | +5.91% | -0.51% | +0.51% | WIN |
| 2024-11-25 | 09:25:59 | $9.9 | -0.81% | -1.87% | -3.69% | -2.07% | -3.23% | +0.81% | +0.30% | -0.71% | LOSS |
Table Metrics Explained:
- 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
- MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
- MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
- Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
- Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise
⚠️ PTON Shows Negative Expectancy
With 47.5% win rate and -0.13% average gain, PTON alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider PTON for short-selling strategies.
📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →Why Analyze PTON with FILTRIX?
🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation
We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for PTON. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.
💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis
How much is left in the move? On winning days, PTON historically offers an average upside of +4.37% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.
📊 PTON Momentum Personality
With a baseline win rate of 47.5%, PTON shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests PTON may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.
⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing
⚠️ Caution Advised: PTON shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 15MIN at -0.13%). This suggests PTON is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.